ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
--- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- ---------------------
90-100% chance of victory:
8 Boise State over 166 New Mexico State 56.0 to 0.0
80 Louisiana Tech over 151 San Jose State 35.0 to 10.5
80-90% chance of victory:
5 Oregon over 21 Oregon State 42.0 to 24.5
177 Central Connecticut over 235 Butler 31.5 to 17.5
98 Montana over 127 Stephen F. Austin 38.5 to 24.5
2 Texas over 18 Nebraska 31.5 to 14.0
16 Southern California over 30 Arizona 31.5 to 21.0
59 Villanova over 92 New Hampshire 35.0 to 21.0
70-80% chance of victory:
116 Arkansas State over 181 Western Kentucky 35.0 to 21.0
52 Central Michigan over 87 Ohio 31.5 to 21.0
46 Connecticut over 53 South Florida 31.5 to 24.5
43 Wisconsin over 100 Hawaii 35.0 to 21.0
1 Florida over 3 Alabama 24.5 to 17.5
63 Richmond over 89 Appalachian State 35.0 to 24.5
32 West Virginia over 61 Rutgers 24.5 to 21.0
70 Southern Illinois over 69 William & Mary 28.0 to 24.5
22 California over 56 Washington 31.5 to 24.5
60-70% chance of victory:
58 Fresno State over 72 Illinois 28.0 to 24.5
13 Georgia Tech over 17 Clemson 31.5 to 28.0
10 Cincinnati over 24 Pittsburgh 31.5 to 28.0
50-60% chance of victory:
35 Houston over 55 East Carolina 35.0 to 31.5
120 Florida Atlantic over 141 Florida International 38.5 to 35.0
216 Texas Southern over 206 Southern 28.0 to 28.0
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