ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
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90-100% chance of victory:
78 Appalachian State over 222 North Carolina Central 52.5 to 10.5
68 Central Michigan over 169 Eastern Michigan 38.5 to 14.0
13 Kansas over 103 Iowa State 42.0 to 10.5
89 Jacksonville State over 237 Murray State 49.0 to 14.0
5 Oklahoma over 69 Baylor 42.0 to 10.5
62 Rutgers over 244 Texas Southern 59.5 to 0.0
2 Texas over 76 Colorado 45.5 to 14.0
80-90% chance of victory:
94 Colgate over 197 Princeton 28.0 to 10.5
142 Albany over 196 Duquesne 28.0 to 10.5
92 Vanderbilt over 170 Army 24.5 to 10.5
159 Dayton over 238 Campbell 38.5 to 17.5
167 Central Connecticut over 218 Robert Morris 31.5 to 10.5
148 Delaware State over 224 Bethune - Cookman 35.0 to 7.0
153 Eastern Kentucky over 216 Tennessee State 31.5 to 10.5
112 Eastern Washington over 161 Weber State 38.5 to 21.0
175 Hampton over 211 Howard 31.5 to 14.0
91 Lafayette over 150 Columbia 28.0 to 10.5
171 Lehigh over 220 Georgetown 28.0 to 10.5
80 South Dakota State over 173 Missouri State 28.0 to 14.0
203 Morgan State over 233 North Carolina A&T 24.5 to 10.5
19 Brigham Young over 136 Nevada - Las Vegas 42.0 to 17.5
84 North Carolina over 127 Georgia Southern 28.0 to 10.5
58 North Carolina State over 99 Duke 38.5 to 21.0
87 William & Mary over 191 Northeastern 38.5 to 17.5
96 Northwestern over 180 Miami - Ohio 38.5 to 17.5
154 Central Arkansas over 229 Northwestern State 35.0 to 14.0
7 Ohio State over 21 Wisconsin 31.5 to 14.0
26 Penn State over 160 Eastern Illinois 42.0 to 7.0
118 Pennsylvania over 194 Bucknell 35.0 to 7.0
51 Navy over 178 Rice 49.0 to 24.5
184 Sam Houston State over 212 Nicholls State 38.5 to 24.5
85 Southern Illinois over 145 Illinois State 31.5 to 17.5
15 West Virginia over 104 Syracuse 42.0 to 24.5
190 San Diego over 243 Valparaiso 42.0 to 21.0
10 Virginia Tech over 22 Boston College 31.5 to 17.5
33 Wake Forest over 67 Maryland 35.0 to 21.0
116 Yale over 164 Dartmouth 35.0 to 17.5
70-80% chance of victory:
8 Missouri over 16 Nebraska 31.5 to 21.0
86 Nevada - Reno over 117 Louisiana Tech 31.5 to 21.0
195 Prairie View over 239 Alabama State 21.0 to 10.5
234 Alcorn State over 242 Mississippi Valley State 24.5 to 14.0
149 Buffalo over 183 Gardner - Webb 31.5 to 17.5
3 Oregon over 46 California - Los Angeles 31.5 to 17.5
182 Coastal Carolina over 201 Virginia Military 31.5 to 21.0
41 Utah over 97 Colorado State 31.5 to 21.0
66 Harvard over 135 Cornell 31.5 to 21.0
98 Elon over 124 The Citadel 31.5 to 21.0
163 Fordham over 206 Bryant 31.5 to 17.5
130 Hofstra over 152 Maine 24.5 to 14.0
166 Louisiana - Lafayette over 174 North Texas 31.5 to 21.0
225 Marist over 236 Jacksonville 24.5 to 17.5
28 Miami - Florida over 144 Florida A&M 42.0 to 10.5
9 Alabama over 54 Mississippi 28.0 to 17.5
61 Mississippi State over 72 Houston 38.5 to 28.0
168 Monmouth over 200 Wagner 31.5 to 21.0
82 Montana over 110 California Poly 28.0 to 17.5
125 Utah State over 185 New Mexico State 31.5 to 24.5
139 South Carolina State over 188 Norfolk State 28.0 to 21.0
137 Stony Brook over 193 North Dakota 28.0 to 21.0
44 Northern Iowa over 109 North Dakota State 35.0 to 24.5
205 Old Dominion over 226 Presbyterian 38.5 to 28.0
165 Rhode Island over 199 Towson 31.5 to 17.5
198 Sacramento State over 230 Idaho State 31.5 to 17.5
40 South Carolina over 59 Kentucky 31.5 to 21.0
74 East Carolina over 132 Southern Methodist 31.5 to 24.5
123 Temple over 147 Ball State 28.0 to 21.0
186 Texas State - San Marcos over 221 Southeast Louisiana 38.5 to 24.5
31 Texas Tech over 63 Kansas State 35.0 to 24.5
57 Arizona State over 107 Washington State 28.0 to 21.0
113 Wyoming over 141 New Mexico 28.0 to 17.5
138 Youngstown State over 176 Western Illinois 28.0 to 14.0
60-70% chance of victory:
95 Troy State over 100 Middle Tennessee State 28.0 to 24.5
79 Ohio over 131 Akron 35.0 to 28.0
6 Auburn over 20 Arkansas 38.5 to 31.5
43 Massachusetts over 75 Delaware 28.0 to 24.5
35 Florida State over 23 Georgia Tech 28.0 to 24.5
37 Fresno State over 83 Hawaii 38.5 to 31.5
42 Michigan State over 77 Illinois 31.5 to 28.0
32 Iowa over 27 Michigan 24.5 to 17.5
204 Jackson State over 217 Arkansas - Pine Bluff 21.0 to 10.5
47 Richmond over 73 James Madison 28.0 to 24.5
114 Bowling Green over 162 Kent State 28.0 to 24.5
1 Florida over 11 Louisiana State 28.0 to 24.5
121 Texas - El Paso over 156 Memphis 31.5 to 28.0
71 Minnesota over 65 Purdue 31.5 to 28.0
157 Montana State over 133 Northern Arizona 31.5 to 28.0
208 Northern Colorado over 207 Portland State 24.5 to 17.5
39 Pittsburgh over 45 Connecticut 21.0 to 17.5
146 Tennessee - Chattanooga over 189 Samford 21.0 to 14.0
140 California - Davis over 192 South Dakota 28.0 to 21.0
209 Tennessee - Martin over 213 Tennessee Tech 31.5 to 24.5
106 Toledo over 128 Western Michigan 35.0 to 28.0
115 Marshall over 155 Tulane 28.0 to 24.5
64 Virginia over 70 Indiana 31.5 to 21.0
49 Washington over 52 Arizona 28.0 to 24.5
181 Western Kentucky over 177 Florida International 31.5 to 28.0
50-60% chance of victory:
30 Texas Christian over 60 Air Force 21.0 to 17.5
81 Holy Cross over 108 Brown 31.5 to 31.5
235 Davidson over 231 Morehead State 21.0 to 21.0
172 Alabama A&M over 187 Grambling 28.0 to 28.0
101 Louisville over 93 Southern Mississippi 31.5 to 28.0
55 New Hampshire over 48 Villanova 28.0 to 28.0
53 Oregon State over 38 Stanford 24.5 to 24.5
214 Saint Francis - Pennsylv over 228 Sacred Heart 28.0 to 28.0
129 San Jose State over 111 Idaho 28.0 to 28.0
232 Southeast Missouri State over 223 Austin Peay 24.5 to 24.5
134 Stephen F. Austin over 126 McNeese State 38.5 to 35.0
24 Tennessee over 17 Georgia 24.5 to 24.5
34 Oklahoma State over 56 Texas A&M 31.5 to 28.0
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