Division IA
rnk u scr act w-l sim w-l div conf team 1 1 7.44 13.0-0.0 5.6-7.4 IA SEC Alabama 2 1 7.01 13.0-0.0 6.0-7.0 IA Big_12 Texas 3 1 6.11 12.0-1.0 5.9-7.1 IA SEC Florida 4 2 5.76 12.0-0.0 6.2-5.8 IA Big_East Cincinnati 5 2 5.63 11.0-2.0 5.4-7.6 IA ACC Georgia Tech 6 2 5.23 12.0-0.0 6.8-5.2 IA MWC Texas Christian 7 2 5.15 10.0-2.0 4.8-7.2 IA PAC_10 Oregon 8 2 4.97 13.0-0.0 8.0-5.0 IA WAC Boise State 9 2 4.19 10.0-2.0 5.8-6.2 IA Big_Ten Iowa 10 3 4.02 9.0-3.0 5.0-7.0 IA ACC Miami - Florida 11 3 3.89 9.0-3.0 5.1-6.9 IA ACC Virginia Tech 12 3 3.81 9.0-3.0 5.2-6.8 IA SEC Louisiana State 13 3 3.78 10.0-2.0 6.2-5.8 IA Big_Ten Ohio State 14 4 3.36 10.0-2.0 6.6-5.4 IA MWC Brigham Young 15 5 3.30 9.0-3.0 5.7-6.3 IA Big_12 Oklahoma State 16 5 3.21 10.0-2.0 6.8-5.2 IA Big_Ten Penn State 17 5 3.16 9.0-3.0 5.8-6.2 IA Big_East West Virginia 18 7 3.09 8.0-4.0 4.9-7.1 IA PAC_10 Southern California 19 7 3.06 8.0-4.0 4.9-7.1 IA PAC_10 Arizona 20 7 2.98 9.0-3.0 6.0-6.0 IA Big_East Pittsburgh 21 6 2.90 9.0-4.0 6.1-6.9 IA Big_12 Nebraska 22 7 2.80 11.0-2.0 8.2-4.8 IA MAC Central Michigan 23 7 2.77 8.0-4.0 5.2-6.8 IA PAC_10 Oregon State 24 6 2.75 8.0-4.0 5.2-6.8 IA PAC_10 California 25 8 2.73 8.0-4.0 5.3-6.7 IA PAC_10 Stanford 26 7 2.53 9.0-3.0 6.5-5.5 IA Big_Ten Wisconsin 27 8 2.41 7.0-5.0 4.6-7.4 IA SEC Georgia 28 6 2.33 8.0-4.0 5.7-6.3 IA Big_12 Missouri 29 6 2.32 9.0-3.0 6.7-5.3 IA MWC Utah 30 8 2.32 8.0-4.0 5.7-6.3 IA ACC North Carolina 31 8 2.28 10.0-3.0 7.7-5.3 IA CUSA Houston 32 8 2.20 8.0-5.0 5.8-7.2 IA ACC Clemson 33 8 2.15 8.0-4.0 5.9-6.1 IA SEC Mississippi 34 8 2.14 7.0-5.0 4.9-7.1 IA SEC South Carolina 35 8 2.12 8.0-4.0 5.9-6.1 IA Big_12 Texas Tech 36 8 2.08 8.0-4.0 5.9-6.1 IA ACC Boston College 37 7 1.97 7.0-5.0 5.0-7.0 IA SEC Auburn 38 8 1.94 7.0-5.0 5.1-6.9 IA SEC Arkansas 39 8 1.93 9.0-4.0 7.1-5.9 IA CUSA East Carolina 40 6 1.91 7.0-5.0 5.1-6.9 IA Big_12 Oklahoma 41 6 1.57 9.0-4.0 7.4-5.6 IA Indep Navy 42 6 1.54 7.0-5.0 5.5-6.5 IA SEC Tennessee 43 7 1.43 9.0-3.0 7.6-4.4 IA Sun_Belt Troy State 44 8 1.29 7.0-5.0 5.7-6.3 IA SEC Kentucky 45 8 1.27 8.0-4.0 6.7-5.3 IA WAC Fresno State 46 8 1.20 6.0-6.0 4.8-7.2 IA ACC Florida State 47 7 1.16 7.0-5.0 5.8-6.2 IA Big_East Connecticut 48 9 1.10 6.0-6.0 4.9-7.1 IA PAC_10 California - Los Angeles 49 9 1.09 9.0-3.0 7.9-4.1 IA MAC Temple 50 7 1.07 8.0-4.0 6.9-5.1 IA Big_Ten Northwestern 51 10 0.98 9.0-3.0 8.0-4.0 IA Sun_Belt Middle Tennessee State 52 8 0.97 8.0-4.0 7.0-5.0 IA WAC Nevada - Reno 53 9 0.95 8.0-4.0 7.1-4.9 IA Big_East Rutgers 54 9 0.92 8.0-4.0 7.1-4.9 IA CUSA Central Florida 55 8 0.74 7.0-5.0 6.3-5.7 IA Big_East South Florida 56 9 0.71 9.0-4.0 8.3-4.7 IA MAC Ohio 57 6 0.66 6.0-6.0 5.3-6.7 IA Indep Notre Dame 58 6 0.55 6.0-6.0 5.4-6.6 IA Big_Ten Minnesota 59 6 0.43 6.0-6.0 5.6-6.4 IA Big_12 Texas A&M 60 7 0.34 5.0-7.0 4.7-7.3 IA SEC Mississippi State 61 6 0.25 5.0-7.0 4.7-7.3 IA PAC_10 Washington 62 7 0.13 6.0-6.0 5.9-6.1 IA Big_12 Kansas State 63 7 0.11 7.0-5.0 6.9-5.1 IA MWC Air Force 64 8 -0.05 6.0-6.0 6.1-5.9 IA Big_Ten Michigan State 65 8 -0.06 7.0-5.0 7.1-4.9 IA WAC Idaho 66 7 -0.16 6.0-6.0 6.2-5.8 IA Big_12 Iowa State 67 8 -0.17 7.0-5.0 7.2-4.8 IA CUSA Southern Mississippi 68 7 -0.18 6.0-6.0 6.2-5.8 IA MWC Wyoming 69 9 -0.29 7.0-5.0 7.3-4.7 IA CUSA Southern Methodist 70 8 -0.31 7.0-5.0 7.3-4.7 IA MAC Bowling Green 71 8 -0.36 5.0-7.0 5.4-6.6 IA ACC Wake Forest 72 8 -0.56 5.0-7.0 5.6-6.4 IA Big_12 Kansas 73 8 -0.80 6.0-6.0 6.8-5.2 IA CUSA Marshall 74 8 -0.81 5.0-7.0 5.8-6.2 IA Big_Ten Purdue 75 8 -0.88 5.0-7.0 5.9-6.1 IA ACC Duke 76 9 -0.98 5.0-7.0 6.0-6.0 IA ACC North Carolina State 77 10 -1.05 7.0-5.0 8.0-4.0 IA MAC Northern Illinois 78 9 -1.07 4.0-8.0 5.1-6.9 IA Big_12 Baylor 79 12 -1.38 4.0-8.0 5.4-6.6 IA PAC_10 Arizona State 80 11 -1.45 5.0-7.0 6.4-5.6 IA MWC Nevada - Las Vegas 81 10 -1.49 5.0-7.0 6.5-5.5 IA Big_Ten Michigan 82 14 -1.61 6.0-6.0 7.6-4.4 IA Sun_Belt Northeast Louisiana 83 14 -1.74 6.0-6.0 7.7-4.3 IA Sun_Belt Louisiana - Lafayette 84 11 -1.75 4.0-8.0 5.7-6.3 IA Big_East Louisville 85 13 -1.87 6.0-7.0 7.9-5.1 IA WAC Hawaii 86 11 -1.89 3.0-9.0 4.9-7.1 IA ACC Virginia 87 11 -1.90 5.0-7.0 6.9-5.1 IA CUSA Alabama - Birmingham 88 11 -1.90 4.0-8.0 5.9-6.1 IA Big_East Syracuse 89 10 -2.27 4.0-8.0 6.3-5.7 IA Big_Ten Indiana 90 12 -2.30 5.0-7.0 7.3-4.7 IA CUSA Tulsa 91 12 -2.37 5.0-7.0 7.4-4.6 IA MAC Toledo 92 11 -2.39 3.0-9.0 5.4-6.6 IA Big_12 Colorado 93 11 -2.47 4.0-8.0 6.5-5.5 IA WAC Utah State 94 11 -2.53 4.0-8.0 6.5-5.5 IA WAC Louisiana Tech 95 13 -2.60 3.0-9.0 5.6-6.4 IA Big_Ten Illinois 96 13 -2.62 5.0-7.0 7.6-4.4 IA MAC Buffalo 97 14 -2.67 5.0-7.0 7.7-4.3 IA Sun_Belt Florida Atlantic 98 12 -2.70 4.0-8.0 6.7-5.3 IA MWC San Diego State 99 13 -2.92 5.0-7.0 7.9-4.1 IA Indep Army 100 12 -2.94 5.0-7.0 7.9-4.1 IA MAC Western Michigan 101 12 -3.00 5.0-7.0 8.0-4.0 IA MAC Kent State 102 10 -3.38 2.0-*** 5.4-6.6 IA SEC Vanderbilt 103 10 -3.43 3.0-9.0 6.4-5.6 IA MWC Colorado State 104 10 -3.57 2.0-*** 5.6-6.4 IA ACC Maryland 105 10 -3.57 4.0-8.0 7.6-4.4 IA CUSA Texas - El Paso 106 11 -3.71 1.0-*** 4.7-7.3 IA PAC_10 Washington State 107 12 -3.82 4.0-8.0 7.8-4.2 IA Sun_Belt Arkansas State 108 11 -4.00 3.0-9.0 7.0-5.0 IA CUSA Tulane 109 11 -4.17 3.0-9.0 7.2-4.8 IA Sun_Belt Florida International 110 10 -4.25 2.0-*** 6.2-5.8 IA WAC San Jose State 111 11 -4.34 2.0-*** 6.3-5.7 IA CUSA Rice 112 11 -4.43 3.0-9.0 7.4-4.6 IA MAC Akron 113 11 -4.46 2.0-*** 6.5-5.5 IA CUSA Memphis 114 11 -4.69 3.0-*** 7.7-5.3 IA WAC New Mexico State 115 9 -5.06 1.0-*** 6.1-5.9 IA MWC New Mexico 116 10 -5.52 1.0-*** 6.5-5.5 IA MAC Miami - Ohio 117 10 -5.65 2.0-*** 7.7-4.3 IA MAC Ball State 118 9 -6.02 2.0-*** 8.0-4.0 IA Sun_Belt North Texas 119 6 -7.28 0.0-*** 7.3-4.7 IA MAC Eastern Michigan 120 4 -7.70 0.0-*** 7.7-4.3 IA Sun_Belt Western Kentucky
Division IAA
rnk u scr act w-l sim w-l div conf team 1 7 3.05 13.0-1.0 9.9-4.1 IAA Colonial Villanova 2 12 2.41 13.0-0.0 10.6-2.4 IAA Big_Sky Montana 3 9 1.67 11.0-2.0 9.3-3.7 IAA Colonial Richmond 4 11 1.37 11.0-3.0 9.6-4.4 IAA Colonial William & Mary 5 12 0.73 11.0-3.0 10.3-3.7 IAA Southern Appalachian State 6 12 0.72 10.0-2.0 9.3-2.7 IAA Missouri_V Southern Illinois 7 11 0.24 10.0-3.0 9.8-3.2 IAA Colonial New Hampshire 8 11 -0.21 9.0-3.0 9.2-2.8 IAA Southern Elon 9 15 -0.22 10.0-2.0 10.2-1.8 IAA MEAC South Carolina State 10 13 -0.39 8.0-2.0 8.4-1.6 IAA Ivy Pennsylvania 11 16 -0.40 9.0-1.0 9.4-0.6 IAA SWAC Prairie View 12 16 -0.61 8.0-1.0 8.6-0.4 IAA Pioneer Butler 13 18 -0.70 9.0-1.0 9.7-0.3 IAA Pioneer Dayton 14 15 -0.85 8.0-4.0 8.8-3.2 IAA Missouri_V South Dakota State 15 19 -0.93 9.0-3.0 9.9-2.1 IAA Southland Stephen F. Austin 16 16 -0.95 8.0-3.0 9.0-2.0 IAA Ohio_V Jacksonville State 17 16 -0.99 9.0-2.0 10.0-1.0 IAA Patriot Colgate 18 19 -1.19 9.0-3.0 10.2-1.8 IAA Patriot Holy Cross 19 19 -1.27 7.0-3.0 8.3-1.7 IAA Big_South Liberty 20 19 -1.33 8.0-3.0 9.3-1.7 IAA Southland McNeese State 21 18 -1.33 7.0-4.0 8.3-2.7 IAA Big_Sky Eastern Washington 22 19 -1.43 8.0-3.0 9.4-1.6 IAA Patriot Lafayette 23 20 -1.47 8.0-3.0 9.5-1.5 IAA MEAC Florida A&M 24 17 -1.48 7.0-4.0 8.5-2.5 IAA Missouri_V Northern Iowa 25 15 -1.49 6.0-5.0 7.5-3.5 IAA Colonial James Madison 26 20 -1.62 7.0-2.0 8.6-0.4 IAA Indep Old Dominion 27 14 -1.70 5.0-5.0 6.7-3.3 IAA Colonial Delaware 28 19 -1.71 7.0-3.0 8.7-1.3 IAA Ivy Harvard 29 17 -1.73 6.0-4.0 7.7-2.3 IAA Big_Sky Montana State 30 25 -1.77 9.0-3.0 10.8-1.2 IAA NE Central Connecticut 31 18 -1.82 6.0-5.0 7.8-3.2 IAA Southern Furman 32 20 -1.84 8.0-4.0 9.8-2.2 IAA Ohio_V Eastern Illinois 33 19 -1.99 7.0-5.0 9.0-3.0 IAA Big_Sky Weber State 34 21 -2.05 5.0-4.0 7.1-1.9 IAA Great_West North Dakota 35 18 -2.14 5.0-5.0 7.1-2.9 IAA Southern Tennessee - Chattanooga 36 17 -2.19 6.0-5.0 8.2-2.8 IAA Missouri_V Youngstown State 37 21 -2.26 6.0-4.0 8.3-1.7 IAA Southland Texas State - San Marcos 38 18 -2.26 6.0-5.0 8.3-2.7 IAA Missouri_V Missouri State 39 19 -2.32 6.0-5.0 8.3-2.7 IAA Missouri_V Illinois State 40 20 -2.34 5.0-5.0 7.3-2.7 IAA Great_West California - Davis 41 23 -2.53 6.0-3.0 8.5-0.5 IAA Pioneer Drake 42 22 -2.62 7.0-4.0 9.6-1.4 IAA SWAC Grambling 43 15 -2.68 5.0-5.0 7.7-2.3 IAA Big_South Charleston Southern 44 18 -2.75 6.0-4.0 8.7-1.3 IAA Ivy Brown 45 19 -2.79 5.0-5.0 7.8-2.2 IAA Ohio_V Tennessee Tech 46 23 -2.86 7.0-4.0 9.9-1.1 IAA NE Albany 47 16 -2.89 5.0-6.0 7.9-3.1 IAA Southern Georgia Southern 48 22 -2.91 6.0-4.0 8.9-1.1 IAA MEAC Norfolk State 49 18 -2.93 5.0-6.0 7.9-3.1 IAA Big_Sky Northern Arizona 50 16 -3.09 5.0-6.0 8.1-2.9 IAA Colonial Massachusetts 51 15 -3.20 4.0-6.0 7.2-2.8 IAA Colonial Maine 52 17 -3.30 4.0-5.0 7.3-1.7 IAA Southland Southeast Louisiana 53 20 -3.32 5.0-4.0 8.3-0.7 IAA NE Wagner 54 20 -3.33 6.0-5.0 9.3-1.7 IAA Big_South Stony Brook 55 14 -3.38 5.0-6.0 8.4-2.6 IAA Colonial Hofstra 56 15 -3.40 4.0-5.0 7.4-1.6 IAA Big_South Gardner - Webb 57 15 -3.41 4.0-5.0 7.4-1.6 IAA Great_West South Dakota 58 20 -3.45 6.0-4.0 9.5-0.5 IAA Pioneer Jacksonville 59 18 -3.49 5.0-5.0 8.5-1.5 IAA SWAC Texas Southern 60 12 -3.50 4.0-6.0 7.5-2.5 IAA Southern Samford 61 18 -3.53 3.0-4.0 6.5-0.5 IAA SWAC Arkansas - Pine Bluff 62 22 -3.58 7.0-4.0 10.6-0.4 IAA Pioneer Marist 63 16 -3.70 5.0-6.0 8.7-2.3 IAA Big_Sky Sacramento State 64 21 -3.94 6.0-5.0 9.9-1.1 IAA MEAC Morgan State 65 18 -4.00 4.0-6.0 8.0-2.0 IAA Great_West Southern Utah 66 18 -4.07 5.0-6.0 9.1-1.9 IAA Ohio_V Eastern Kentucky 67 17 -4.11 5.0-6.0 9.1-1.9 IAA Big_South Coastal Carolina 68 23 -4.12 6.0-5.0 10.1-0.9 IAA SWAC Alabama A&M 69 16 -4.29 5.0-5.0 9.3-0.7 IAA MEAC Bethune - Cookman 70 17 -4.31 4.0-5.0 8.3-0.7 IAA SWAC Southern 71 16 -4.32 4.0-6.0 8.3-1.7 IAA MEAC Delaware State 72 13 -4.40 4.0-7.0 8.4-2.6 IAA Southern The Citadel 73 14 -4.41 4.0-6.0 8.4-1.6 IAA Southland Sam Houston State 74 16 -4.49 3.0-6.0 7.5-1.5 IAA SWAC Alcorn State 75 14 -4.51 3.0-7.0 7.5-2.5 IAA Great_West California Poly 76 15 -4.57 4.0-6.0 8.6-1.4 IAA Ivy Princeton 77 16 -4.58 4.0-6.0 8.6-1.4 IAA Ohio_V Tennessee - Martin 78 11 -4.65 3.0-8.0 7.6-3.4 IAA Colonial Northeastern 79 16 -4.79 4.0-6.0 8.8-1.2 IAA Ivy Columbia 80 14 -4.79 4.0-6.0 8.8-1.2 IAA Ivy Yale 81 13 -4.81 3.0-8.0 7.8-3.2 IAA Southern Wofford 82 18 -4.93 5.0-6.0 9.9-1.1 IAA Patriot Fordham 83 18 -5.13 4.0-6.0 9.1-0.9 IAA MEAC North Carolina A&T 84 18 -5.16 3.0-6.0 8.2-0.8 IAA Pioneer Davidson 85 18 -5.24 4.0-6.0 9.2-0.8 IAA Indep Bryant 86 17 -5.25 5.0-6.0 10.2-0.8 IAA MEAC Hampton 87 18 -5.25 5.0-6.0 10.3-0.7 IAA NE Monmouth 88 14 -5.29 4.0-7.0 9.3-1.7 IAA Patriot Lehigh 89 17 -5.35 5.0-6.0 10.3-0.7 IAA NE Robert Morris 90 14 -5.47 2.0-7.0 7.5-1.5 IAA Indep North Carolina Central 91 12 -5.51 3.0-8.0 8.5-2.5 IAA Big_Sky Northern Colorado 92 12 -5.54 3.0-8.0 8.5-2.5 IAA Missouri_V North Dakota State 93 13 -5.56 0.0-6.0 5.6-0.4 IAA Indep Savannah State 94 13 -5.63 2.0-6.0 7.6-0.4 IAA SWAC Alabama State 95 13 -5.65 3.0-7.0 8.7-1.3 IAA Southland Central Arkansas 96 14 -5.68 3.0-8.0 8.7-2.3 IAA Southland Nicholls State 97 16 -5.70 4.0-7.0 9.7-1.3 IAA Patriot Bucknell 98 12 -5.76 2.0-9.0 7.8-3.2 IAA Colonial Towson 99 15 -5.77 3.0-7.0 8.8-1.2 IAA Ohio_V Austin Peay 100 10 -5.82 1.0-9.0 6.8-3.2 IAA Big_Sky Idaho State 101 13 -6.04 3.0-7.0 9.0-1.0 IAA SWAC Jackson State 102 13 -6.15 4.0-7.0 10.2-0.8 IAA Ohio_V Tennessee State 103 10 -6.25 2.0-8.0 8.2-1.8 IAA Ivy Dartmouth 104 8 -6.28 1.0-9.0 7.3-2.7 IAA Missouri_V Indiana State 105 7 -6.39 2.0-9.0 8.4-2.6 IAA Southern Western Carolina 106 12 -6.44 3.0-7.0 9.4-0.6 IAA Pioneer San Diego 107 7 -6.47 1.0-9.0 7.5-2.5 IAA Big_Sky Portland State 108 9 -6.48 2.0-8.0 8.5-1.5 IAA Ohio_V Murray State 109 10 -6.61 2.0-7.0 8.6-0.4 IAA Pioneer Campbell 110 7 -6.65 1.0-*** 7.6-3.4 IAA Colonial Rhode Island 111 9 -6.75 2.0-8.0 8.7-1.3 IAA Ivy Cornell 112 9 -7.00 1.0-9.0 8.0-2.0 IAA Ohio_V Southeast Missouri State 113 10 -7.06 2.0-9.0 9.1-1.9 IAA Big_South Virginia Military 114 10 -7.17 1.0-8.0 8.2-0.8 IAA SWAC Mississippi Valley State 115 9 -7.23 2.0-8.0 9.2-0.8 IAA NE Sacred Heart 116 7 -7.30 1.0-*** 8.3-2.7 IAA Missouri_V Western Illinois 117 8 -7.36 3.0-8.0 10.4-0.6 IAA NE Duquesne 118 6 -7.61 2.0-9.0 9.6-1.4 IAA NE Saint Francis - Pennsylv 119 6 -7.62 2.0-9.0 9.6-1.4 IAA MEAC Howard 120 6 -7.65 0.0-8.0 7.7-0.3 IAA Pioneer Valparaiso 121 6 -7.67 2.0-8.0 9.7-0.3 IAA Pioneer Morehead State 122 4 -8.82 0.0-*** 8.8-2.2 IAA Southland Northwestern State 123 3 -9.00 1.0-*** 10.0-1.0 IAA MEAC Winston-Salem 124 3 -9.19 0.0-*** 9.2-1.8 IAA Big_South Presbyterian 125 4 -9.54 0.0-*** 9.5-1.5 IAA Patriot Georgetown
KEY:
rnk - rank based on how may games the given team has won divided by
the average number of wins other teams would get playing that
schedule using the Bassett Football Model
u - uncertainty in rank (e.g. u=1 would mean rank uncertain by
approximately 1 place, u=** for uncertainty greater than 99 places)
scr - Stephenson earned rank score: the actual wins of a team
subtracted by the average simulated wins of all teams if they
had played that team's schedule (as simulated by the model)
act w-l - actual win-loss record
sim w-l - simulated win-loss record of all teams if playing that schedule
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