ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
--- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- ---------------------
90-100% chance of victory:
160 South Dakota State over 244 Indiana State 42.0 to 17.5
9 Texas Christian over 150 Wyoming 28.0 to 3.5
80-90% chance of victory:
151 Albany over 231 Saint Francis - Pennsylv 35.0 to 10.5
59 Ball State over 148 Eastern Michigan 35.0 to 17.5
11 Brigham Young over 114 Nevada - Las Vegas 38.5 to 17.5
155 California - Davis over 235 North Dakota 42.0 to 17.5
133 California Poly over 214 Southern Utah 35.0 to 17.5
121 Dayton over 223 Valparaiso 35.0 to 10.5
3 Florida over 52 Kentucky 31.5 to 10.5
208 Jackson State over 239 Mississippi Valley State 31.5 to 14.0
127 Liberty over 202 Charleston Southern 35.0 to 17.5
188 Marist over 233 Iona 35.0 to 17.5
105 Massachusetts over 234 Bryant 42.0 to 7.0
142 McNeese State over 213 Nicholls State 35.0 to 17.5
96 Southern Illinois over 224 Missouri State 38.5 to 17.5
91 New Hampshire over 190 Towson 38.5 to 17.5
69 Troy State over 197 North Texas 38.5 to 17.5
79 Richmond over 191 Georgetown 28.0 to 7.0
137 Georgia Southern over 221 Western Carolina 35.0 to 21.0
85 William & Mary over 171 Rhode Island 35.0 to 14.0
178 Bethune - Cookman over 241 Winston-Salem 31.5 to 10.5
14 Tulsa over 135 Central Florida 42.0 to 17.5
70-80% chance of victory:
19 Boise State over 98 San Jose State 21.0 to 10.5
229 Alcorn State over 240 Texas Southern 28.0 to 17.5
78 Appalachian State over 141 Furman 35.0 to 21.0
1 Southern California over 18 Arizona 24.5 to 14.0
97 Brown over 136 Cornell 28.0 to 17.5
28 California over 60 California - Los Angeles 28.0 to 21.0
166 Drake over 199 Davidson 31.5 to 21.0
175 Duquesne over 201 Sacred Heart 31.5 to 24.5
145 New Mexico State over 206 Idaho 35.0 to 28.0
118 North Dakota State over 181 Illinois State 28.0 to 21.0
110 San Diego over 200 Jacksonville 35.0 to 21.0
4 Oklahoma over 42 Kansas State 38.5 to 28.0
46 Maryland over 75 North Carolina State 28.0 to 17.5
117 Miami - Ohio over 143 Kent State 24.5 to 17.5
13 Missouri over 62 Colorado 31.5 to 17.5
77 Navy over 139 Southern Methodist 38.5 to 28.0
29 Nebraska over 66 Baylor 28.0 to 17.5
101 Montana over 204 Northern Colorado 28.0 to 10.5
76 Northern Illinois over 106 Bowling Green 24.5 to 14.0
211 Portland State over 227 Idaho State 42.0 to 31.5
51 Harvard over 119 Princeton 24.5 to 17.5
184 Tennessee State over 230 Southeast Missouri State 35.0 to 24.5
2 Texas over 8 Oklahoma State 35.0 to 21.0
82 Fresno State over 161 Utah State 31.5 to 21.0
67 Yale over 100 Pennsylvania 21.0 to 10.5
103 Northern Iowa over 185 Youngstown State 24.5 to 14.0
60-70% chance of victory:
23 West Virginia over 27 Auburn 17.5 to 14.0
44 Arkansas over 55 Mississippi 35.0 to 28.0
138 Army over 149 Louisiana Tech 17.5 to 14.0
218 Austin Peay over 226 Tennessee Tech 21.0 to 17.5
111 Colgate over 159 Bucknell 31.5 to 28.0
220 Central Arkansas over 222 Southeast Louisiana 31.5 to 24.5
50 Connecticut over 48 Cincinnati 21.0 to 17.5
179 Eastern Kentucky over 187 Eastern Illinois 24.5 to 17.5
20 Florida State over 33 Virginia Tech 24.5 to 17.5
81 Lafayette over 132 Fordham 21.0 to 17.5
173 Gardner - Webb over 174 Virginia Military 28.0 to 24.5
31 Georgia Tech over 40 Virginia 21.0 to 14.0
84 Hawaii over 89 Nevada - Reno 35.0 to 31.5
130 Delaware over 172 Hofstra 17.5 to 14.0
80 Holy Cross over 86 Lehigh 31.5 to 28.0
38 Northwestern over 104 Indiana 28.0 to 21.0
147 Maine over 154 Northeastern 24.5 to 21.0
73 Southern Mississippi over 125 Memphis 28.0 to 21.0
37 Miami - Florida over 58 Wake Forest 24.5 to 17.5
113 Mississippi State over 128 Middle Tennessee State 21.0 to 14.0
156 Monmouth over 164 Central Connecticut 24.5 to 21.0
194 Florida A&M over 219 Norfolk State 28.0 to 28.0
21 Boston College over 54 North Carolina 28.0 to 24.5
225 Howard over 236 North Carolina A&T 24.5 to 21.0
158 Northern Arizona over 168 Weber State 28.0 to 21.0
177 Southern over 195 Prairie View 17.5 to 17.5
41 Pittsburgh over 43 Rutgers 17.5 to 14.0
64 Purdue over 71 Minnesota 31.5 to 24.5
123 Colorado State over 163 San Diego State 28.0 to 24.5
152 Hampton over 186 South Carolina State 24.5 to 21.0
56 Vanderbilt over 65 Duke 21.0 to 17.5
61 Notre Dame over 92 Washington 21.0 to 21.0
34 Wisconsin over 47 Illinois 28.0 to 24.5
50-60% chance of victory:
109 Ohio over 146 Temple 17.5 to 17.5
70 Air Force over 49 New Mexico 21.0 to 21.0
196 Tennessee - Martin over 180 Jacksonville State 24.5 to 24.5
26 Oregon over 45 Arizona State 28.0 to 28.0
217 Butler over 203 Morehead State 17.5 to 17.5
167 Stony Brook over 182 Coastal Carolina 21.0 to 21.0
165 Columbia over 140 Dartmouth 17.5 to 17.5
116 Elon over 99 Wofford 24.5 to 24.5
87 Iowa State over 74 Texas A&M 24.5 to 21.0
24 Kansas over 10 Texas Tech 31.5 to 31.5
7 Georgia over 16 Louisiana State 28.0 to 24.5
36 Louisville over 30 South Florida 28.0 to 28.0
35 Michigan State over 63 Michigan 21.0 to 21.0
169 Delaware State over 193 Morgan State 17.5 to 17.5
209 Alabama A&M over 212 Alabama State 21.0 to 17.5
144 Northeast Louisiana over 120 Florida Atlantic 24.5 to 24.5
176 Sam Houston State over 205 Northwestern State 28.0 to 24.5
6 Ohio State over 5 Penn State 17.5 to 14.0
216 Sacramento State over 198 Montana State 21.0 to 21.0
162 The Citadel over 189 Samford 24.5 to 24.5
210 Stephen F. Austin over 192 Texas State - San Marcos 38.5 to 38.5
25 Tennessee over 15 Alabama 21.0 to 17.5
90 Central Michigan over 115 Toledo 28.0 to 28.0
93 Rice over 129 Tulane 35.0 to 31.5
57 James Madison over 83 Villanova 28.0 to 24.5
183 Robert Morris over 207 Wagner 17.5 to 17.5
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