2007 Week 15 (7-8 Dec) + preliminary bowl games Results for College Football Division IA & IAA

prob rnk winning_team        actual pred    rnk losing_team         actual pred

 61%  53 Delaware                20 33.8,    87 Southern Illinois       17 30.8

 50%  79 Appalachian State       55 28.6,    60 Richmond                35 28.6

  results by prob (number of games, actual/expected):
               50%-59%  60%-69%  70%-79%  80%-89%  90%-99%     100%
                1 0.00   1 1.65   0 0.00   0 0.00   0 0.00   0 0.00

  total results (num_games,num_right,expected,num_right/expected):   2   1   1.1 0.90
  
  actual/expected = 1 -- model right on
  actual/expected > 1 -- model probabilities too low (more wins than expected)
  actual/expected < 1 -- model probabilities too high (less wins than expected)

NOTE: exact predicted scores are not released until after game time.

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