12 Jan 2011: Current model rankings (NCAA Div IA & IAA) for the 2010 season

Rankings determined from model fit at the current week in the season.

rnk  u spd  off  def                          rnk  u spd  off  def
  1  2   9 15.5  5.5 Stanford                 123 61   0 10.8  1.1 Liberty                 
  2  3   9 16.2  5.0 Oregon                   124 13   0 10.7  1.2 Furman                  
  3  3   9 14.8  5.6 Boise State              125 13   0 11.1  0.9 Tennessee - Chattanooga 
  4  4   8 14.0  6.2 Alabama                  126 39   0  9.6  2.0 Harvard                 
  5  4   9 14.7  5.6 Texas Christian          127 13   0  9.8  1.8 Middle Tennessee State  
  6  4   9 16.0  4.6 Auburn                   128 13   0  9.9  1.7 Southern Illinois       
  7 15   8 15.2  4.9 Oklahoma                 129 35   0 11.1  0.7 Rice                    
  8  5   8 13.8  5.7 Ohio State               130 40   0  9.2  2.2 Lehigh                  
  9  6   8 15.4  4.0 Oklahoma State           131 31   0 10.3  1.3 Montana State           
 10 15   7 13.5  5.2 Louisiana State          132 55   0 10.3  1.2 Nevada - Las Vegas      
 11  7   7 14.7  4.2 Wisconsin                133 21   0  9.4  1.9 Northeast Louisiana     
 12  7   7 13.8  4.7 Florida State            134 18   0  9.7  1.6 North Texas             
 13 30   7 13.6  4.8 Florida                  135 25   0  9.5  1.7 Southern Utah           
 14  9   7 13.6  4.7 Virginia Tech            136 53   0 10.1  1.2 Jacksonville State      
 15  8   7 14.4  4.0 Arkansas                 137 54   0  9.3  1.8 Colorado State          
 16 23   6 12.6  5.2 Nebraska                 138 13   0 10.1  1.0 Weber State             
 17  8   7 14.9  3.4 Nevada - Reno            139 43   0  9.8  1.2 Bowling Green           
 18 38   6 12.7  5.0 South Carolina           140 16   0  9.2  1.7 Rhode Island            
 19  9   6 12.5  5.1 Missouri                 141 45   0  9.2  1.7 Brown                   
 20 16   6 13.1  4.4 Texas A&M                142 31   0  8.7  2.0 Maine                   
 21 12   6 12.1  5.1 Mississippi State        143 31   0  8.8  1.9 Florida Atlantic        
 22 15   6 12.3  5.0 Iowa                     144 15   0 10.6  0.4 Youngstown State        
 23 26   6 13.0  4.4 Utah                     145 43   0  9.5  1.3 Colgate                 
 24 55   6 13.3  4.2 Southern California      146 46   0  9.0  1.7 San Jose State          
 25 10   6 13.0  4.3 North Carolina State     147 37   0  8.2  2.3 Central Arkansas        
 26 10   5 11.5  5.4 West Virginia            148 14   0  9.4  1.3 Ball State              
 27 44   5 12.5  4.6 Arizona                  149 32   0  9.8  0.9 Tulane                  
 28 58   5 12.0  4.9 Notre Dame               150 67   0  9.7  1.0 Coastal Carolina        
 29 21   5 12.1  4.8 Pittsburgh               151 14   0 10.0  0.7 Missouri State          
 30 34   5 13.0  4.0 Arizona State            152 23  -1  9.4  1.1 California Poly         
 31 88   5 12.4  4.4 Oregon State             153 54  -1  9.8  0.8 Stony Brook             
 32 38   5 12.2  4.5 Miami - Florida          154 76  -1  8.3  2.0 South Carolina State    
 33 31   5 12.7  4.2 Georgia                  155 30  -1  9.6  0.9 Western Kentucky        
 34 50   5 11.9  4.6 California               156 65  -1  8.8  1.5 Southeast Missouri State
 35 58   5 11.9  4.6 North Carolina           157 23  -1  9.1  1.3 McNeese State           
 36 12   5 12.5  4.0 Maryland                 158 89  -1 10.9 -0.2 Jacksonville            
 37 12   5 12.4  4.0 Illinois                 159 29  -1  7.9  2.1 Buffalo                 
 38 12   5 12.1  4.2 Air Force                160 76  -1  8.7  1.4 Robert Morris           
 39 15   5 12.6  3.8 Michigan State           161 57  -1  9.0  1.2 Sam Houston State       
 40 15   5 11.6  4.5 Clemson                  162 14  -1  7.4  2.4 Samford                 
 41 16   4 11.2  4.6 Central Florida          163 27  -1  9.7  0.6 Louisiana - Lafayette   
 42 20   4 12.6  3.5 Northern Illinois        164 67  -1 10.9 -0.5 Murray State            
 43 75   4 11.8  4.1 Washington               165 90  -1  9.8  0.4 Bethune - Cookman       
 44 32   4 12.1  3.8 Navy                     166 43  -1  8.2  1.5 Eastern Kentucky        
 45 28   4 13.3  2.9 Texas Tech               167 22  -1  9.5  0.4 Indiana State           
 46 13   4 11.5  4.2 South Florida            168 15  -1  8.4  1.3 California - Davis      
 47 41   4 12.4  3.6 Tennessee                169 15  -1  8.6  1.1 South Dakota            
 48 16   4 13.1  3.1 San Diego State          170 81  -1  9.5  0.3 Old Dominion            
 49 49   4 11.5  4.3 Penn State               171 51  -1  8.1  1.4 Yale                    
 50 21   4 14.0  2.3 Tulsa                    172 52  -1  8.5  1.1 Dartmouth               
 51 15   4 11.6  4.1 Brigham Young            173 52  -2  8.0  1.2 Holy Cross              
 52 61   4 11.2  4.3 Texas                    174 21  -2  9.9 -0.3 Illinois State          
 53 13   4 11.8  3.8 Connecticut              175 15  -2  8.0  1.2 North Dakota            
 54 22   4 11.4  4.1 Louisville               176 34  -2  8.6  0.6 Memphis                 
 55 48   4 10.2  4.9 Boston College           177 39  -2  9.5 -0.1 New Mexico              
 56 22   4 13.3  2.4 Kansas State             178 40  -2  8.0  1.0 Columbia                
 57 28   4 12.9  2.7 Hawaii                   179 35  -2  8.3  0.7 New Mexico State        
 58 17   4 11.8  3.5 Villanova                180 78  -2  9.6 -0.4 Central Connecticut     
 59 46   4 11.7  3.5 Georgia Tech             181 59  -2  7.7  1.2 Florida A&M             
 60 52   4 12.3  2.9 Kentucky                 182 62  -2  8.6  0.3 Grambling               
 61 36   3 12.2  2.9 Cincinnati               183 17  -2  8.4  0.4 Tennessee Tech          
 62 91   3 10.9  3.9 California - Los Angeles 184 27  -2  8.7  0.2 Akron                   
 63 30   3 12.2  2.9 Baylor                   185 94  -2  9.2 -0.3 Dayton                  
 64 21   3 10.6  4.1 Syracuse                 186 35  -3  8.1  0.4 Lafayette               
 65 76   3 13.5  1.8 Michigan                 187 49  -3  8.0  0.5 Bryant                  
 66 13   3 11.1  3.6 Temple                   188 86  -3  7.4  1.0 Texas Southern          
 67 25   3 10.6  3.9 Delaware                 189 39  -3  8.0  0.5 Fordham                 
 68 13   3 12.9  2.0 Southern Mississippi     190 26  -2  6.9  1.4 Tennessee - Martin      
 69 69   3 11.4  3.1 Colorado                 191 18  -3  6.9  1.4 The Citadel             
 70 14   3 13.2  1.7 Houston                  192 58  -3  7.2  1.1 Albany                  
 71 14   3 10.7  3.6 William & Mary           193 87  -3  8.5 -0.1 Jackson State           
 72 60   3 11.0  3.2 Iowa State               194 27  -3  9.4 -0.8 Portland State          
 73 82   3 12.6  1.9 Mississippi              195 53  -3  7.9  0.3 Monmouth                
 74 44   2 11.4  2.7 Northwestern             196 15  -3  8.4 -0.1 Northern Colorado       
 75 13   2 10.2  3.6 New Hampshire            197 16  -3  7.6  0.6 Western Carolina        
 76 15   2 12.6  1.7 Troy State               198 22  -3  8.4 -0.1 Towson                  
 77 18   2 10.5  3.3 Southern Methodist       199 23  -3  9.7 -1.3 Eastern Michigan        
 78 20   2 12.1  2.1 Appalachian State        200 67  -3  6.9  1.0 Prairie View            
 79 33   2 11.1  2.8 Western Michigan         201 13  -3  8.8 -0.6 Texas State - San Marcos
 80 45   2 11.5  2.4 Fresno State             202 13  -3  7.9  0.1 Nicholls State          
 81 14   2 10.5  3.1 Army                     203 78  -3  7.6  0.3 Drake                   
 82 65   2 11.3  2.4 Minnesota                204 39  -3  7.9  0.0 Duquesne                
 83 61   2 11.9  1.9 Duke                     205 38  -3  7.9  0.0 Georgia State           
 84 55   2 11.1  2.5 Virginia                 206 19  -3  7.4  0.2 Eastern Illinois        
 85 46   2 10.9  2.4 Louisiana Tech           207 34  -3  6.1  1.3 Hampton                 
 86 31   1 10.7  2.5 Ohio                     208 22  -3  7.1  0.4 Northwestern State      
 87 29   1 11.0  2.3 Idaho                    209 47  -4  7.3  0.2 Wagner                  
 88 26   1  8.9  3.9 James Madison            210 86  -4  6.8  0.6 San Diego               
 89 72   1 11.4  2.0 Wake Forest              211 37  -4  6.2  1.0 Norfolk State           
 90 22   1 11.2  2.1 Florida International    212 12  -4  8.0 -0.7 Southeast Louisiana     
 91 35   1 13.4  0.3 East Carolina            213 12  -4  6.2  0.7 Virginia Military       
 92 22   1 10.0  2.9 Georgia Southern         214 46  -4  8.3 -1.2 Alcorn State            
 93 19   1 11.3  1.9 Toledo                   215 16  -4  6.4  0.3 Gardner - Webb          
 94 44   1 10.8  2.3 Rutgers                  216 68  -4  5.5  1.0 Alabama State           
 95 14   1 10.8  2.2 Eastern Washington       217 37  -4  6.2  0.4 Georgetown              
 96 14   1  9.8  2.9 Miami - Ohio             218 12  -4  6.2  0.3 Tennessee State         
 97 42   1 10.0  2.8 Pennsylvania             219 15  -5  7.1 -0.5 Idaho State             
 98 61   1 10.0  2.8 Purdue                   220 12  -5  7.6 -0.9 Presbyterian            
 99 42   1 11.6  1.5 Stephen F. Austin        221 18  -5  7.0 -0.5 Princeton               
100 73   1 11.0  1.9 Washington State         222 37  -5  7.4 -0.8 Arkansas - Pine Bluff   
101 14   1 10.9  1.9 Arkansas State           223 17  -5  6.5 -0.2 Lamar                   
102 14   1  9.3  3.1 Kent State               224 20  -5  7.3 -1.0 Sacred Heart            
103 48   1 11.4  1.4 Indiana                  225 13  -5  6.9 -0.7 Morgan State            
104 15   1 10.5  2.1 Central Michigan         226 27  -5  6.2 -0.1 Cornell                 
105 34   1  9.7  2.7 Wofford                  227 39  -5  7.3 -1.2 Delaware State          
106 55   1  9.8  2.5 Wyoming                  228 17  -5  6.0 -0.4 Bucknell                
107 75   1  9.4  2.8 Vanderbilt               229 10  -6  7.2 -1.5 Austin Peay             
108 12   1 11.0  1.6 Elon                     230 53  -5  4.6  0.7 Butler                  
109 23   0  9.7  2.5 Northern Arizona         231  9  -6  8.2 -2.4 Charleston Southern     
110 48   0 10.6  1.7 Sacramento State         232 56  -6  6.0 -0.7 Marist                  
111 38   0  9.7  2.4 Marshall                 233 36  -6  5.6 -0.5 Alabama A&M             
112 28   0 10.6  1.7 Massachusetts            234 19  -6  5.6 -0.8 North Carolina Central  
113 45   0  8.4  3.4 Richmond                 235 14  -6  5.9 -1.1 Saint Francis - Pennsylv
114 67   0  9.9  2.2 Kansas                   236 52  -7  6.1 -1.5 Campbell                
115 19   0  9.1  2.8 North Dakota State       237 31  -7  6.1 -1.5 Morehead State          
116 13   0  9.0  2.8 Northern Iowa            238 10  -7  7.0 -2.3 Southern                
117 51   0 10.7  1.5 Utah State               239 26  -7  4.8 -0.9 Davidson                
118 36   0 10.0  2.0 Western Illinois         240 15  -7  6.3 -2.2 North Carolina A&T      
119 13   0  8.8  2.9 South Dakota State       241  9  -8  6.4 -2.6 Howard                  
120 32   0 10.5  1.5 Alabama - Birmingham     242  6  -8  5.4 -2.4 Savannah State          
121 22   0 10.1  1.8 Texas - El Paso          243  7  -8  4.3 -2.2 Mississippi Valley State
122 34   0  9.8  2.0 Montana                  244  5 -11  4.3 -4.3 Valparaiso              

KEY:
  rnk - rank based on how may games the given team would win if it
        played all other teams.

    u - uncertainty in rank (e.g. u=1 would mean rank uncertain by
        approximately 1 place, u=** for uncertainty greater than 99 places).

  spd - average margin of victory divided by 5 if the given team
        played all other teams.

  off - model offensive power, which roughly corresponds to average
        yards of offense per down in a model simulation.

  def - model defensive power, which roughly corresponds to average
        yards per down that the defense moves the offense back
        in a model simulation.

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