ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
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90-100% chance of victory:
55 Tulsa over 118 Texas - El Paso 35.0 to 21.0
78 Rutgers over 140 Army 24.5 to 14.0
103 Arkansas State over 139 Florida International 38.5 to 21.0
20 Oklahoma State over 81 Baylor 35.0 to 21.0
15 California over 111 Washington State 42.0 to 14.0
151 Central Arkansas over 214 Nicholls State 35.0 to 7.0
7 Cincinnati over 82 Louisville 45.5 to 17.5
136 Harvard over 212 Princeton 35.0 to 7.0
6 Boise State over 98 Hawaii 45.5 to 17.5
54 Houston over 101 Southern Methodist 42.0 to 28.0
167 Western Illinois over 231 Indiana State 35.0 to 14.0
108 Jacksonville State over 161 Eastern Illinois 31.5 to 10.5
112 Lafayette over 163 Fordham 38.5 to 17.5
95 Marshall over 137 Alabama - Birmingham 31.5 to 14.0
132 McNeese State over 186 Southeast Louisiana 42.0 to 21.0
120 Middle Tennessee State over 179 Western Kentucky 35.0 to 14.0
3 Florida over 62 Mississippi State 35.0 to 10.5
216 Jackson State over 243 Mississippi Valley State 24.5 to 10.5
25 Nebraska over 70 Iowa State 31.5 to 10.5
28 Fresno State over 175 New Mexico State 49.0 to 10.5
113 Northern Arizona over 226 Idaho State 52.5 to 14.0
80 Ohio over 127 Kent State 28.0 to 14.0
21 Ohio State over 66 Minnesota 31.5 to 7.0
92 Central Florida over 171 Rice 38.5 to 21.0
74 Montana over 200 Sacramento State 45.5 to 17.5
204 Old Dominion over 245 Savannah State 45.5 to 14.0
46 South Carolina over 106 Vanderbilt 24.5 to 7.0
4 Southern California over 43 Oregon State 35.0 to 10.5
64 Southern Illinois over 142 Youngstown State 35.0 to 14.0
72 Southern Mississippi over 160 Tulane 38.5 to 14.0
117 Stephen F. Austin over 178 Sam Houston State 45.5 to 28.0
100 Syracuse over 133 Akron 31.5 to 21.0
198 Tennessee - Martin over 224 Murray State 35.0 to 21.0
8 Texas Tech over 93 Texas A&M 52.5 to 17.5
185 Dayton over 244 Valparaiso 42.0 to 7.0
58 Villanova over 181 Rhode Island 49.0 to 7.0
80-90% chance of victory:
9 Alabama over 14 Tennessee 28.0 to 17.5
102 Appalachian State over 134 Georgia Southern 42.0 to 31.5
169 Eastern Kentucky over 213 Austin Peay 28.0 to 17.5
91 Liberty over 210 Charleston Southern 45.5 to 14.0
77 Colorado State over 109 San Diego State 35.0 to 24.5
191 Delaware State over 211 Morgan State 17.5 to 7.0
71 Duke over 90 Maryland 35.0 to 28.0
97 Elon over 152 Tennessee - Chattanooga 28.0 to 10.5
130 South Carolina State over 208 Hampton 38.5 to 17.5
86 New Hampshire over 146 Hofstra 28.0 to 17.5
129 Holy Cross over 145 Colgate 31.5 to 24.5
32 Kentucky over 84 Northeast Louisiana 35.0 to 17.5
13 Louisiana State over 26 Auburn 28.0 to 17.5
85 Northern Illinois over 156 Miami - Ohio 24.5 to 10.5
1 Texas over 29 Missouri 35.0 to 21.0
232 Marist over 242 Morehead State 21.0 to 14.0
40 Navy over 63 Wake Forest 35.0 to 28.0
67 Nevada - Reno over 79 Idaho 35.0 to 28.0
124 North Dakota State over 155 Missouri State 31.5 to 17.5
116 Weber State over 187 Northern Colorado 31.5 to 14.0
166 Texas State - San Marcos over 221 Northwestern State 45.5 to 31.5
49 Purdue over 94 Illinois 35.0 to 17.5
158 Southern Utah over 170 North Dakota 31.5 to 24.5
162 Stony Brook over 189 Coastal Carolina 28.0 to 14.0
193 Tennessee Tech over 229 Southeast Missouri State 31.5 to 14.0
68 Troy State over 153 North Texas 49.0 to 21.0
38 Utah over 57 Air Force 21.0 to 14.0
203 Wagner over 236 Sacred Heart 38.5 to 21.0
2 Oregon over 41 Washington 35.0 to 21.0
150 Wofford over 197 Western Carolina 28.0 to 17.5
99 Western Michigan over 115 Buffalo 28.0 to 21.0
22 West Virginia over 52 Connecticut 31.5 to 17.5
75 William & Mary over 123 James Madison 31.5 to 17.5
70-80% chance of victory:
205 Alcorn State over 240 Alabama State 24.5 to 10.5
31 Arizona over 50 California - Los Angeles 28.0 to 21.0
222 Bethune - Cookman over 233 Winston-Salem 24.5 to 17.5
56 Central Michigan over 83 Bowling Green 31.5 to 24.5
180 Central Connecticut over 209 Bryant 24.5 to 21.0
188 Lehigh over 218 Bucknell 21.0 to 14.0
149 Brown over 182 Cornell 31.5 to 24.5
173 Columbia over 194 Dartmouth 31.5 to 24.5
206 Drake over 234 Davidson 24.5 to 17.5
141 Ball State over 176 Eastern Michigan 28.0 to 21.0
131 Eastern Washington over 154 Montana State 24.5 to 17.5
10 Oklahoma over 27 Kansas 28.0 to 21.0
53 Kansas State over 59 Colorado 31.5 to 24.5
12 Arkansas over 51 Mississippi 28.0 to 24.5
157 Albany over 195 Monmouth 28.0 to 21.0
192 Northeastern over 190 Towson 28.0 to 24.5
23 Notre Dame over 34 Boston College 31.5 to 24.5
143 Pennsylvania over 144 Yale 14.0 to 10.5
138 California - Davis over 184 Portland State 31.5 to 21.0
202 Virginia Military over 227 Presbyterian 31.5 to 28.0
60 Richmond over 73 Massachusetts 28.0 to 21.0
207 San Diego over 220 Jacksonville 28.0 to 21.0
104 Louisiana Tech over 125 Utah State 28.0 to 24.5
60-70% chance of victory:
183 Prairie View over 199 Southern 28.0 to 24.5
241 Campbell over 238 Butler 24.5 to 21.0
168 Florida A&M over 165 Norfolk State 28.0 to 24.5
228 North Carolina A&T over 235 Howard 17.5 to 14.0
24 Michigan over 35 Penn State 24.5 to 21.0
30 Iowa over 42 Michigan State 21.0 to 21.0
119 Nevada - Las Vegas over 147 New Mexico 31.5 to 31.5
96 Northwestern over 87 Indiana 28.0 to 24.5
36 Pittsburgh over 37 South Florida 24.5 to 21.0
223 Duquesne over 239 Saint Francis - Pennsylv 24.5 to 21.0
61 Northern Iowa over 88 South Dakota State 24.5 to 21.0
44 Stanford over 47 Arizona State 24.5 to 24.5
126 Furman over 164 The Citadel 35.0 to 28.0
50-60% chance of victory:
39 Florida State over 65 North Carolina 21.0 to 21.0
11 Texas Christian over 17 Brigham Young 28.0 to 28.0
128 Louisiana - Lafayette over 114 Florida Atlantic 35.0 to 31.5
16 Clemson over 33 Miami - Florida 21.0 to 17.5
110 Toledo over 107 Temple 31.5 to 31.5
18 Georgia Tech over 48 Virginia 24.5 to 24.5
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