ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
--- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- ---------------------
90-100% chance of victory:
31 Alabama over 162 North Texas 45.5 to 14.0
9 Brigham Young over 77 Florida State 35.0 to 10.5
81 Central Michigan over 237 Alcorn State 52.5 to 3.5
65 Delaware over 189 Delaware State 38.5 to 7.0
7 Kansas over 106 Duke 49.0 to 10.5
97 McNeese State over 245 Savannah State 66.5 to 0.0
21 Michigan over 167 Eastern Michigan 49.0 to 10.5
61 Mississippi over 202 Southeast Louisiana 45.5 to 7.0
41 Northern Iowa over 188 Saint Francis - Pennsylv 45.5 to 7.0
35 Oklahoma State over 185 Rice 56.0 to 10.5
29 Penn State over 164 Temple 42.0 to 3.5
40 South Carolina over 165 Florida Atlantic 42.0 to 10.5
80 South Dakota State over 232 Indiana State 49.0 to 3.5
14 South Florida over 219 Charleston Southern 59.5 to 0.0
22 Texas A&M over 147 Utah State 49.0 to 10.5
39 Texas Christian over 172 Texas State - San Marcos 49.0 to 10.5
80-90% chance of victory:
187 Florida A&M over 223 Howard 31.5 to 17.5
23 Arizona State over 116 Northeast Louisiana 42.0 to 10.5
25 California - Los Angeles over 64 Kansas State 28.0 to 14.0
139 Eastern Kentucky over 225 Tennessee Tech 38.5 to 14.0
66 Yale over 224 Georgetown 35.0 to 3.5
146 Georgia Southern over 220 Western Carolina 42.0 to 21.0
54 James Madison over 217 Virginia Military 56.0 to 10.5
17 Kentucky over 93 Louisville 45.5 to 17.5
6 Louisiana State over 132 Louisiana - Lafayette 49.0 to 7.0
144 Louisiana Tech over 212 Nicholls State 31.5 to 10.5
49 Maryland over 119 Middle Tennessee State 35.0 to 17.5
50 Massachusetts over 129 Rhode Island 38.5 to 17.5
3 California over 70 Minnesota 38.5 to 17.5
222 Arkansas - Pine Bluff over 242 Mississippi Valley State 31.5 to 14.0
8 Missouri over 94 Furman 49.0 to 17.5
191 Missouri State over 238 Murray State 42.0 to 17.5
88 Montana over 169 Portland State 35.0 to 14.0
33 Air Force over 125 New Mexico 31.5 to 14.0
90 William & Mary over 200 Norfolk State 38.5 to 17.5
85 North Carolina State over 193 Gardner - Webb 35.0 to 3.5
98 North Dakota State over 216 Wagner 42.0 to 14.0
138 Northern Arizona over 198 Southern Utah 38.5 to 21.0
15 Ohio State over 89 Toledo 45.5 to 21.0
4 Oklahoma over 34 Tulsa 38.5 to 21.0
37 Purdue over 92 Northern Illinois 38.5 to 21.0
46 Richmond over 114 Hofstra 31.5 to 10.5
134 Dayton over 228 Robert Morris 31.5 to 14.0
69 Rutgers over 199 Florida International 45.5 to 10.5
127 San Diego over 236 Marist 49.0 to 14.0
117 Eastern Illinois over 234 Southeast Missouri State 38.5 to 7.0
71 Stanford over 136 San Jose State 31.5 to 10.5
5 Texas over 32 Texas Tech 42.0 to 24.5
1 Southern California over 44 Washington 38.5 to 21.0
157 Weber State over 208 Idaho State 38.5 to 21.0
155 Western Illinois over 207 Stephen F. Austin 31.5 to 14.0
110 Western Michigan over 176 Miami - Ohio 24.5 to 7.0
42 Wisconsin over 100 Wofford 35.0 to 17.5
70-80% chance of victory:
11 Boise State over 43 Fresno State 31.5 to 21.0
87 Central Florida over 135 Buffalo 38.5 to 24.5
91 Colorado State over 149 Nevada - Reno 31.5 to 14.0
143 Cornell over 196 Bucknell 38.5 to 21.0
112 Eastern Washington over 177 Northern Colorado 28.0 to 10.5
2 Florida over 18 Tennessee 38.5 to 24.5
150 Fordham over 186 Columbia 35.0 to 24.5
159 Illinois State over 229 Austin Peay 38.5 to 17.5
36 Iowa over 56 Arizona 21.0 to 10.5
141 Grambling over 213 Jackson State 35.0 to 21.0
211 Old Dominion over 239 Jacksonville 31.5 to 17.5
72 Bowling Green over 128 Marshall 35.0 to 24.5
178 Monmouth over 214 Duquesne 28.0 to 14.0
201 Morgan State over 233 Winston-Salem 28.0 to 17.5
51 North Carolina over 62 East Carolina 28.0 to 17.5
154 Hampton over 231 North Carolina A&T 35.0 to 17.5
16 Oregon over 57 Utah 31.5 to 17.5
10 Cincinnati over 47 Oregon State 31.5 to 21.0
38 Pittsburgh over 58 Navy 38.5 to 28.0
122 Princeton over 145 The Citadel 28.0 to 21.0
74 Southern Mississippi over 95 Virginia 24.5 to 14.0
105 Brown over 170 Stony Brook 28.0 to 21.0
113 Troy State over 156 Alabama - Birmingham 35.0 to 21.0
53 Vanderbilt over 78 Mississippi State 24.5 to 14.0
20 Virginia Tech over 28 Nebraska 31.5 to 21.0
118 Washington State over 148 Southern Methodist 38.5 to 28.0
60-70% chance of victory:
131 Maine over 166 Albany 21.0 to 17.5
27 Arkansas over 26 Georgia 35.0 to 31.5
13 Boston College over 24 Clemson 28.0 to 24.5
103 Colorado over 108 Wyoming 24.5 to 21.0
115 Colgate over 142 Dartmouth 31.5 to 28.0
210 Campbell over 235 Davidson 31.5 to 24.5
67 Harvard over 109 Holy Cross 31.5 to 21.0
171 Memphis over 183 Tennessee - Martin 31.5 to 24.5
55 Hawaii over 96 Nevada - Las Vegas 31.5 to 24.5
160 Texas - El Paso over 195 New Mexico State 28.0 to 24.5
206 North Carolina Central over 226 Morehead State 24.5 to 17.5
133 Youngstown State over 179 Northeastern 24.5 to 17.5
175 North Dakota over 209 Northwestern State 24.5 to 21.0
59 Notre Dame over 52 Michigan State 31.5 to 24.5
180 Tennessee - Chattanooga over 215 Presbyterian 28.0 to 24.5
194 Southern over 218 Tennessee State 28.0 to 17.5
84 Northwestern over 124 Syracuse 28.0 to 24.5
60 Wake Forest over 75 Elon 28.0 to 21.0
50-60% chance of victory:
48 Miami - Florida over 45 Georgia Tech 35.0 to 31.5
104 Akron over 86 Indiana 21.0 to 21.0
158 Alabama A&M over 151 Jacksonville State 21.0 to 21.0
152 Army over 137 Ball State 21.0 to 17.5
19 Auburn over 12 West Virginia 28.0 to 28.0
83 Baylor over 73 Connecticut 21.0 to 17.5
120 San Diego State over 153 Idaho 28.0 to 24.5
130 Kent State over 111 Iowa State 17.5 to 17.5
101 Lafayette over 82 Liberty 24.5 to 21.0
99 California Poly over 123 Ohio 35.0 to 35.0
76 Villanova over 102 Pennsylvania 24.5 to 24.5
197 Drake over 221 South Dakota 24.5 to 24.5
184 Towson over 173 Coastal Carolina 21.0 to 17.5
168 Western Kentucky over 163 Central Arkansas 24.5 to 21.0
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