ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
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90-100% chance of victory:
19 Alabama over 204 Florida International 56.0 to 3.5
12 Boise State over 185 Miami - Ohio 42.0 to 0.0
7 Cincinnati over 235 Southeast Missouri State 66.5 to 3.5
2 Florida over 111 Troy State 49.0 to 14.0
71 Northern Iowa over 220 South Dakota 45.5 to 10.5
15 Oklahoma over 203 Idaho State 56.0 to 3.5
30 Penn State over 155 Syracuse 38.5 to 3.5
35 Texas Tech over 183 Rice 56.0 to 21.0
11 Brigham Young over 173 Tulane 42.0 to 7.0
80-90% chance of victory:
55 Arizona over 141 Northern Arizona 35.0 to 10.5
8 Boston College over 126 Kent State 38.5 to 0.0
110 Hofstra over 217 Bryant 35.0 to 14.0
37 Pittsburgh over 132 Buffalo 28.0 to 10.5
6 California over 101 Eastern Washington 45.5 to 17.5
80 Montana over 195 California - Davis 35.0 to 14.0
98 California Poly over 226 Sacramento State 42.0 to 10.5
70 Colorado State over 168 Weber State 38.5 to 14.0
74 Florida State over 148 Jacksonville State 38.5 to 21.0
153 Grambling over 230 Northwestern State 42.0 to 17.5
106 Holy Cross over 240 Sacred Heart 52.5 to 7.0
73 Illinois over 166 Illinois State 35.0 to 10.5
121 Eastern Illinois over 229 Indiana State 31.5 to 10.5
81 Liberty over 202 North Carolina Central 42.0 to 14.0
5 Louisiana State over 53 Vanderbilt 35.0 to 14.0
64 Massachusetts over 125 Albany 31.5 to 14.0
26 Michigan State over 107 Central Michigan 42.0 to 17.5
123 Middle Tennessee State over 174 Memphis 38.5 to 21.0
10 Air Force over 92 Minnesota 42.0 to 24.5
3 Missouri over 83 Bowling Green 45.5 to 14.0
44 Navy over 145 Louisiana Tech 49.0 to 28.0
25 Nebraska over 93 Arkansas State 38.5 to 17.5
103 North Carolina State over 236 Murray State 49.0 to 7.0
144 Northeast Louisiana over 242 Texas Southern 49.0 to 10.5
88 San Diego over 225 Northern Colorado 42.0 to 17.5
69 Northwestern over 177 Eastern Michigan 42.0 to 14.0
56 Elon over 210 Presbyterian 42.0 to 14.0
76 Rutgers over 211 Howard 45.5 to 14.0
198 Samford over 238 Jacksonville 35.0 to 21.0
118 San Diego State over 206 Southern Utah 42.0 to 17.5
54 Utah over 163 San Jose State 31.5 to 14.0
205 Alabama State over 245 Savannah State 35.0 to 7.0
4 Tennessee over 41 California - Los Angeles 35.0 to 17.5
17 Kansas over 170 Texas - El Paso 49.0 to 17.5
85 Villanova over 147 Lehigh 35.0 to 21.0
28 Virginia Tech over 84 Marshall 38.5 to 21.0
42 Washington over 162 Idaho 38.5 to 10.5
14 South Florida over 165 Western Kentucky 42.0 to 10.5
13 West Virginia over 51 East Carolina 38.5 to 21.0
109 Wofford over 231 Charleston Southern 42.0 to 10.5
9 Texas over 115 Wyoming 42.0 to 21.0
136 Youngstown State over 227 Austin Peay 35.0 to 10.5
70-80% chance of victory:
184 Florida A&M over 237 Winston-Salem 28.0 to 14.0
140 Akron over 189 Morgan State 31.5 to 17.5
137 Alabama - Birmingham over 161 Southern Methodist 35.0 to 24.5
49 Appalachian State over 108 McNeese State 38.5 to 24.5
33 Auburn over 63 Mississippi State 24.5 to 14.0
116 South Carolina State over 187 Bethune - Cookman 35.0 to 24.5
190 Bucknell over 232 Robert Morris 24.5 to 10.5
112 Colgate over 159 Stony Brook 31.5 to 17.5
95 Lafayette over 201 Georgetown 28.0 to 10.5
36 Kansas State over 135 Louisiana - Lafayette 42.0 to 24.5
27 Michigan over 45 Notre Dame 21.0 to 10.5
38 Oregon State over 105 Nevada - Las Vegas 24.5 to 14.0
72 Hawaii over 122 Washington State 38.5 to 31.5
20 Oklahoma State over 61 Houston 38.5 to 21.0
22 Oregon over 40 Purdue 35.0 to 21.0
79 North Dakota State over 151 Sam Houston State 35.0 to 24.5
60 Southern Mississippi over 102 Central Florida 35.0 to 17.5
99 Furman over 175 Tennessee - Chattanooga 35.0 to 24.5
78 William & Mary over 134 Central Connecticut 38.5 to 24.5
60-70% chance of victory:
21 Clemson over 52 Georgia Tech 28.0 to 24.5
97 Colorado over 127 Toledo 35.0 to 31.5
142 Army over 138 Duke 21.0 to 17.5
104 New Hampshire over 156 Ball State 28.0 to 21.0
62 Connecticut over 59 North Carolina 21.0 to 17.5
58 Delaware over 65 Richmond 28.0 to 24.5
29 Georgia over 34 South Carolina 17.5 to 14.0
90 Indiana over 114 Western Michigan 28.0 to 21.0
47 James Madison over 91 Maryland 28.0 to 24.5
172 Tennessee - Martin over 212 Missouri State 28.0 to 24.5
50 Tulsa over 117 New Mexico 28.0 to 21.0
208 New Mexico State over 213 Prairie View 17.5 to 14.0
167 Duquesne over 223 Nicholls State 28.0 to 17.5
192 Norfolk State over 233 North Carolina A&T 28.0 to 17.5
133 Maine over 178 Northeastern 21.0 to 14.0
193 Jackson State over 228 Tennessee State 31.5 to 24.5
1 Southern California over 16 Ohio State 24.5 to 17.5
96 South Dakota State over 82 Georgia Southern 35.0 to 31.5
39 Texas Christian over 94 Virginia 21.0 to 14.0
48 Stanford over 89 Wake Forest 24.5 to 21.0
197 Gardner - Webb over 222 Western Carolina 28.0 to 24.5
50-60% chance of victory:
130 Hampton over 154 Alabama A&M 24.5 to 24.5
181 Coastal Carolina over 160 Monmouth 21.0 to 21.0
75 Iowa State over 57 Iowa 17.5 to 17.5
214 Marist over 200 Drake 21.0 to 21.0
131 Northern Illinois over 120 Western Illinois 24.5 to 24.5
129 Ohio over 150 North Texas 28.0 to 24.5
194 Morehead State over 215 Saint Francis - Pennsylv 21.0 to 21.0
31 Fresno State over 46 Wisconsin 24.5 to 24.5
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