ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
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70-80% chance of victory:
20 Cincinnati over 90 Southern Mississippi 28.0 to 14.0
26 Boise State over 88 East Carolina 35.0 to 24.5
41 Purdue over 103 Central Michigan 38.5 to 28.0
32 Texas Christian over 91 Houston 31.5 to 24.5
1 Florida over 23 Michigan 35.0 to 21.0
6 Southern California over 46 Illinois 24.5 to 14.0
31 Rutgers over 78 Ball State 28.0 to 21.0
60-70% chance of victory:
53 Delaware over 87 Southern Illinois 35.0 to 31.5
172 Grambling over 188 Jackson State 28.0 to 21.0
25 Utah over 59 Navy 31.5 to 24.5
18 Brigham Young over 50 California - Los Angeles 24.5 to 17.5
68 New Mexico over 65 Nevada - Reno 28.0 to 24.5
13 Oregon State over 38 Maryland 24.5 to 17.5
56 Central Florida over 77 Mississippi State 24.5 to 21.0
16 Penn State over 42 Texas A&M 24.5 to 21.0
52 Georgia Tech over 83 Fresno State 28.0 to 21.0
29 Kentucky over 55 Florida State 31.5 to 24.5
48 Oklahoma State over 72 Indiana 31.5 to 28.0
10 South Florida over 33 Oregon 31.5 to 28.0
12 Georgia over 27 Hawaii 35.0 to 28.0
15 Tennessee over 36 Wisconsin 31.5 to 28.0
22 Texas Tech over 63 Virginia 28.0 to 17.5
2 Oklahoma over 7 West Virginia 31.5 to 24.5
5 Kansas over 8 Virginia Tech 21.0 to 17.5
82 Tulsa over 98 Bowling Green 35.0 to 35.0
50-60% chance of victory:
60 Richmond over 79 Appalachian State 28.0 to 28.0
119 Florida Atlantic over 131 Memphis 35.0 to 31.5
17 Texas over 21 Arizona State 24.5 to 24.5
28 Boston College over 34 Michigan State 31.5 to 31.5
44 Wake Forest over 45 Connecticut 21.0 to 21.0
43 Alabama over 54 Colorado 24.5 to 21.0
39 California over 51 Air Force 24.5 to 24.5
9 Clemson over 11 Auburn 17.5 to 17.5
14 Missouri over 19 Arkansas 35.0 to 31.5
3 Louisiana State over 4 Ohio State 17.5 to 17.5
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