2009 Week 13 (24-28 Nov) Forecast for College Football Division IA & IAA

                                                                   ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team         rank projected losing team     TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
 --- ----------------------          --- ----------------------    ---------------------

90-100% chance of victory:

   8 Cincinnati                over   73 Illinois                   42.0 to 14.0
   3 Texas Christian           over  139 New Mexico                 52.5 to  3.5

80-90% chance of victory:

 113 Western Michigan          over  136 Ball State                 31.5 to 17.5
   1 Texas                     over   54 Texas A&M                  45.5 to 24.5
 138 Akron                     over  172 Eastern Michigan           35.0 to 21.0
   6 Boise State               over   45 Nevada - Reno              49.0 to 28.0
  52 Central Michigan          over   88 Northern Illinois          31.5 to 17.5
  17 Nebraska                  over   76 Colorado                   28.0 to 10.5
  81 Tulsa                     over  126 Memphis                    38.5 to 21.0
 162 Central Arkansas          over  171 North Dakota               24.5 to 17.5
  47 Connecticut               over   89 Syracuse                   35.0 to 21.0
   2 Florida                   over   42 Florida State              45.5 to 17.5
  46 Houston                   over  160 Rice                       59.5 to 21.0
  71 Troy State                over  127 Louisiana - Lafayette      35.0 to 21.0
  36 Boston College            over   95 Maryland                   31.5 to 21.0
  23 Mississippi               over   56 Mississippi State          28.0 to 21.0
  12 Texas Tech                over   79 Baylor                     42.0 to 17.5
   9 Oklahoma                  over   22 Oklahoma State             31.5 to 14.0
  13 Clemson                   over   44 South Carolina             24.5 to 17.5
  19 Southern California       over   35 California - Los Angeles   28.0 to 14.0
  94 Southern Methodist        over  164 Tulane                     42.0 to 17.5
   7 Virginia Tech             over   61 Virginia                   28.0 to 14.0
  58 Washington                over  125 Washington State           42.0 to 17.5

70-80% chance of victory:

   4 Alabama                   over   28 Auburn                     31.5 to 21.0
  85 Bowling Green             over  119 Toledo                     45.5 to 28.0
  98 Colorado State            over  103 Wyoming                    28.0 to 21.0
  60 Central Florida           over  106 Alabama - Birmingham       31.5 to 21.0
 115 Arkansas State            over  151 North Texas                38.5 to 24.5
  27 Brigham Young             over   37 Utah                       31.5 to 24.5
  55 Wake Forest               over   77 Duke                       28.0 to 21.0
  53 East Carolina             over   68 Southern Mississippi       31.5 to 24.5
 118 Florida Atlantic          over  182 Western Kentucky           52.5 to 28.0
  11 Georgia Tech              over   32 Georgia                    38.5 to 28.0
  43 Navy                      over  107 Hawaii                     35.0 to 21.0
  96 Nevada - Las Vegas        over  108 San Diego State            31.5 to 28.0
  33 North Carolina            over   75 North Carolina State       31.5 to 21.0
 152 San Jose State            over  168 New Mexico State           24.5 to 17.5
  24 Stanford                  over   40 Notre Dame                 35.0 to 24.5
  90 Marshall                  over  121 Texas - El Paso            31.5 to 24.5

60-70% chance of victory:

 104 Buffalo                   over  120 Kent State                 24.5 to 24.5
  74 Louisville                over   63 Rutgers                    21.0 to 21.0
  69 Temple                    over   93 Ohio                       28.0 to 24.5
  29 Arizona                   over   50 Arizona State              24.5 to 24.5
  97 Idaho                     over  112 Utah State                 38.5 to 31.5
  15 Louisiana State           over   14 Arkansas                   31.5 to 28.0
  30 Missouri                  over   49 Kansas                     31.5 to 28.0
  86 Middle Tennessee State    over  102 Northeast Louisiana        24.5 to 21.0
 173 Grambling                 over  197 Southern                   42.0 to 31.5
  18 Miami - Florida           over   48 South Florida              28.0 to 24.5

50-60% chance of victory:

  31 West Virginia             over   20 Pittsburgh                 28.0 to 24.5
  26 Tennessee                 over   39 Kentucky                   31.5 to 28.0
 218 Texas Southern            over  221 Arkansas - Pine Bluff      28.0 to 24.5

NOTE: the above scores are rounded to the nearest 3.5 points. Exact predicted scores are not released until after game time

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