ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
--- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- ---------------------
90-100% chance of victory:
1 Florida over 176 The Citadel 63.0 to 7.0
174 Morehead State over 245 Campbell 35.0 to 3.5
80-90% chance of victory:
164 Grambling over 241 Texas Southern 38.5 to 17.5
81 Hawaii over 189 Idaho 38.5 to 17.5
137 Middle Tennessee State over 203 North Texas 31.5 to 14.0
115 South Carolina State over 233 North Carolina A&T 31.5 to 7.0
8 Ohio State over 57 Michigan 24.5 to 10.5
29 Rutgers over 145 Army 28.0 to 3.5
90 Northern Iowa over 224 Southern Utah 35.0 to 10.5
37 James Madison over 177 Towson 38.5 to 17.5
47 Tulsa over 150 Tulane 42.0 to 21.0
202 Virginia Military over 243 Presbyterian 42.0 to 17.5
70 Appalachian State over 213 Western Carolina 38.5 to 17.5
129 Western Illinois over 190 Youngstown State 31.5 to 17.5
70-80% chance of victory:
217 Austin Peay over 226 Southeast Missouri State 24.5 to 17.5
84 Brown over 144 Columbia 28.0 to 17.5
26 California over 52 Stanford 31.5 to 21.0
159 McNeese State over 219 Central Arkansas 31.5 to 21.0
166 Coastal Carolina over 210 Charleston Southern 28.0 to 17.5
197 Davidson over 220 Butler 28.0 to 17.5
34 Houston over 93 Texas - El Paso 42.0 to 28.0
116 Southern Illinois over 187 Illinois State 35.0 to 24.5
198 Jackson State over 229 Alcorn State 28.0 to 14.0
46 Kansas State over 85 Iowa State 35.0 to 21.0
13 Louisiana State over 32 Mississippi 31.5 to 21.0
19 Iowa over 79 Minnesota 24.5 to 17.5
206 Alabama A&M over 237 Mississippi Valley State 28.0 to 21.0
119 Montana over 182 Montana State 24.5 to 14.0
184 Tennessee State over 230 Murray State 35.0 to 21.0
38 North Carolina over 68 North Carolina State 28.0 to 21.0
58 Notre Dame over 104 Syracuse 24.5 to 14.0
5 Penn State over 39 Michigan State 28.0 to 17.5
121 Princeton over 147 Dartmouth 17.5 to 14.0
69 Purdue over 94 Indiana 28.0 to 21.0
127 San Diego over 185 California - Davis 38.5 to 24.5
10 Texas Christian over 61 Air Force 24.5 to 10.5
88 Troy State over 142 Louisiana - Lafayette 38.5 to 24.5
192 Drake over 232 Valparaiso 28.0 to 17.5
24 Virginia Tech over 74 Duke 28.0 to 14.0
209 Norfolk State over 238 Winston-Salem 24.5 to 17.5
23 Wisconsin over 102 California Poly 38.5 to 17.5
107 Wofford over 148 Furman 28.0 to 21.0
60-70% chance of victory:
44 Georgia Tech over 33 Miami - Florida 21.0 to 17.5
92 Bowling Green over 105 Buffalo 28.0 to 21.0
139 Toledo over 131 Miami - Ohio 24.5 to 21.0
87 East Carolina over 136 Alabama - Birmingham 24.5 to 21.0
103 Arkansas State over 125 Florida Atlantic 28.0 to 21.0
31 Cincinnati over 30 Pittsburgh 24.5 to 21.0
60 Harvard over 51 Yale 17.5 to 17.5
196 Delaware State over 228 Howard 24.5 to 17.5
201 Sacramento State over 223 Idaho State 31.5 to 24.5
141 Dayton over 172 Jacksonville 24.5 to 21.0
86 Lafayette over 97 Lehigh 21.0 to 14.0
130 Liberty over 122 Elon 24.5 to 21.0
16 West Virginia over 64 Louisville 31.5 to 24.5
75 New Hampshire over 118 Maine 24.5 to 21.0
110 Massachusetts over 133 Hofstra 24.5 to 17.5
45 Arkansas over 98 Mississippi State 24.5 to 21.0
181 Hampton over 214 Morgan State 21.0 to 17.5
27 Boise State over 67 Nevada - Reno 28.0 to 24.5
204 Nicholls State over 218 Southeast Louisiana 28.0 to 21.0
124 North Dakota State over 151 South Dakota State 31.5 to 24.5
178 Northeastern over 168 Rhode Island 21.0 to 17.5
59 Northwestern over 66 Illinois 28.0 to 21.0
4 Oklahoma over 6 Texas Tech 38.5 to 31.5
211 Portland State over 221 Northern Colorado 31.5 to 24.5
100 Rice over 106 Marshall 35.0 to 31.5
227 Saint Francis - Pennsylv over 236 Bryant 21.0 to 14.0
193 Sam Houston State over 199 Texas State - San Marcos 31.5 to 28.0
95 Nevada - Las Vegas over 157 San Diego State 31.5 to 24.5
231 South Dakota over 240 North Dakota 28.0 to 17.5
146 Temple over 152 Eastern Michigan 24.5 to 17.5
175 Samford over 212 Tennessee - Chattanooga 17.5 to 14.0
194 Eastern Illinois over 225 Tennessee Tech 24.5 to 21.0
50 Vanderbilt over 48 Tennessee 21.0 to 17.5
9 Clemson over 55 Virginia 24.5 to 17.5
112 Washington State over 108 Washington 21.0 to 17.5
76 Richmond over 113 William & Mary 28.0 to 24.5
40 South Florida over 42 Connecticut 24.5 to 17.5
50-60% chance of victory:
138 Kent State over 111 Northern Illinois 24.5 to 24.5
56 Ball State over 78 Central Michigan 28.0 to 28.0
89 Fresno State over 132 San Jose State 21.0 to 21.0
28 Arizona over 17 Oregon State 31.5 to 31.5
114 Fordham over 154 Bucknell 24.5 to 24.5
73 Holy Cross over 96 Colgate 31.5 to 31.5
82 Pennsylvania over 135 Cornell 21.0 to 17.5
120 Delaware over 101 Villanova 21.0 to 21.0
173 Florida International over 162 Northeast Louisiana 21.0 to 21.0
234 Missouri State over 242 Indiana State 17.5 to 17.5
22 Florida State over 53 Maryland 24.5 to 21.0
117 Memphis over 99 Central Florida 24.5 to 24.5
171 Bethune - Cookman over 188 Florida A&M 24.5 to 21.0
126 Louisiana Tech over 155 New Mexico State 28.0 to 28.0
239 Savannah State over 244 North Carolina Central 21.0 to 21.0
123 Ohio over 109 Akron 28.0 to 24.5
215 Stephen F. Austin over 208 Northwestern State 28.0 to 28.0
195 Tennessee - Martin over 169 Eastern Kentucky 21.0 to 21.0
14 Brigham Young over 35 Utah 24.5 to 24.5
21 Boston College over 49 Wake Forest 21.0 to 21.0
165 Weber State over 163 Eastern Washington 24.5 to 24.5
91 Colorado State over 128 Wyoming 21.0 to 21.0
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