2008 Week 16 (12-13 Dec) + preliminary bowl games Results for College Football Division IA & IAA

prob rnk winning_team        actual pred    rnk losing_team         actual pred

 68% 162 Grambling               41 22.8,   202 Jackson State            9 16.1
 54%  71 Richmond                21 19.7,    99 Northern Iowa           20 18.9

 21% 109 Montana                 35 16.3,    55 James Madison           27 29.2

  results by prob (number of games, actual/expected):
               50%-59%  60%-69%  70%-79%  80%-89%  90%-99%     100%
                1 1.86   1 1.48   1 0.00   0 0.00   0 0.00   0 0.00

  total results (num_games,num_right,expected,num_right/expected):   3   2   2.0 1.00

  actual/expected = 1 -- model right on
  actual/expected > 1 -- model probabilities too low (more wins than expected)
  actual/expected < 1 -- model probabilities too high (less wins than expected)

NOTE: exact predicted scores are not released until after game time.

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