ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
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90-100% chance of victory:
20 Arkansas over 170 Eastern Michigan 56.0 to 10.5
4 Boise State over 125 San Jose State 49.0 to 7.0
75 Southern Illinois over 218 Indiana State 42.0 to 3.5
23 Iowa over 101 Indiana 38.5 to 7.0
231 Marist over 244 Valparaiso 35.0 to 10.5
159 Montana State over 222 Idaho State 38.5 to 10.5
86 New Hampshire over 178 Northeastern 38.5 to 10.5
132 McNeese State over 219 Nicholls State 42.0 to 21.0
14 Ohio State over 169 New Mexico State 45.5 to 0.0
70 William & Mary over 172 Rhode Island 38.5 to 14.0
7 Cincinnati over 99 Syracuse 42.0 to 17.5
9 Texas Christian over 115 Nevada - Las Vegas 45.5 to 7.0
35 Utah over 93 Wyoming 31.5 to 10.5
80-90% chance of victory:
73 East Carolina over 129 Memphis 31.5 to 21.0
6 Virginia Tech over 67 North Carolina 38.5 to 10.5
37 Nebraska over 88 Baylor 28.0 to 14.0
15 Clemson over 191 Coastal Carolina 52.5 to 0.0
148 Colgate over 185 Lehigh 31.5 to 17.5
192 Dayton over 213 San Diego 28.0 to 17.5
180 Eastern Kentucky over 220 Southeast Missouri State 31.5 to 14.0
30 Florida State over 81 North Carolina State 45.5 to 24.5
26 Fresno State over 116 Utah State 45.5 to 17.5
166 Grambling over 242 Mississippi Valley State 45.5 to 10.5
126 Harvard over 175 Dartmouth 35.0 to 14.0
46 Houston over 66 Southern Mississippi 35.0 to 24.5
42 Michigan over 102 Illinois 31.5 to 21.0
124 Lafayette over 224 Bucknell 42.0 to 7.0
117 Liberty over 228 Presbyterian 49.0 to 7.0
13 Louisiana State over 168 Tulane 52.5 to 0.0
79 Montana over 123 Weber State 42.0 to 28.0
136 Eastern Illinois over 234 Murray State 42.0 to 10.5
38 Navy over 89 Temple 35.0 to 17.5
58 Nevada - Reno over 109 Hawaii 45.5 to 28.0
25 Notre Dame over 114 Washington State 38.5 to 14.0
173 Norfolk State over 237 Howard 35.0 to 10.5
87 Northern Illinois over 133 Akron 28.0 to 14.0
16 Penn State over 90 Northwestern 35.0 to 10.5
130 Eastern Washington over 183 Portland State 38.5 to 24.5
10 Oklahoma over 59 Kansas State 31.5 to 7.0
1 Texas over 17 Oklahoma State 35.0 to 21.0
206 Old Dominion over 233 Georgetown 24.5 to 14.0
113 Northern Arizona over 188 Sacramento State 42.0 to 24.5
82 San Diego State over 160 New Mexico 38.5 to 17.5
128 South Carolina State over 187 Delaware State 31.5 to 10.5
163 Tennessee - Chattanooga over 205 Western Carolina 31.5 to 14.0
104 Texas - El Paso over 138 Alabama - Birmingham 35.0 to 21.0
49 Richmond over 200 Towson 49.0 to 7.0
65 Tulsa over 107 Southern Methodist 35.0 to 21.0
11 Georgia Tech over 98 Vanderbilt 31.5 to 14.0
131 North Dakota State over 176 Western Illinois 35.0 to 24.5
83 Elon over 157 Wofford 35.0 to 21.0
70-80% chance of victory:
12 California over 57 Arizona State 31.5 to 21.0
122 Jacksonville State over 196 Austin Peay 35.0 to 14.0
103 Ohio over 135 Ball State 28.0 to 21.0
241 Campbell over 243 Morehead State 21.0 to 17.5
40 Missouri over 78 Colorado 28.0 to 17.5
56 Air Force over 95 Colorado State 28.0 to 17.5
155 Yale over 182 Columbia 17.5 to 10.5
53 Connecticut over 77 Rutgers 28.0 to 17.5
80 Delaware over 127 James Madison 31.5 to 17.5
203 Drake over 211 Jacksonville 28.0 to 21.0
144 Florida International over 149 Louisiana - Lafayette 31.5 to 28.0
119 Holy Cross over 165 Fordham 38.5 to 28.0
74 Appalachian State over 141 Furman 42.0 to 31.5
162 Stony Brook over 193 Gardner - Webb 24.5 to 21.0
33 Kentucky over 54 Mississippi State 31.5 to 21.0
84 Louisville over 100 Arkansas State 28.0 to 21.0
85 Massachusetts over 145 Maine 28.0 to 17.5
154 Missouri State over 158 Illinois State 24.5 to 17.5
199 Alabama A&M over 229 Alabama State 24.5 to 14.0
3 Florida over 18 Georgia 35.0 to 21.0
121 California Poly over 181 North Dakota 31.5 to 17.5
153 North Texas over 186 Western Kentucky 42.0 to 31.5
2 Oregon over 5 Southern California 28.0 to 21.0
32 Oregon State over 55 California - Los Angeles 28.0 to 21.0
223 Robert Morris over 239 Sacred Heart 31.5 to 17.5
195 Sam Houston State over 221 Northwestern State 35.0 to 17.5
150 Central Arkansas over 184 Southeast Louisiana 31.5 to 24.5
22 Tennessee over 45 South Carolina 24.5 to 17.5
194 Tennessee Tech over 217 Tennessee State 24.5 to 10.5
110 Stephen F. Austin over 167 Texas State - San Marcos 42.0 to 28.0
147 The Citadel over 164 Samford 24.5 to 17.5
71 Troy State over 97 Northeast Louisiana 31.5 to 24.5
62 Virginia over 69 Duke 24.5 to 17.5
72 South Dakota State over 140 Youngstown State 24.5 to 14.0
76 Central Florida over 94 Marshall 24.5 to 14.0
60-70% chance of victory:
210 Arkansas - Pine Bluff over 208 Southern 24.5 to 17.5
31 Auburn over 39 Mississippi 24.5 to 21.0
36 Boston College over 51 Central Michigan 28.0 to 17.5
134 Brown over 139 Pennsylvania 21.0 to 17.5
156 Albany over 174 Central Connecticut 28.0 to 24.5
202 Wagner over 235 Duquesne 31.5 to 28.0
108 Idaho over 111 Louisiana Tech 31.5 to 28.0
120 Toledo over 151 Miami - Ohio 31.5 to 31.5
47 Michigan State over 68 Minnesota 28.0 to 24.5
207 Monmouth over 209 Bryant 21.0 to 17.5
161 Florida A&M over 212 Morgan State 28.0 to 17.5
225 North Carolina A&T over 230 Bethune - Cookman 21.0 to 14.0
190 Northern Colorado over 171 South Dakota 21.0 to 21.0
189 Cornell over 214 Princeton 24.5 to 17.5
50 Texas A&M over 61 Iowa State 31.5 to 24.5
216 Alcorn State over 240 Texas Southern 24.5 to 21.0
29 Texas Tech over 28 Kansas 38.5 to 35.0
198 Virginia Military over 201 Charleston Southern 28.0 to 24.5
24 Miami - Florida over 63 Wake Forest 28.0 to 21.0
204 Hampton over 227 Winston-Salem 21.0 to 14.0
43 Wisconsin over 52 Purdue 35.0 to 28.0
50-60% chance of victory:
21 West Virginia over 48 South Florida 28.0 to 24.5
238 Butler over 236 Davidson 21.0 to 21.0
105 Florida Atlantic over 106 Middle Tennessee State 35.0 to 31.5
92 Western Michigan over 118 Kent State 24.5 to 24.5
143 Southern Utah over 137 California - Davis 28.0 to 28.0
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