rnk u spd off def rnk u spd off def 1 2 10 16.5 4.9 Oregon 123 13 0 11.1 0.9 Tennessee - Chattanooga 2 3 9 15.6 5.3 Stanford 124 61 0 10.7 1.2 Liberty 3 4 9 15.0 5.4 Boise State 125 13 0 10.7 1.2 Furman 4 4 9 14.8 5.6 Texas Christian 126 38 0 9.6 2.0 Harvard 5 4 8 13.9 6.1 Alabama 127 13 0 9.7 1.9 Middle Tennessee State 6 4 9 16.2 4.3 Auburn 128 31 0 10.3 1.4 Montana State 7 15 8 15.1 4.9 Oklahoma 129 40 0 9.1 2.3 Lehigh 8 5 8 13.8 5.6 Ohio State 130 13 0 9.9 1.7 Southern Illinois 9 6 8 15.5 3.8 Oklahoma State 131 38 0 11.1 0.7 Rice 10 15 7 13.4 5.2 Louisiana State 132 55 0 10.2 1.3 Nevada - Las Vegas 11 6 7 14.7 4.1 Wisconsin 133 22 0 9.4 1.9 Northeast Louisiana 12 7 7 13.8 4.7 Florida State 134 55 0 9.4 1.8 Colorado State 13 10 7 13.7 4.7 Virginia Tech 135 20 0 9.6 1.7 North Texas 14 31 7 13.5 4.8 Florida 136 53 0 10.1 1.2 Jacksonville State 15 20 6 12.9 5.2 Nebraska 137 25 0 9.5 1.7 Southern Utah 16 8 7 14.4 4.0 Arkansas 138 13 0 10.1 1.1 Weber State 17 34 6 12.8 5.1 South Carolina 139 43 0 9.8 1.3 Bowling Green 18 8 7 15.1 3.3 Nevada - Reno 140 16 0 9.2 1.7 Rhode Island 19 9 6 12.4 5.2 Missouri 141 29 0 8.8 1.9 Florida Atlantic 20 11 6 13.1 4.5 Texas A&M 142 32 0 8.7 2.0 Maine 21 24 6 13.2 4.3 Utah 143 47 0 9.2 1.7 Brown 22 15 6 12.2 5.0 Iowa 144 15 0 10.7 0.4 Youngstown State 23 55 6 13.3 4.2 Southern California 145 14 0 9.3 1.4 Ball State 24 10 5 11.7 5.4 West Virginia 146 31 0 9.8 1.0 Tulane 25 40 6 12.7 4.6 Arizona 147 46 0 9.0 1.7 San Jose State 26 13 5 12.0 5.0 Mississippi State 148 38 0 8.2 2.3 Central Arkansas 27 10 6 13.0 4.2 North Carolina State 149 42 0 9.5 1.2 Colgate 28 33 5 12.3 4.7 Miami - Florida 150 66 0 9.7 1.0 Coastal Carolina 29 34 5 12.9 4.1 Georgia 151 14 0 10.1 0.6 Missouri State 30 22 5 12.1 4.7 Pittsburgh 152 22 0 9.5 1.1 California Poly 31 87 5 12.5 4.4 Oregon State 153 51 -1 9.7 0.9 Stony Brook 32 61 5 11.8 4.8 Notre Dame 154 75 0 8.3 2.0 South Carolina State 33 33 5 13.0 4.0 Arizona State 155 30 -1 9.6 0.9 Western Kentucky 34 48 5 12.0 4.6 California 156 88 -1 10.9 -0.1 Jacksonville 35 56 5 11.8 4.6 North Carolina 157 65 -1 8.8 1.5 Southeast Missouri State 36 12 5 12.7 3.9 Michigan State 158 21 -1 9.1 1.3 McNeese State 37 16 5 11.5 4.7 Clemson 159 28 -1 8.0 2.1 Buffalo 38 14 5 12.5 3.9 Maryland 160 77 -1 8.7 1.5 Robert Morris 39 12 5 12.3 4.1 Air Force 161 14 -1 7.4 2.5 Samford 40 13 5 12.5 3.9 Illinois 162 57 -1 9.0 1.2 Sam Houston State 41 33 5 12.3 3.8 Navy 163 64 -1 10.9 -0.5 Murray State 42 17 4 11.4 4.4 Central Florida 164 27 -1 9.7 0.5 Louisiana - Lafayette 43 44 4 12.3 3.6 Tennessee 165 90 -1 9.7 0.4 Bethune - Cookman 44 20 4 12.6 3.4 Northern Illinois 166 41 -1 8.2 1.5 Eastern Kentucky 45 34 4 13.2 2.9 Texas Tech 167 15 -1 8.7 1.1 South Dakota 46 49 4 11.4 4.3 Penn State 168 22 -1 9.5 0.4 Indiana State 47 13 4 11.4 4.2 South Florida 169 15 -1 8.4 1.2 California - Davis 48 22 4 13.1 2.9 San Diego State 170 81 -1 9.5 0.4 Old Dominion 49 19 4 11.4 4.2 Brigham Young 171 51 -1 8.1 1.4 Yale 50 75 4 11.8 3.8 Washington 172 50 -2 8.5 1.0 Dartmouth 51 24 4 12.8 3.0 Hawaii 173 23 -2 9.9 -0.3 Illinois State 52 61 4 11.2 4.3 Texas 174 51 -2 8.0 1.2 Holy Cross 53 20 4 13.7 2.3 Tulsa 175 15 -2 8.0 1.2 North Dakota 54 13 4 11.7 3.8 Connecticut 176 34 -2 8.6 0.6 Memphis 55 20 4 13.2 2.7 Kansas State 177 39 -2 9.4 -0.1 New Mexico 56 26 4 11.3 4.1 Louisville 178 41 -2 8.0 1.0 Columbia 57 48 4 10.3 4.8 Boston College 179 35 -2 8.3 0.8 New Mexico State 58 20 4 11.8 3.6 Villanova 180 76 -2 9.6 -0.4 Central Connecticut 59 44 4 11.9 3.4 Georgia Tech 181 58 -2 7.6 1.2 Florida A&M 60 49 4 12.5 2.8 Kentucky 182 62 -2 8.6 0.3 Grambling 61 25 4 12.3 3.0 Baylor 183 93 -2 9.2 -0.3 Dayton 62 73 4 13.6 1.9 Michigan 184 16 -2 8.4 0.4 Tennessee Tech 63 34 3 12.3 2.9 Cincinnati 185 27 -2 8.7 0.2 Akron 64 90 3 10.9 3.9 California - Los Angeles 186 37 -2 8.2 0.5 Lafayette 65 13 3 11.1 3.6 Temple 187 39 -3 8.1 0.5 Fordham 66 16 3 10.5 4.1 Syracuse 188 50 -3 8.0 0.5 Bryant 67 25 3 10.7 3.8 Delaware 189 87 -3 7.5 0.9 Texas Southern 68 13 3 12.9 2.1 Southern Mississippi 190 24 -3 6.9 1.3 Tennessee - Martin 69 16 3 10.7 3.6 William & Mary 191 18 -3 6.9 1.4 The Citadel 70 14 3 13.2 1.7 Houston 192 55 -3 7.2 1.1 Albany 71 70 3 11.3 3.1 Colorado 193 26 -3 9.4 -0.7 Portland State 72 59 3 11.0 3.2 Iowa State 194 87 -3 8.5 -0.1 Jackson State 73 82 3 12.6 1.9 Mississippi 195 54 -3 7.9 0.4 Monmouth 74 37 2 11.3 2.9 Northwestern 196 16 -3 7.6 0.6 Western Carolina 75 15 2 10.3 3.6 New Hampshire 197 15 -3 8.4 -0.1 Northern Colorado 76 17 2 10.6 3.3 Southern Methodist 198 22 -3 8.4 -0.1 Towson 77 22 2 12.1 2.1 Appalachian State 199 23 -3 9.7 -1.2 Eastern Michigan 78 46 2 11.6 2.4 Fresno State 200 14 -3 8.8 -0.6 Texas State - San Marcos 79 32 2 11.1 2.7 Western Michigan 201 67 -3 6.8 1.0 Prairie View 80 14 2 12.4 1.6 Troy State 202 76 -3 7.6 0.3 Drake 81 15 2 10.5 2.9 Army 203 13 -3 7.9 0.1 Nicholls State 82 25 2 10.8 2.7 Ohio 204 36 -3 7.9 0.0 Duquesne 83 54 2 11.1 2.5 Virginia 205 40 -3 7.8 0.0 Georgia State 84 61 2 11.9 1.8 Duke 206 18 -3 7.4 0.2 Eastern Illinois 85 64 2 11.2 2.3 Minnesota 207 22 -3 7.2 0.4 Northwestern State 86 45 2 10.9 2.4 Louisiana Tech 208 36 -3 6.1 1.3 Hampton 87 30 1 11.0 2.3 Idaho 209 48 -3 7.3 0.2 Wagner 88 32 2 13.6 0.3 East Carolina 210 86 -4 6.7 0.6 San Diego 89 26 1 8.9 3.9 James Madison 211 34 -4 6.1 1.0 Norfolk State 90 17 1 11.2 2.0 Toledo 212 12 -4 8.0 -0.7 Southeast Louisiana 91 71 1 11.4 1.9 Wake Forest 213 12 -4 6.2 0.6 Virginia Military 92 22 1 11.1 2.1 Florida International 214 46 -4 8.4 -1.2 Alcorn State 93 41 1 10.7 2.3 Rutgers 215 17 -4 6.4 0.3 Gardner - Webb 94 20 1 10.0 2.9 Georgia Southern 216 70 -4 5.5 1.0 Alabama State 95 41 1 9.9 2.8 Pennsylvania 217 36 -4 6.2 0.3 Georgetown 96 62 1 10.0 2.8 Purdue 218 12 -4 6.2 0.3 Tennessee State 97 41 1 11.6 1.5 Stephen F. Austin 219 15 -5 7.1 -0.5 Idaho State 98 15 1 10.7 2.2 Eastern Washington 220 21 -5 7.1 -0.5 Princeton 99 17 1 9.7 2.9 Miami - Ohio 221 12 -5 7.6 -1.0 Presbyterian 100 74 1 10.9 1.9 Washington State 222 38 -5 7.4 -0.8 Arkansas - Pine Bluff 101 14 1 10.9 1.9 Arkansas State 223 17 -5 6.5 -0.2 Lamar 102 14 1 9.3 3.0 Kent State 224 19 -5 7.3 -1.0 Sacred Heart 103 48 1 11.4 1.4 Indiana 225 15 -5 6.9 -0.7 Morgan State 104 14 1 10.4 2.1 Central Michigan 226 28 -5 6.2 -0.1 Cornell 105 34 1 9.7 2.7 Wofford 227 39 -5 7.2 -1.1 Delaware State 106 75 1 9.5 2.8 Vanderbilt 228 18 -5 6.0 -0.4 Bucknell 107 13 1 10.9 1.6 Elon 229 10 -6 7.2 -1.5 Austin Peay 108 55 0 9.8 2.5 Wyoming 230 10 -6 8.2 -2.3 Charleston Southern 109 44 0 10.7 1.7 Sacramento State 231 51 -5 4.6 0.6 Butler 110 24 0 9.7 2.5 Northern Arizona 232 56 -6 6.0 -0.7 Marist 111 28 0 10.6 1.7 Massachusetts 233 38 -6 5.5 -0.5 Alabama A&M 112 39 0 9.7 2.4 Marshall 234 20 -6 5.6 -0.8 North Carolina Central 113 44 0 8.4 3.4 Richmond 235 14 -6 6.0 -1.2 Saint Francis - Pennsylv 114 13 0 9.1 2.8 Northern Iowa 236 50 -7 6.1 -1.5 Campbell 115 16 0 9.0 2.9 North Dakota State 237 30 -7 6.1 -1.6 Morehead State 116 35 0 10.0 2.0 Western Illinois 238 11 -7 7.0 -2.3 Southern 117 66 0 9.9 2.2 Kansas 239 26 -7 4.9 -0.9 Davidson 118 51 0 10.6 1.5 Utah State 240 15 -7 6.3 -2.1 North Carolina A&T 119 13 0 8.9 2.9 South Dakota State 241 9 -8 6.4 -2.5 Howard 120 31 0 10.6 1.5 Alabama - Birmingham 242 6 -8 5.4 -2.3 Savannah State 121 20 0 10.0 2.0 Texas - El Paso 243 7 -8 4.3 -2.2 Mississippi Valley State 122 35 0 9.8 2.0 Montana 244 5 -11 4.3 -4.3 Valparaiso
KEY:
rnk - rank based on how may games the given team would win if it
played all other teams.
u - uncertainty in rank (e.g. u=1 would mean rank uncertain by
approximately 1 place, u=** for uncertainty greater than 99 places).
spd - average margin of victory divided by 5 if the given team
played all other teams.
off - model offensive power, which roughly corresponds to average
yards of offense per down in a model simulation.
def - model defensive power, which roughly corresponds to average
yards per down that the defense moves the offense back
in a model simulation.
Back to: Bassett Football Model Home Page
Please email comments or questions to bfm@BassettFootball.net