2008 Week 1 (28 Aug - 1 Sep) Forecast for College Football Division IA & IAA

                                                                   ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team         rank projected losing team     TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
 --- ----------------------          --- ----------------------    ---------------------

80-90% chance of victory:

  29 North Dakota State        over  211 Austin Peay                38.5 to 14.0
  60 Air Force                 over  208 Southern Utah              35.0 to 17.5
  49 Arizona                   over  222 Idaho                      38.5 to 14.0
   8 Kansas                    over  229 Florida International      45.5 to 10.5
   3 Oklahoma                  over  196 Tennessee - Chattanooga    42.0 to 14.0
  32 Wisconsin                 over  180 Akron                      31.5 to 14.0
  76 Wofford                   over  237 Presbyterian               38.5 to 14.0

70-80% chance of victory:

  14 Cincinnati                over  114 Eastern Kentucky           31.5 to 17.5
 186 Eastern Michigan          over  243 Indiana State              31.5 to 21.0
  56 Georgia Tech              over  155 Jacksonville State         31.5 to 17.5
 129 Miami - Florida           over  225 Charleston Southern        31.5 to 17.5
  48 South Carolina            over  107 North Carolina State       28.0 to 17.5
  33 San Diego                 over  202 Marist                     38.5 to 21.0
 130 Alabama A&M               over  197 Tennessee State            31.5 to 21.0
  74 Tulsa                     over  203 Alabama - Birmingham       31.5 to 24.5
  22 Arizona State             over  163 Northern Arizona           35.0 to 21.0
  40 Arkansas                  over  134 Western Illinois           31.5 to 17.5
  30 Auburn                    over  160 Northeast Louisiana        31.5 to 14.0
  34 Boise State               over  213 Idaho State                38.5 to 17.5
 141 Central Connecticut       over  232 Bryant                     35.0 to 17.5
  25 James Madison             over  172 Duke                       31.5 to 21.0
  16 Georgia                   over  105 Georgia Southern           31.5 to 17.5
  73 Kansas State              over  223 North Texas                38.5 to 21.0
  97 Mississippi State         over  209 Louisiana Tech             28.0 to 17.5
   1 Missouri                  over   59 Illinois                   31.5 to 21.0
 169 Nevada - Las Vegas        over  217 Utah State                 28.0 to 21.0
  26 Boston College            over  178 Kent State                 31.5 to 14.0
  11 Virginia Tech             over  108 East Carolina              28.0 to 17.5
   4 Ohio State                over   79 Youngstown State           28.0 to 14.0
  10 Oregon                    over   67 Washington                 31.5 to 24.5
  28 Penn State                over  136 Coastal Carolina           31.5 to 17.5
  77 Pittsburgh                over  170 Bowling Green              31.5 to 21.0
 204 Jacksonville              over  244 Savannah State             31.5 to 17.5
 106 Southern Mississippi      over  215 Louisiana - Lafayette      31.5 to 17.5
  20 South Florida             over  158 Tennessee - Martin         35.0 to 17.5
  12 Texas                     over  148 Florida Atlantic           35.0 to 17.5
  53 Texas A&M                 over  181 Arkansas State             31.5 to 17.5
 157 Prairie View              over  240 Texas Southern             28.0 to 17.5
  15 Texas Tech                over   98 Eastern Washington         31.5 to 21.0
   2 West Virginia             over   51 Villanova                  31.5 to 21.0

60-70% chance of victory:

 104 Ball State                over  112 Northeastern               24.5 to 21.0
  61 Wake Forest               over  159 Baylor                     28.0 to 21.0
 128 Central Michigan          over  147 Eastern Illinois           31.5 to 24.5
  64 Connecticut               over   63 Hofstra                    24.5 to 21.0
  88 Vanderbilt                over  183 Miami - Ohio               24.5 to 21.0
  84 Troy State                over  161 Middle Tennessee State     28.0 to 24.5
  45 Oregon State              over  115 Stanford                   24.5 to 21.0
 200 Army                      over  219 Temple                     24.5 to 17.5
 195 Rice                      over  192 Southern Methodist         31.5 to 28.0
 185 Alcorn State              over  221 Southeast Louisiana        24.5 to 17.5
  17 Brigham Young             over   24 Northern Iowa              24.5 to 21.0
  44 California                over   50 Michigan State             28.0 to 24.5
  78 Central Florida           over   82 South Carolina State       28.0 to 24.5
  27 Richmond                  over  133 Elon                       28.0 to 24.5
   6 Florida                   over   41 Hawaii                     38.5 to 28.0
 127 Houston                   over  120 Southern                   28.0 to 24.5
 101 Indiana                   over  117 Western Kentucky           28.0 to 24.5
  91 Iowa                      over  110 Maine                      21.0 to 14.0
   5 Louisiana State           over   19 Appalachian State          31.5 to 24.5
  13 Massachusetts             over   57 Albany                     24.5 to 17.5
  18 Michigan                  over   58 Utah                       24.5 to 17.5
 154 Minnesota                 over  190 Northern Illinois          31.5 to 24.5
 139 Mississippi               over  175 Memphis                    28.0 to 21.0
  99 Navy                      over  124 Towson                     28.0 to 24.5
   9 Clemson                   over   62 Alabama                    28.0 to 21.0
  68 Nebraska                  over  122 Western Michigan           31.5 to 24.5
 103 North Carolina            over  113 McNeese State              24.5 to 21.0
 138 Northwestern              over  174 Syracuse                   24.5 to 21.0
  37 Oklahoma State            over   95 Washington State           31.5 to 24.5
   7 Southern California       over   66 Virginia                   24.5 to 17.5
 142 Wyoming                   over  184 Ohio                       28.0 to 21.0
  43 Louisville                over   54 Kentucky                   31.5 to 28.0
  87 Colorado                  over  132 Colorado State             24.5 to 21.0
  70 Hampton                   over  121 Jackson State              28.0 to 24.5
  39 Rutgers                   over   89 Fresno State               31.5 to 21.0

50-60% chance of victory:

 191 Buffalo                   over  176 Texas - El Paso            28.0 to 28.0
  85 South Dakota State        over  145 Iowa State                 24.5 to 24.5
 212 Tennessee Tech            over  199 Gardner - Webb             24.5 to 24.5
 193 Florida A&M               over  168 Alabama State              21.0 to 21.0
  92 Illinois State            over  152 Marshall                   28.0 to 24.5
  69 Maryland                  over   36 Delaware                   24.5 to 24.5
  96 Grambling                 over  140 Nevada - Reno              24.5 to 24.5
  46 Texas Christian           over  102 New Mexico                 21.0 to 21.0
 111 Monmouth                  over  150 Rhode Island               24.5 to 21.0
 100 California Poly           over  164 San Diego State            28.0 to 28.0
 144 California - Davis        over  182 San Jose State             24.5 to 24.5
  81 Colgate                   over  118 Stony Brook                24.5 to 24.5
  55 California - Los Angeles  over   35 Tennessee                  24.5 to 24.5

NOTE: the above scores are rounded to the nearest 3.5 points. Exact predicted scores are not released until after game time

Back to: Bassett Football Model Home Page

Please email comments or questions to bfm@BassettFootball.net