ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
--- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- ---------------------
90-100% chance of victory:
81 Temple over 141 Miami - Ohio 28.0 to 10.5
2 Florida over 83 Vanderbilt 42.0 to 0.0
97 Massachusetts over 181 Northeastern 38.5 to 10.5
159 Missouri State over 222 Indiana State 31.5 to 7.0
80-90% chance of victory:
85 Northern Illinois over 163 Eastern Michigan 38.5 to 14.0
5 Boise State over 105 Louisiana Tech 42.0 to 10.5
42 Air Force over 126 Army 31.5 to 0.0
162 Albany over 228 Robert Morris 35.0 to 7.0
84 Appalachian State over 165 Tennessee - Chattanooga 45.5 to 17.5
33 Arizona over 110 Washington State 42.0 to 17.5
7 Southern California over 48 Arizona State 28.0 to 17.5
24 Arkansas over 43 South Carolina 31.5 to 21.0
96 Arkansas State over 142 Louisiana - Lafayette 31.5 to 14.0
22 Auburn over 146 Furman 52.5 to 10.5
8 Cincinnati over 55 Connecticut 38.5 to 14.0
187 Coastal Carolina over 195 Gardner - Webb 24.5 to 17.5
135 Harvard over 188 Columbia 28.0 to 17.5
186 Dayton over 238 Butler 35.0 to 10.5
106 Delaware over 145 Hofstra 31.5 to 17.5
206 Drake over 241 Campbell 38.5 to 17.5
168 Florida A&M over 227 North Carolina A&T 38.5 to 10.5
175 Fordham over 224 Bucknell 38.5 to 17.5
26 Georgia over 191 Tennessee Tech 56.0 to 0.0
17 Georgia Tech over 56 Wake Forest 35.0 to 21.0
119 South Carolina State over 239 Howard 42.0 to 7.0
89 Montana over 218 Idaho State 49.0 to 14.0
151 Illinois State over 176 Western Illinois 31.5 to 21.0
19 Iowa over 103 Northwestern 35.0 to 10.5
20 Oklahoma State over 72 Iowa State 31.5 to 17.5
209 Jackson State over 234 Alabama State 21.0 to 7.0
217 Jacksonville over 245 Valparaiso 42.0 to 10.5
111 James Madison over 138 Maine 24.5 to 10.5
41 Kentucky over 169 Eastern Kentucky 45.5 to 3.5
133 Lafayette over 155 Colgate 28.0 to 21.0
118 Liberty over 207 Virginia Military 45.5 to 14.0
132 McNeese State over 190 Sam Houston State 42.0 to 21.0
25 Miami - Florida over 59 Virginia 31.5 to 14.0
50 Michigan State over 107 Western Michigan 38.5 to 17.5
92 Middle Tennessee State over 140 Florida International 35.0 to 17.5
38 Mississippi over 124 Northern Arizona 42.0 to 10.5
27 Missouri over 80 Baylor 35.0 to 14.0
166 Grambling over 220 Arkansas - Pine Bluff 31.5 to 14.0
101 New Hampshire over 184 Rhode Island 45.5 to 14.0
49 North Carolina over 70 Duke 24.5 to 17.5
63 Northern Iowa over 139 Youngstown State 38.5 to 14.0
204 Old Dominion over 231 North Carolina Central 35.0 to 21.0
143 Pennsylvania over 211 Princeton 28.0 to 0.0
23 Pittsburgh over 98 Syracuse 38.5 to 14.0
153 Montana State over 189 Portland State 28.0 to 21.0
171 Prairie View over 200 Alabama A&M 28.0 to 17.5
212 San Diego over 235 Davidson 28.0 to 14.0
6 Texas Christian over 99 San Diego State 42.0 to 10.5
115 Jacksonville State over 221 Southeast Missouri State 38.5 to 7.0
95 Southern Methodist over 174 Rice 49.0 to 21.0
3 Oregon over 39 Stanford 38.5 to 21.0
136 Stephen F. Austin over 216 Nicholls State 45.5 to 14.0
16 Tennessee over 125 Memphis 45.5 to 7.0
1 Texas over 74 Central Florida 49.0 to 7.0
31 Utah over 147 New Mexico 42.0 to 3.5
82 Elon over 196 Western Carolina 38.5 to 7.0
69 Troy State over 179 Western Kentucky 49.0 to 21.0
28 West Virginia over 78 Louisville 38.5 to 21.0
86 William & Mary over 198 Towson 42.0 to 7.0
35 Brigham Young over 87 Wyoming 31.5 to 17.5
70-80% chance of victory:
11 Virginia Tech over 68 East Carolina 35.0 to 17.5
4 Alabama over 10 Louisiana State 21.0 to 17.5
14 California over 36 Oregon State 35.0 to 24.5
45 California - Los Angeles over 47 Washington 24.5 to 21.0
13 Clemson over 44 Florida State 38.5 to 21.0
40 Fresno State over 104 Idaho 42.0 to 28.0
34 Wisconsin over 102 Indiana 38.5 to 21.0
127 Holy Cross over 183 Lehigh 31.5 to 21.0
232 Marist over 237 Georgetown 17.5 to 14.0
54 Michigan over 67 Purdue 35.0 to 24.5
61 Minnesota over 71 Illinois 28.0 to 21.0
223 Texas Southern over 243 Mississippi Valley State 31.5 to 17.5
173 Norfolk State over 208 Morgan State 24.5 to 17.5
197 Austin Peay over 225 Murray State 28.0 to 21.0
76 North Carolina State over 93 Maryland 38.5 to 28.0
180 Northern Colorado over 182 Sacramento State 24.5 to 21.0
100 Northeast Louisiana over 150 North Texas 42.0 to 31.5
30 Notre Dame over 53 Navy 35.0 to 24.5
201 Charleston Southern over 229 Presbyterian 31.5 to 24.5
57 Richmond over 62 Villanova 31.5 to 24.5
213 Bryant over 240 Sacred Heart 24.5 to 17.5
205 Monmouth over 236 Saint Francis - Pennsylv 28.0 to 17.5
137 Southern Utah over 185 South Dakota 38.5 to 28.0
77 South Dakota State over 79 Southern Illinois 24.5 to 17.5
149 The Citadel over 157 Wofford 31.5 to 28.0
116 Texas - El Paso over 164 Tulane 35.0 to 24.5
156 Yale over 152 Brown 21.0 to 17.5
66 Nevada - Reno over 123 San Jose State 38.5 to 24.5
60-70% chance of victory:
90 Bowling Green over 112 Buffalo 28.0 to 28.0
158 Central Arkansas over 160 Texas State - San Marcos 28.0 to 21.0
52 Texas A&M over 75 Colorado 31.5 to 28.0
192 Dartmouth over 193 Cornell 28.0 to 24.5
108 Hawaii over 109 Utah State 35.0 to 28.0
9 Oklahoma over 21 Nebraska 21.0 to 17.5
88 Colorado State over 117 Nevada - Las Vegas 31.5 to 28.0
177 Southeast Louisiana over 215 Northwestern State 38.5 to 31.5
144 Georgia Southern over 170 Samford 24.5 to 17.5
46 Houston over 64 Tulsa 35.0 to 31.5
178 Central Connecticut over 210 Wagner 35.0 to 31.5
194 Delaware State over 230 Winston-Salem 21.0 to 10.5
50-60% chance of victory:
114 Kent State over 129 Akron 21.0 to 21.0
122 Alabama - Birmingham over 113 Florida Atlantic 35.0 to 35.0
203 Hampton over 219 Bethune - Cookman 21.0 to 21.0
134 California Poly over 154 California - Davis 28.0 to 28.0
37 Kansas over 60 Kansas State 31.5 to 31.5
15 Penn State over 12 Ohio State 17.5 to 17.5
214 Tennessee State over 202 Tennessee - Martin 24.5 to 24.5
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