ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
--- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- ---------------------
90-100% chance of victory:
85 East Carolina over 189 Rice 45.5 to 17.5
27 Fresno State over 139 San Jose State 42.0 to 14.0
111 Colgate over 228 Georgetown 35.0 to 7.0
84 Holy Cross over 181 Dartmouth 45.5 to 21.0
145 Illinois State over 241 Indiana State 42.0 to 7.0
204 Jackson State over 243 Texas Southern 31.5 to 7.0
133 McNeese State over 232 Northwestern State 42.0 to 10.5
36 Michigan over 168 Delaware State 38.5 to 3.5
206 Bethune - Cookman over 245 Savannah State 42.0 to 7.0
17 West Virginia over 101 Marshall 38.5 to 14.0
80-90% chance of victory:
199 Morgan State over 233 Howard 24.5 to 7.0
8 Alabama over 42 South Carolina 31.5 to 14.0
166 Grambling over 240 Alabama State 35.0 to 14.0
115 Albany over 209 Bryant 35.0 to 7.0
18 Auburn over 55 Kentucky 42.0 to 24.5
104 Brown over 188 Princeton 35.0 to 10.5
239 Butler over 244 Valparaiso 35.0 to 17.5
131 California - Davis over 225 Winston-Salem 35.0 to 7.0
114 California Poly over 192 Southern Utah 38.5 to 17.5
164 Dayton over 227 Davidson 38.5 to 14.0
172 Eastern Illinois over 216 Tennessee Tech 38.5 to 21.0
1 Florida over 13 Arkansas 35.0 to 17.5
117 Furman over 198 Samford 31.5 to 10.5
100 Liberty over 174 Coastal Carolina 28.0 to 7.0
128 Louisiana Tech over 179 New Mexico State 24.5 to 10.5
37 Richmond over 140 Maine 31.5 to 10.5
39 Michigan State over 98 Northwestern 35.0 to 17.5
63 Mississippi over 142 Alabama - Birmingham 35.0 to 10.5
68 Montana over 130 Eastern Washington 35.0 to 17.5
40 Utah over 151 Nevada - Las Vegas 38.5 to 17.5
86 Ohio over 170 Miami - Ohio 35.0 to 14.0
24 Penn State over 64 Minnesota 31.5 to 17.5
197 Prairie View over 242 Mississippi Valley State 31.5 to 7.0
6 Ohio State over 76 Purdue 35.0 to 10.5
177 San Diego over 208 Drake 35.0 to 21.0
20 Brigham Young over 120 San Diego State 42.0 to 21.0
34 Navy over 118 Southern Methodist 42.0 to 28.0
205 Tennessee State over 238 Murray State 35.0 to 17.5
26 Texas Christian over 92 Colorado State 35.0 to 14.0
57 Delaware over 180 Towson 42.0 to 17.5
69 Houston over 167 Tulane 38.5 to 24.5
129 Weber State over 191 Sacramento State 35.0 to 21.0
148 The Citadel over 223 Western Carolina 35.0 to 21.0
70-80% chance of victory:
9 Boise State over 49 Tulsa 35.0 to 24.5
60 Air Force over 105 Wyoming 28.0 to 14.0
182 Alabama A&M over 226 Alcorn State 31.5 to 21.0
46 Boston College over 87 North Carolina State 35.0 to 17.5
31 Miami - Florida over 93 Central Florida 31.5 to 21.0
30 Clemson over 41 Wake Forest 28.0 to 17.5
16 Kansas over 65 Colorado 35.0 to 24.5
50 Connecticut over 89 Louisville 35.0 to 17.5
161 Central Connecticut over 214 Duquesne 31.5 to 21.0
173 Eastern Kentucky over 213 Tennessee - Martin 35.0 to 17.5
73 Troy State over 169 Florida International 35.0 to 21.0
207 Gardner - Webb over 217 Charleston Southern 28.0 to 21.0
3 Virginia Tech over 22 Georgia Tech 35.0 to 28.0
62 Harvard over 91 Lafayette 24.5 to 14.0
165 Montana State over 190 South Dakota 24.5 to 14.0
10 Nebraska over 11 Texas Tech 31.5 to 24.5
38 Northern Iowa over 72 Southern Illinois 35.0 to 21.0
5 Southern California over 35 Notre Dame 24.5 to 14.0
201 Old Dominion over 235 Campbell 35.0 to 17.5
123 Northern Arizona over 194 Portland State 38.5 to 28.0
122 South Carolina State over 162 Florida A&M 31.5 to 21.0
90 South Dakota State over 106 North Dakota State 31.5 to 24.5
96 Southern Mississippi over 137 Memphis 31.5 to 17.5
119 Temple over 155 Army 24.5 to 14.0
83 Northern Illinois over 135 Toledo 38.5 to 28.0
67 Nevada - Reno over 152 Utah State 42.0 to 28.0
29 Georgia over 110 Vanderbilt 28.0 to 17.5
158 Stony Brook over 212 Virginia Military 35.0 to 21.0
74 Appalachian State over 153 Wofford 38.5 to 28.0
60-70% chance of victory:
32 Pittsburgh over 71 Rutgers 24.5 to 21.0
52 Arizona over 53 Stanford 28.0 to 24.5
54 Arizona State over 48 Washington 28.0 to 24.5
102 Bowling Green over 149 Ball State 35.0 to 31.5
127 Buffalo over 141 Akron 24.5 to 17.5
144 Cornell over 150 Fordham 31.5 to 28.0
157 Kent State over 187 Eastern Michigan 28.0 to 24.5
138 Georgia Southern over 143 Tennessee - Chattanooga 28.0 to 24.5
109 Idaho over 107 Hawaii 35.0 to 31.5
211 Northern Colorado over 234 Idaho State 24.5 to 17.5
77 Illinois over 112 Indiana 28.0 to 24.5
88 Iowa State over 79 Baylor 28.0 to 24.5
56 Villanova over 81 James Madison 28.0 to 24.5
59 Texas A&M over 94 Kansas State 31.5 to 28.0
103 Yale over 154 Lehigh 21.0 to 17.5
43 Virginia over 70 Maryland 28.0 to 24.5
80 Mississippi State over 121 Middle Tennessee State 24.5 to 21.0
195 Texas State - San Marcos over 222 Nicholls State 38.5 to 35.0
160 Hampton over 193 Norfolk State 28.0 to 21.0
147 Florida Atlantic over 184 North Texas 38.5 to 31.5
136 Hofstra over 175 Rhode Island 28.0 to 21.0
221 Robert Morris over 224 Saint Francis - Pennsylv 28.0 to 21.0
183 Monmouth over 215 Sacred Heart 24.5 to 21.0
176 Sam Houston State over 203 Southeast Louisiana 35.0 to 31.5
159 Louisiana - Lafayette over 185 Western Kentucky 28.0 to 24.5
58 Central Michigan over 95 Western Michigan 31.5 to 24.5
28 Wisconsin over 33 Iowa 24.5 to 21.0
50-60% chance of victory:
116 Northeast Louisiana over 97 Arkansas State 31.5 to 31.5
21 South Florida over 12 Cincinnati 24.5 to 24.5
25 California over 51 California - Los Angeles 21.0 to 21.0
146 Central Arkansas over 126 Stephen F. Austin 24.5 to 21.0
134 Columbia over 124 Pennsylvania 17.5 to 17.5
237 Jacksonville over 231 Morehead State 21.0 to 21.0
61 Massachusetts over 47 New Hampshire 28.0 to 28.0
2 Texas over 7 Oklahoma 24.5 to 24.5
15 Missouri over 23 Oklahoma State 31.5 to 28.0
171 Western Illinois over 163 Missouri State 21.0 to 21.0
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