ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
--- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- ---------------------
90-100% chance of victory:
26 Auburn over 203 Tennessee - Martin 38.5 to 3.5
10 Boise State over 143 Utah State 35.0 to 3.5
20 Brigham Young over 159 San Diego State 45.5 to 17.5
113 California Poly over 244 North Carolina Central 49.0 to 10.5
52 Appalachian State over 221 Tennessee - Chattanooga 42.0 to 10.5
80-90% chance of victory:
166 South Carolina State over 227 Howard 31.5 to 14.0
111 Dayton over 219 Butler 31.5 to 14.0
173 Central Connecticut over 231 Saint Francis - Pennsylv 35.0 to 14.0
206 Charleston Southern over 241 Presbyterian 31.5 to 14.0
198 Delaware State over 240 Winston-Salem 24.5 to 3.5
120 Elon over 212 Western Carolina 31.5 to 10.5
54 Harvard over 148 Columbia 31.5 to 10.5
156 Stony Brook over 239 Iona 35.0 to 17.5
6 Missouri over 55 Kansas State 42.0 to 24.5
97 Northern Iowa over 226 Missouri State 38.5 to 7.0
91 Montana over 207 Portland State 35.0 to 21.0
44 Rutgers over 106 Syracuse 24.5 to 10.5
1 Southern California over 23 California 31.5 to 7.0
32 Tennessee over 128 Wyoming 28.0 to 10.5
4 Texas over 67 Baylor 38.5 to 14.0
2 Florida over 51 Vanderbilt 35.0 to 14.0
17 Arizona over 137 Washington State 31.5 to 14.0
188 Youngstown State over 242 Indiana State 31.5 to 10.5
70-80% chance of victory:
109 Buffalo over 129 Miami - Ohio 28.0 to 21.0
29 Virginia Tech over 56 Maryland 24.5 to 14.0
60 Air Force over 108 Colorado State 31.5 to 17.5
158 California - Davis over 209 Sacramento State 28.0 to 17.5
18 Oregon State over 69 California - Los Angeles 31.5 to 24.5
39 Southern Mississippi over 119 Central Florida 28.0 to 21.0
115 Delaware over 187 Towson 24.5 to 10.5
164 Drake over 191 Morehead State 21.0 to 14.0
138 Florida Atlantic over 176 North Texas 28.0 to 17.5
104 Arkansas State over 185 Florida International 24.5 to 17.5
145 Georgia Southern over 171 Samford 35.0 to 24.5
71 Richmond over 150 Hofstra 28.0 to 17.5
76 Holy Cross over 118 Fordham 35.0 to 24.5
74 Houston over 126 Tulane 31.5 to 17.5
167 Weber State over 228 Idaho State 35.0 to 21.0
24 Wisconsin over 98 Indiana 28.0 to 21.0
85 Massachusetts over 125 Maine 24.5 to 14.0
154 McNeese State over 211 Stephen F. Austin 38.5 to 24.5
34 Michigan State over 65 Purdue 31.5 to 24.5
160 Monmouth over 189 Sacred Heart 28.0 to 21.0
169 Grambling over 224 Arkansas - Pine Bluff 24.5 to 10.5
88 Hawaii over 170 New Mexico State 31.5 to 21.0
50 Illinois over 89 Western Michigan 31.5 to 24.5
83 Rice over 155 Army 31.5 to 17.5
174 Jacksonville State over 223 Tennessee Tech 31.5 to 21.0
3 Oklahoma over 62 Texas A&M 38.5 to 24.5
92 Troy State over 144 Western Kentucky 31.5 to 17.5
194 Jacksonville over 235 Valparaiso 31.5 to 21.0
130 Liberty over 199 Virginia Military 35.0 to 28.0
37 Arizona State over 110 Washington 24.5 to 17.5
14 West Virginia over 48 Cincinnati 28.0 to 17.5
112 William & Mary over 157 Northeastern 28.0 to 17.5
124 Wofford over 163 The Citadel 38.5 to 24.5
60-70% chance of victory:
123 Akron over 122 Toledo 28.0 to 24.5
64 Ball State over 79 Northern Illinois 24.5 to 17.5
86 Fresno State over 80 Nevada - Reno 35.0 to 35.0
210 Alabama State over 213 Jackson State 21.0 to 17.5
38 Boston College over 59 Notre Dame 24.5 to 17.5
84 Lafayette over 152 Bucknell 21.0 to 14.0
201 Northwestern State over 225 Central Arkansas 24.5 to 21.0
87 Colorado over 103 Iowa State 24.5 to 17.5
139 Cornell over 146 Dartmouth 21.0 to 17.5
127 San Diego over 179 Davidson 31.5 to 28.0
63 Duke over 78 North Carolina State 28.0 to 21.0
161 Gardner - Webb over 184 Coastal Carolina 28.0 to 21.0
202 Georgetown over 200 Marist 17.5 to 17.5
175 Hampton over 178 Bethune - Cookman 28.0 to 24.5
5 Penn State over 21 Iowa 17.5 to 14.0
19 Georgia over 66 Kentucky 28.0 to 21.0
94 Lehigh over 96 Colgate 24.5 to 21.0
107 Louisiana - Lafayette over 99 Texas - El Paso 38.5 to 35.0
12 Louisiana State over 8 Alabama 24.5 to 21.0
133 Middle Tennessee State over 134 Northeast Louisiana 28.0 to 24.5
181 Morgan State over 218 Norfolk State 21.0 to 17.5
42 North Carolina over 36 Georgia Tech 24.5 to 21.0
204 Florida A&M over 233 North Carolina A&T 24.5 to 17.5
220 Southern Utah over 236 North Dakota 28.0 to 24.5
172 Northern Arizona over 192 Montana State 24.5 to 17.5
168 Eastern Washington over 215 Northern Colorado 24.5 to 17.5
9 Ohio State over 53 Northwestern 21.0 to 14.0
25 Oregon over 30 Stanford 31.5 to 28.0
58 Pittsburgh over 57 Louisville 31.5 to 28.0
114 San Jose State over 136 Louisiana Tech 24.5 to 17.5
27 South Carolina over 46 Arkansas 24.5 to 17.5
153 South Dakota State over 162 Illinois State 35.0 to 28.0
117 Southern Illinois over 131 Western Illinois 24.5 to 17.5
232 Mississippi Valley State over 243 Texas Southern 31.5 to 28.0
81 Villanova over 82 New Hampshire 31.5 to 28.0
180 Duquesne over 214 Wagner 21.0 to 17.5
43 Wake Forest over 47 Virginia 17.5 to 14.0
50-60% chance of victory:
13 Texas Christian over 35 Utah 17.5 to 17.5
105 Princeton over 95 Pennsylvania 21.0 to 17.5
205 Alabama A&M over 196 Prairie View 17.5 to 14.0
93 Brown over 68 Yale 21.0 to 17.5
77 East Carolina over 75 Marshall 24.5 to 21.0
22 Florida State over 15 Clemson 24.5 to 24.5
72 Minnesota over 61 Michigan 24.5 to 24.5
230 Murray State over 222 Southeast Missouri State 28.0 to 28.0
16 Kansas over 41 Nebraska 31.5 to 28.0
70 New Mexico over 102 Nevada - Las Vegas 24.5 to 21.0
195 Nicholls State over 186 Sam Houston State 24.5 to 24.5
121 Ohio over 101 Bowling Green 24.5 to 24.5
216 Southeast Louisiana over 208 Texas State - San Marcos 28.0 to 28.0
116 Memphis over 147 Southern Methodist 28.0 to 28.0
193 Tennessee State over 182 Eastern Illinois 24.5 to 21.0
11 Texas Tech over 7 Oklahoma State 35.0 to 31.5
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