ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
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90-100% chance of victory:
185 Eastern Illinois over 242 Indiana State 35.0 to 7.0
134 Elon over 232 Presbyterian 38.5 to 7.0
6 Florida State over 178 Tennessee - Chattanooga 42.0 to 3.5
5 Louisiana State over 166 North Texas 49.0 to 3.5
84 Miami - Ohio over 209 Charleston Southern 38.5 to 7.0
71 Mississippi over 221 Samford 49.0 to 14.0
32 Oklahoma State over 237 Missouri State 66.5 to 3.5
4 Penn State over 137 Syracuse 42.0 to 10.5
28 Texas Tech over 163 Southern Methodist 49.0 to 17.5
72 Troy State over 224 Alcorn State 42.0 to 3.5
80-90% chance of victory:
34 Alabama over 135 Western Kentucky 28.0 to 7.0
19 Arizona State over 106 Nevada - Las Vegas 38.5 to 14.0
38 Boise State over 100 Bowling Green 28.0 to 10.5
30 Clemson over 107 North Carolina State 31.5 to 10.5
117 Georgia Southern over 179 Northeastern 42.0 to 24.5
63 Illinois over 188 Louisiana - Lafayette 56.0 to 28.0
15 Kentucky over 102 Middle Tennessee State 31.5 to 7.0
20 Michigan State over 142 Florida Atlantic 56.0 to 24.5
87 Minnesota over 213 Montana State 42.0 to 14.0
8 Auburn over 103 Mississippi State 24.5 to 7.0
184 Morgan State over 241 North Carolina Central 42.0 to 10.5
40 Nebraska over 171 New Mexico State 49.0 to 21.0
7 Arizona over 69 New Mexico 24.5 to 10.5
130 Northeast Louisiana over 210 Alabama A&M 35.0 to 10.5
57 Northwestern over 139 Southern Illinois 38.5 to 21.0
120 Richmond over 181 Towson 21.0 to 7.0
36 Tennessee over 156 Alabama - Birmingham 45.5 to 17.5
16 Texas over 58 Arkansas 35.0 to 17.5
29 Utah over 151 Utah State 38.5 to 17.5
2 Oklahoma over 70 Washington 38.5 to 17.5
70-80% chance of victory:
52 Ball State over 109 Akron 31.5 to 24.5
202 Austin Peay over 222 Gardner - Webb 24.5 to 14.0
96 Buffalo over 123 Temple 24.5 to 14.0
146 California - Davis over 193 Portland State 31.5 to 21.0
167 Eastern Kentucky over 204 Morehead State 28.0 to 14.0
153 Hampton over 215 Howard 28.0 to 10.5
127 Western Michigan over 195 Idaho 35.0 to 24.5
13 Iowa over 49 Iowa State 28.0 to 14.0
231 Jacksonville over 239 Campbell 28.0 to 14.0
158 Kent State over 191 Delaware State 28.0 to 17.5
83 Lafayette over 192 Georgetown 24.5 to 3.5
110 Marshall over 141 Memphis 35.0 to 24.5
11 California over 80 Maryland 24.5 to 10.5
23 Missouri over 54 Nevada - Reno 38.5 to 24.5
118 Montana over 176 Southern Utah 31.5 to 17.5
186 Illinois State over 233 Murray State 28.0 to 17.5
187 Norfolk State over 229 North Carolina A&T 24.5 to 7.0
165 Grambling over 226 Northwestern State 35.0 to 21.0
172 Jackson State over 199 Tennessee State 24.5 to 14.0
89 Ohio over 121 Central Michigan 35.0 to 24.5
3 Oregon over 65 Purdue 45.5 to 24.5
99 New Hampshire over 183 Rhode Island 28.0 to 14.0
201 Marist over 243 Saint Francis - Pennsylv 24.5 to 7.0
177 Sam Houston State over 227 Prairie View 24.5 to 7.0
22 Texas Christian over 81 Stanford 31.5 to 14.0
21 East Carolina over 108 Tulane 28.0 to 14.0
39 Vanderbilt over 85 Rice 38.5 to 24.5
136 Liberty over 230 Western Carolina 38.5 to 17.5
60-70% chance of victory:
73 Rutgers over 91 North Carolina 24.5 to 17.5
26 South Florida over 27 Kansas 24.5 to 21.0
42 Arkansas State over 56 Southern Mississippi 31.5 to 24.5
78 Baylor over 94 Washington State 14.0 to 10.5
35 Brigham Young over 41 California - Los Angeles 28.0 to 24.5
45 Connecticut over 31 Virginia 14.0 to 10.5
66 Duke over 76 Navy 28.0 to 24.5
14 Wisconsin over 46 Fresno State 21.0 to 17.5
37 Air Force over 61 Houston 28.0 to 24.5
68 Massachusetts over 112 James Madison 28.0 to 24.5
140 Stony Brook over 175 Maine 24.5 to 21.0
74 Oregon State over 92 Hawaii 35.0 to 28.0
207 Southeast Louisiana over 225 South Dakota 24.5 to 17.5
212 Southern over 217 Mississippi Valley State 21.0 to 17.5
9 Southern California over 12 Ohio State 14.0 to 10.5
196 Wagner over 214 Iona 21.0 to 10.5
236 Winston-Salem over 244 Savannah State 14.0 to 7.0
77 North Dakota State over 114 Wyoming 17.5 to 17.5
50-60% chance of victory:
220 Southeast Missouri State over 208 Tennessee Tech 21.0 to 21.0
116 Furman over 155 Colgate 24.5 to 24.5
79 Fordham over 122 Dayton 17.5 to 14.0
90 Toledo over 111 Eastern Michigan 24.5 to 24.5
128 Albany over 159 Hofstra 17.5 to 17.5
113 California Poly over 143 McNeese State 28.0 to 28.0
189 Monmouth over 182 Coastal Carolina 28.0 to 24.5
43 Michigan over 59 Notre Dame 17.5 to 14.0
161 South Carolina State over 169 Bethune - Cookman 14.0 to 10.5
149 Bucknell over 168 Robert Morris 24.5 to 24.5
133 San Jose State over 119 San Diego State 21.0 to 17.5
10 Georgia over 18 South Carolina 21.0 to 21.0
93 Western Illinois over 124 South Dakota State 24.5 to 21.0
82 Lehigh over 125 Villanova 21.0 to 17.5
33 Virginia Tech over 24 Georgia Tech 17.5 to 17.5
150 William & Mary over 152 Virginia Military 31.5 to 28.0
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