ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
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90-100% chance of victory:
183 Coastal Carolina over 243 North Carolina Central 38.5 to 10.5
190 Drake over 245 Campbell 31.5 to 3.5
1 Southern California over 98 Washington State 35.0 to 7.0
134 Western Illinois over 244 Indiana State 42.0 to 7.0
93 Wofford over 213 Western Carolina 38.5 to 14.0
80-90% chance of victory:
14 Boise State over 78 Hawaii 31.5 to 14.0
154 California - Davis over 233 Iona 42.0 to 17.5
181 Delaware State over 234 North Carolina A&T 24.5 to 7.0
185 Eastern Illinois over 231 Southeast Missouri State 31.5 to 14.0
189 Gardner - Webb over 239 Presbyterian 31.5 to 7.0
9 Georgia over 61 Vanderbilt 28.0 to 14.0
157 Hampton over 218 Norfolk State 35.0 to 17.5
167 Jacksonville State over 227 Murray State 38.5 to 21.0
105 Montana over 199 Sacramento State 31.5 to 10.5
138 Northeast Louisiana over 207 North Texas 31.5 to 17.5
5 Penn State over 76 Michigan 31.5 to 7.0
102 Pennsylvania over 175 Columbia 28.0 to 10.5
38 Houston over 147 Southern Methodist 38.5 to 24.5
34 South Florida over 96 Syracuse 28.0 to 14.0
33 Tennessee over 112 Mississippi State 28.0 to 10.5
114 Elon over 217 Tennessee - Chattanooga 31.5 to 14.0
178 Tennessee State over 225 Austin Peay 28.0 to 14.0
64 Troy State over 161 Florida International 35.0 to 14.0
6 Oregon State over 99 Washington 38.5 to 24.5
70-80% chance of victory:
15 Florida State over 82 North Carolina State 31.5 to 21.0
13 Alabama over 56 Mississippi 31.5 to 21.0
210 Alabama A&M over 232 Alcorn State 24.5 to 14.0
87 Bowling Green over 137 Miami - Ohio 31.5 to 17.5
173 Robert Morris over 235 Bryant 31.5 to 17.5
115 Buffalo over 155 Army 21.0 to 10.5
22 Clemson over 44 Georgia Tech 24.5 to 14.0
70 Holy Cross over 148 Dartmouth 31.5 to 21.0
121 Dayton over 206 Davidson 35.0 to 21.0
75 East Carolina over 118 Memphis 35.0 to 24.5
60 Yale over 153 Fordham 28.0 to 17.5
169 Grambling over 216 Alabama State 24.5 to 14.0
37 Harvard over 88 Lehigh 24.5 to 14.0
141 Northern Arizona over 223 Idaho State 35.0 to 21.0
177 Illinois State over 221 Missouri State 35.0 to 17.5
164 Louisiana Tech over 191 Idaho 28.0 to 17.5
55 Louisville over 122 Middle Tennessee State 31.5 to 17.5
95 Nevada - Reno over 150 Utah State 35.0 to 21.0
79 New Mexico over 130 San Diego State 24.5 to 14.0
4 Oklahoma over 26 Kansas 35.0 to 21.0
10 Oklahoma State over 47 Baylor 35.0 to 21.0
83 Villanova over 176 Rhode Island 35.0 to 24.5
179 Southern over 202 Florida A&M 28.0 to 21.0
166 Stony Brook over 214 Charleston Southern 28.0 to 14.0
2 Texas over 8 Missouri 31.5 to 21.0
12 Texas Tech over 90 Texas A&M 38.5 to 24.5
204 Jackson State over 241 Texas Southern 35.0 to 21.0
195 Texas State - San Marcos over 222 Central Arkansas 42.0 to 31.5
35 Tulsa over 73 Texas - El Paso 42.0 to 31.5
36 Utah over 110 Colorado State 31.5 to 17.5
156 Weber State over 208 Northern Colorado 31.5 to 17.5
60-70% chance of victory:
198 Tennessee - Martin over 226 Tennessee Tech 31.5 to 28.0
18 Arizona over 24 California 28.0 to 21.0
209 Prairie View over 228 Arkansas - Pine Bluff 14.0 to 10.5
28 Boston College over 31 Virginia Tech 21.0 to 14.0
58 California - Los Angeles over 65 Stanford 28.0 to 21.0
171 Central Connecticut over 170 Duquesne 28.0 to 24.5
91 Central Michigan over 86 Western Michigan 31.5 to 28.0
111 Cornell over 132 Colgate 31.5 to 24.5
45 Duke over 68 Miami - Florida 24.5 to 17.5
143 Furman over 163 The Citadel 31.5 to 24.5
72 Appalachian State over 136 Georgia Southern 38.5 to 31.5
193 Morgan State over 230 Howard 28.0 to 21.0
81 Illinois over 71 Indiana 24.5 to 21.0
16 Iowa over 29 Wisconsin 21.0 to 14.0
32 Nebraska over 84 Iowa State 31.5 to 24.5
53 Kentucky over 57 Arkansas 24.5 to 21.0
74 Lafayette over 120 Liberty 24.5 to 21.0
85 Arkansas State over 144 Louisiana - Lafayette 35.0 to 31.5
145 Maine over 165 Hofstra 21.0 to 14.0
19 Wake Forest over 63 Maryland 17.5 to 14.0
162 Eastern Washington over 196 Montana State 24.5 to 21.0
197 Morehead State over 203 Jacksonville 24.5 to 17.5
66 Air Force over 116 Nevada - Las Vegas 28.0 to 21.0
201 Nicholls State over 215 Stephen F. Austin 35.0 to 28.0
108 New Hampshire over 151 Northeastern 31.5 to 28.0
107 Northern Iowa over 131 North Dakota State 28.0 to 21.0
54 Northwestern over 52 Purdue 21.0 to 17.5
200 Northwestern State over 224 Southeast Louisiana 31.5 to 28.0
219 Valparaiso over 220 Butler 24.5 to 17.5
39 Virginia over 48 North Carolina 21.0 to 17.5
119 Western Kentucky over 125 Florida Atlantic 21.0 to 17.5
124 Southern Illinois over 180 Youngstown State 28.0 to 21.0
50-60% chance of victory:
11 Brigham Young over 20 Texas Christian 17.5 to 17.5
103 Marshall over 133 Alabama - Birmingham 24.5 to 24.5
49 Kansas State over 67 Colorado 31.5 to 31.5
127 Delaware over 101 William & Mary 21.0 to 21.0
117 Akron over 140 Eastern Michigan 28.0 to 28.0
152 Bucknell over 194 Georgetown 21.0 to 17.5
97 Massachusetts over 89 Richmond 24.5 to 21.0
17 Michigan State over 7 Ohio State 21.0 to 21.0
237 Savannah State over 242 Mississippi Valley State 21.0 to 21.0
41 Pittsburgh over 62 Navy 31.5 to 31.5
94 San Jose State over 129 New Mexico State 24.5 to 24.5
100 Northern Illinois over 92 Toledo 21.0 to 17.5
123 Princeton over 113 Brown 24.5 to 21.0
77 Southern Mississippi over 104 Rice 35.0 to 35.0
51 Rutgers over 42 Connecticut 17.5 to 17.5
160 Albany over 188 Sacred Heart 24.5 to 24.5
211 Wagner over 229 Saint Francis - Pennsylv 21.0 to 21.0
174 Sam Houston State over 159 McNeese State 38.5 to 38.5
30 South Carolina over 25 Louisiana State 24.5 to 21.0
128 California Poly over 149 South Dakota State 31.5 to 31.5
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