Division IA
rnk u scr act w-l sim w-l div conf team 1 1 8.46 14.0-0.0 5.5-8.5 IA SEC Auburn 2 2 6.85 12.0-1.0 5.1-7.9 IA PAC_10 Stanford 3 2 6.52 12.0-1.0 5.5-7.5 IA PAC_10 Oregon 4 2 6.41 12.0-2.0 5.6-8.4 IA Big_12 Oklahoma 5 2 5.71 13.0-0.0 7.3-5.7 IA MWC Texas Christian 6 2 5.63 11.0-2.0 5.4-7.6 IA SEC Louisiana State 7 3 5.29 12.0-1.0 6.7-6.3 IA Big_Ten Ohio State 8 4 5.03 11.0-2.0 6.0-7.0 IA Big_12 Oklahoma State 9 4 4.75 11.0-3.0 6.2-7.8 IA ACC Virginia Tech 10 4 4.69 13.0-1.0 8.3-5.7 IA WAC Nevada - Reno 11 5 4.64 12.0-1.0 7.4-5.6 IA WAC Boise State 12 5 4.57 10.0-3.0 5.4-7.6 IA SEC Arkansas 13 6 4.53 10.0-3.0 5.5-7.5 IA SEC Alabama 14 6 4.52 11.0-2.0 6.5-6.5 IA Big_Ten Michigan State 15 5 4.45 10.0-4.0 5.5-8.5 IA ACC Florida State 16 4 4.15 11.0-2.0 6.8-6.2 IA Big_Ten Wisconsin 17 6 4.07 10.0-3.0 5.9-7.1 IA Big_12 Missouri 18 4 3.75 9.0-5.0 5.2-8.8 IA SEC South Carolina 19 4 3.65 9.0-4.0 5.3-7.7 IA Big_12 Texas A&M 20 4 3.37 10.0-4.0 6.6-7.4 IA Big_12 Nebraska 21 4 3.35 10.0-3.0 6.7-6.3 IA MWC Utah 22 4 3.28 9.0-4.0 5.7-7.3 IA ACC North Carolina State 23 4 3.15 9.0-4.0 5.8-7.2 IA SEC Mississippi State 24 5 3.00 8.0-5.0 5.0-8.0 IA PAC_10 Southern California 25 5 2.81 8.0-5.0 5.2-7.8 IA SEC Florida 26 6 2.72 7.0-6.0 4.3-8.7 IA PAC_10 Washington 27 4 2.63 9.0-4.0 6.4-6.6 IA ACC Maryland 28 4 2.62 8.0-5.0 5.4-7.6 IA Indep Notre Dame 29 6 2.53 9.0-4.0 6.5-6.5 IA Big_East West Virginia 30 5 2.44 8.0-5.0 5.6-7.4 IA ACC North Carolina 31 5 2.28 8.0-5.0 5.7-7.3 IA Big_East Pittsburgh 32 7 1.99 9.0-4.0 7.0-6.0 IA MWC Air Force 33 8 1.96 10.0-3.0 8.0-5.0 IA CUSA Tulsa 34 8 1.95 11.0-3.0 9.0-5.0 IA CUSA Central Florida 35 9 1.78 7.0-6.0 5.2-7.8 IA PAC_10 Arizona 36 8 1.75 9.0-4.0 7.2-5.8 IA Indep Navy 37 9 1.75 7.0-6.0 5.2-7.8 IA ACC Miami - Florida 38 8 1.72 8.0-5.0 6.3-6.7 IA Big_12 Texas Tech 39 11 1.62 8.0-5.0 6.4-6.6 IA Big_Ten Iowa 40 12 1.56 10.0-4.0 8.4-5.6 IA WAC Hawaii 41 11 1.53 8.0-5.0 6.5-6.5 IA Big_East South Florida 42 10 1.42 8.0-5.0 6.6-6.4 IA Big_East Connecticut 43 10 1.36 11.0-3.0 9.6-4.4 IA MAC Northern Illinois 44 10 1.30 9.0-4.0 7.7-5.3 IA MWC San Diego State 45 10 1.24 7.0-6.0 5.8-7.2 IA Big_Ten Michigan 46 8 1.24 5.0-7.0 3.8-8.2 IA PAC_10 Oregon State 47 8 1.23 6.0-6.0 4.8-7.2 IA PAC_10 Arizona State 48 9 1.16 10.0-4.0 8.8-5.2 IA MAC Miami - Ohio 49 9 1.08 8.0-5.0 6.9-6.1 IA Big_East Syracuse 50 7 0.99 7.0-6.0 6.0-7.0 IA Big_Ten Penn State 51 8 0.95 7.0-6.0 6.1-6.9 IA ACC Boston College 52 13 0.92 7.0-6.0 6.1-6.9 IA Big_12 Baylor 53 8 0.72 8.0-5.0 7.3-5.7 IA WAC Fresno State 54 12 0.62 7.0-6.0 6.4-6.6 IA Big_Ten Illinois 55 9 0.49 7.0-6.0 6.5-6.5 IA Big_12 Kansas State 56 9 0.42 8.0-4.0 7.6-4.4 IA MAC Temple 57 10 0.32 6.0-7.0 5.7-7.3 IA ACC Clemson 58 10 0.31 5.0-7.0 4.7-7.3 IA PAC_10 California 59 10 0.31 7.0-6.0 6.7-6.3 IA MWC Brigham Young 60 12 0.10 6.0-7.0 5.9-7.1 IA SEC Tennessee 61 12 0.07 6.0-7.0 5.9-7.1 IA SEC Georgia 62 12 0.07 5.0-7.0 4.9-7.1 IA Big_12 Iowa State 63 15 0.06 7.0-6.0 6.9-6.1 IA Big_East Louisville 64 13 -0.01 8.0-5.0 8.0-5.0 IA MAC Toledo 65 11 -0.09 7.0-6.0 7.1-5.9 IA Big_Ten Northwestern 66 10 -0.12 5.0-7.0 5.1-6.9 IA Big_12 Colorado 67 11 -0.12 4.0-8.0 4.1-7.9 IA PAC_10 California - Los Angeles 68 12 -0.17 8.0-5.0 8.2-4.8 IA CUSA Southern Mississippi 69 10 -0.26 6.0-7.0 6.3-6.7 IA SEC Kentucky 70 11 -0.36 6.0-7.0 6.4-6.6 IA ACC Georgia Tech 71 10 -0.50 5.0-7.0 5.5-6.5 IA Big_12 Texas 72 9 -0.65 6.0-7.0 6.6-6.4 IA CUSA East Carolina 73 10 -0.77 8.0-5.0 8.8-4.2 IA Sun_Belt Troy State 74 10 -0.95 7.0-7.0 8.0-6.0 IA CUSA Southern Methodist 75 11 -1.11 8.0-5.0 9.1-3.9 IA MAC Ohio 76 13 -1.22 7.0-6.0 8.2-4.8 IA Indep Army 77 14 -1.35 7.0-6.0 8.4-4.6 IA Sun_Belt Florida International 78 13 -1.50 5.0-7.0 6.5-5.5 IA Big_Ten Indiana 79 13 -1.58 4.0-8.0 5.6-6.4 IA Big_East Cincinnati 80 13 -1.58 6.0-7.0 7.6-5.4 IA WAC Idaho 81 14 -1.66 4.0-8.0 5.7-6.3 IA SEC Mississippi 82 15 -1.67 5.0-7.0 6.7-5.3 IA WAC Louisiana Tech 83 16 -1.84 4.0-8.0 5.8-6.2 IA ACC Virginia 84 18 -2.07 4.0-8.0 6.1-5.9 IA Big_Ten Purdue 85 17 -2.13 3.0-9.0 5.1-6.9 IA ACC Wake Forest 86 18 -2.16 5.0-7.0 7.2-4.8 IA CUSA Marshall 87 21 -2.17 2.0-*** 4.2-7.8 IA PAC_10 Washington State 88 20 -2.21 6.0-6.0 8.2-3.8 IA MAC Western Michigan 89 18 -2.24 5.0-7.0 7.2-4.8 IA CUSA Houston 90 17 -2.30 4.0-8.0 6.3-5.7 IA Big_East Rutgers 91 16 -2.30 4.0-8.0 6.3-5.7 IA WAC Utah State 92 17 -2.31 3.0-9.0 5.3-6.7 IA ACC Duke 93 18 -2.40 3.0-9.0 5.4-6.6 IA Big_Ten Minnesota 94 20 -2.45 5.0-7.0 7.5-4.5 IA Sun_Belt Northeast Louisiana 95 16 -2.64 3.0-9.0 5.6-6.4 IA Big_12 Kansas 96 19 -2.79 5.0-7.0 7.8-4.2 IA MAC Kent State 97 16 -2.83 6.0-7.0 8.8-4.2 IA CUSA Texas - El Paso 98 12 -2.98 3.0-9.0 6.0-6.0 IA MWC Colorado State 99 13 -2.99 3.0-9.0 6.0-6.0 IA MWC Wyoming 100 15 -3.19 2.0-*** 5.2-6.8 IA SEC Vanderbilt 101 16 -3.30 4.0-8.0 7.3-4.7 IA CUSA Rice 102 15 -3.34 4.0-8.0 7.3-4.7 IA CUSA Alabama - Birmingham 103 15 -3.60 4.0-8.0 7.6-4.4 IA CUSA Tulane 104 13 -3.65 2.0-*** 5.7-7.3 IA MWC Nevada - Las Vegas 105 19 -3.69 6.0-7.0 9.7-3.3 IA Sun_Belt Middle Tennessee State 106 15 -3.72 4.0-8.0 7.7-4.3 IA Sun_Belt Florida Atlantic 107 14 -3.74 4.0-8.0 7.7-4.3 IA Sun_Belt Arkansas State 108 10 -4.27 4.0-8.0 8.3-3.7 IA MAC Ball State 109 9 -4.38 3.0-9.0 7.4-4.6 IA MAC Central Michigan 110 9 -4.51 3.0-9.0 7.5-4.5 IA Sun_Belt Louisiana - Lafayette 111 9 -5.02 2.0-*** 7.0-5.0 IA WAC New Mexico State 112 9 -5.06 1.0-*** 6.1-5.9 IA MWC New Mexico 113 11 -5.27 3.0-9.0 8.3-3.7 IA Sun_Belt North Texas 114 11 -5.34 2.0-*** 7.3-4.7 IA MAC Bowling Green 115 12 -5.39 2.0-*** 7.4-4.6 IA MAC Eastern Michigan 116 10 -5.53 1.0-*** 6.5-6.5 IA WAC San Jose State 117 10 -5.60 1.0-*** 6.6-5.4 IA CUSA Memphis 118 11 -5.63 2.0-*** 7.6-4.4 IA Sun_Belt Western Kentucky 119 9 -5.80 2.0-*** 7.8-4.2 IA MAC Buffalo 120 7 -6.86 1.0-*** 7.9-4.1 IA MAC Akron
Division IAA
rnk u scr act w-l sim w-l div conf team 1 18 1.64 12.0-2.0 10.4-3.6 IAA Big_Sky Eastern Washington 2 11 0.85 11.0-3.0 10.1-3.9 IAA Colonial Delaware 3 15 0.38 9.0-1.0 8.6-1.4 IAA Ivy Pennsylvania 4 14 0.34 10.0-3.0 9.7-3.3 IAA Southern Appalachian State 5 14 -0.07 8.0-4.0 8.1-3.9 IAA Colonial William & Mary 6 14 -0.10 9.0-3.0 9.1-2.9 IAA Southern Wofford 7 16 -0.20 9.0-1.0 9.2-0.8 IAA Pioneer Jacksonville 8 15 -0.22 9.0-5.0 9.2-4.8 IAA Colonial Villanova 9 18 -0.35 10.0-3.0 10.4-2.6 IAA Patriot Lehigh 10 18 -0.64 9.0-1.0 9.6-0.4 IAA Pioneer Dayton 11 15 -0.69 9.0-3.0 9.7-2.3 IAA Southland Stephen F. Austin 12 12 -0.88 8.0-3.0 8.9-2.1 IAA Big_Sky Montana State 13 14 -0.90 8.0-5.0 8.9-4.1 IAA Colonial New Hampshire 14 15 -0.94 10.0-5.0 10.9-4.1 IAA Southern Georgia Southern 15 19 -1.03 10.0-2.0 11.0-1.0 IAA SWAC Texas Southern 16 18 -1.18 9.0-2.0 10.2-0.8 IAA MEAC Bethune - Cookman 17 15 -1.25 6.0-5.0 7.2-3.8 IAA Colonial James Madison 18 14 -1.29 6.0-5.0 7.3-3.7 IAA Colonial Richmond 19 19 -1.35 9.0-3.0 10.4-1.6 IAA Ohio_V Jacksonville State 20 20 -1.36 8.0-2.0 9.4-0.6 IAA SWAC Grambling 21 20 -1.47 8.0-3.0 9.5-1.5 IAA Ohio_V Southeast Missouri State 22 24 -1.60 8.0-3.0 9.6-1.4 IAA MEAC South Carolina State 23 26 -1.71 7.0-3.0 8.7-1.3 IAA Ivy Harvard 24 21 -1.72 5.0-3.0 6.7-1.3 IAA Indep Georgia State 25 25 -1.73 8.0-3.0 9.7-1.3 IAA Big_South Liberty 26 25 -1.78 7.0-3.0 8.8-1.2 IAA NE Central Connecticut 27 25 -1.79 8.0-3.0 9.8-1.2 IAA MEAC Florida A&M 28 23 -1.80 6.0-5.0 7.8-3.2 IAA Colonial Massachusetts 29 27 -1.88 7.0-3.0 8.9-1.1 IAA Ivy Yale 30 23 -1.95 6.0-4.0 7.9-2.1 IAA Great_West California - Davis 31 22 -1.95 6.0-5.0 8.0-3.0 IAA Southern Tennessee - Chattanooga 32 29 -1.98 8.0-3.0 10.0-1.0 IAA NE Robert Morris 33 27 -2.07 8.0-3.0 10.1-0.9 IAA Indep Old Dominion 34 22 -2.10 6.0-5.0 8.1-2.9 IAA Big_Sky Weber State 35 25 -2.15 8.0-5.0 10.2-2.8 IAA Missouri_V Western Illinois 36 26 -2.25 9.0-5.0 11.2-2.8 IAA Missouri_V North Dakota State 37 21 -2.32 6.0-4.0 8.3-1.7 IAA Big_Sky Montana 38 23 -2.32 7.0-5.0 9.3-2.7 IAA Missouri_V Northern Iowa 39 24 -2.35 6.0-5.0 8.4-2.6 IAA Southland McNeese State 40 24 -2.36 6.0-4.0 8.4-1.6 IAA Great_West California Poly 41 23 -2.42 6.0-4.0 8.4-1.6 IAA Southland Central Arkansas 42 20 -2.42 5.0-5.0 7.4-2.6 IAA Southern Elon 43 21 -2.44 5.0-5.0 7.4-2.6 IAA Big_Sky Sacramento State 44 28 -2.49 7.0-4.0 9.5-1.5 IAA Patriot Colgate 45 21 -2.60 5.0-5.0 7.6-2.4 IAA Big_Sky Northern Arizona 46 26 -2.62 7.0-3.0 9.6-0.4 IAA SWAC Jackson State 47 19 -2.65 4.0-5.0 6.7-2.3 IAA Missouri_V Indiana State 48 25 -2.65 6.0-4.0 8.7-1.3 IAA Ivy Brown 49 20 -2.77 5.0-5.0 7.8-2.2 IAA Missouri_V Illinois State 50 30 -2.81 7.0-4.0 9.8-1.2 IAA NE Duquesne 51 28 -2.92 6.0-4.0 8.9-1.1 IAA Ivy Dartmouth 52 21 -2.93 5.0-6.0 7.9-3.1 IAA Colonial Rhode Island 53 17 -2.93 5.0-6.0 7.9-3.1 IAA Missouri_V South Dakota State 54 27 -3.09 6.0-4.0 9.1-0.9 IAA SWAC Prairie View 55 18 -3.12 5.0-6.0 8.1-2.9 IAA Southern Furman 56 24 -3.15 6.0-4.0 9.2-0.8 IAA Pioneer Drake 57 21 -3.20 5.0-5.0 8.2-1.8 IAA Big_South Stony Brook 58 20 -3.24 6.0-5.0 9.2-1.8 IAA Southland Sam Houston State 59 20 -3.25 5.0-5.0 8.3-1.7 IAA Ohio_V Eastern Kentucky 60 18 -3.31 5.0-5.0 8.3-1.7 IAA Great_West Southern Utah 61 19 -3.44 5.0-6.0 8.4-2.6 IAA Missouri_V Missouri State 62 21 -3.47 5.0-4.0 8.5-0.5 IAA NE Bryant 63 19 -3.52 5.0-5.0 8.5-1.5 IAA Ohio_V Tennessee - Martin 64 22 -3.52 6.0-5.0 9.5-1.5 IAA Patriot Holy Cross 65 19 -3.53 4.0-6.0 7.5-2.5 IAA Ohio_V Tennessee Tech 66 16 -3.59 4.0-6.0 7.6-2.4 IAA Missouri_V Southern Illinois 67 17 -3.61 4.0-7.0 7.6-3.4 IAA Colonial Maine 68 20 -3.61 6.0-5.0 9.6-1.4 IAA Ohio_V Murray State 69 22 -3.72 7.0-5.0 10.7-1.3 IAA NE Albany 70 18 -3.87 6.0-6.0 9.9-2.1 IAA Big_South Coastal Carolina 71 20 -3.90 5.0-5.0 8.9-1.1 IAA Patriot Fordham 72 14 -4.01 2.0-5.0 6.0-1.0 IAA Southland Lamar 73 19 -4.04 6.0-5.0 10.0-1.0 IAA MEAC Hampton 74 14 -4.05 3.0-6.0 7.1-1.9 IAA Southland Nicholls State 75 17 -4.06 5.0-5.0 9.1-0.9 IAA MEAC Norfolk State 76 15 -4.11 4.0-6.0 8.1-1.9 IAA Southland Northwestern State 77 12 -4.18 3.0-7.0 7.2-2.8 IAA Southern Samford 78 16 -4.31 5.0-5.0 9.3-0.7 IAA Pioneer San Diego 79 15 -4.45 5.0-5.0 9.5-0.5 IAA NE Wagner 80 18 -4.48 7.0-5.0 11.5-0.5 IAA SWAC Alabama State 81 13 -4.68 4.0-6.0 8.7-1.3 IAA Ivy Columbia 82 9 -4.73 3.0-7.0 7.7-2.3 IAA Great_West South Dakota 83 15 -4.87 4.0-6.0 8.9-1.1 IAA SWAC Alcorn State 84 11 -5.14 2.0-8.0 7.1-2.9 IAA Southern The Citadel 85 16 -5.14 5.0-6.0 10.1-0.9 IAA Pioneer Morehead State 86 11 -5.18 2.0-8.0 7.2-2.8 IAA Southern Western Carolina 87 12 -5.21 3.0-7.0 8.2-1.8 IAA Southland Texas State - San Marcos 88 14 -5.36 4.0-6.0 9.4-0.6 IAA SWAC Arkansas - Pine Bluff 89 11 -5.50 2.0-9.0 7.5-3.5 IAA Big_Sky Portland State 90 13 -5.54 3.0-7.0 8.5-1.5 IAA MEAC Morgan State 91 12 -5.54 2.0-8.0 7.5-2.5 IAA Big_Sky Northern Colorado 92 12 -5.60 3.0-8.0 8.6-2.4 IAA Missouri_V Youngstown State 93 12 -5.67 2.0-8.0 7.7-2.3 IAA Great_West North Dakota 94 12 -5.80 1.0-8.0 6.8-2.2 IAA Big_South Charleston Southern 95 12 -5.88 3.0-7.0 8.9-1.1 IAA Big_South Gardner - Webb 96 11 -5.89 2.0-8.0 7.9-2.1 IAA Big_South Virginia Military 97 13 -6.12 4.0-7.0 10.1-0.9 IAA Patriot Georgetown 98 10 -6.16 1.0-7.0 7.2-0.8 IAA Indep North Carolina Central 99 8 -6.26 2.0-8.0 8.3-1.7 IAA Big_South Presbyterian 100 13 -6.34 4.0-7.0 10.3-0.7 IAA NE Sacred Heart 101 10 -6.43 2.0-7.0 8.4-0.6 IAA Pioneer Butler 102 11 -6.60 3.0-7.0 9.6-0.4 IAA Pioneer Davidson 103 7 -6.64 1.0-*** 7.6-3.4 IAA Colonial Towson 104 9 -6.72 2.0-8.0 8.7-1.3 IAA Ivy Cornell 105 11 -7.02 3.0-8.0 10.0-1.0 IAA NE Monmouth 106 10 -7.03 1.0-9.0 8.0-2.0 IAA Ohio_V Austin Peay 107 10 -7.08 3.0-8.0 10.1-0.9 IAA Ohio_V Tennessee State 108 9 -7.20 2.0-9.0 9.2-1.8 IAA Ohio_V Eastern Illinois 109 8 -7.28 0.0-*** 7.3-2.7 IAA Big_Sky Idaho State 110 9 -7.30 3.0-8.0 10.3-0.7 IAA MEAC Delaware State 111 9 -7.47 2.0-8.0 9.5-0.5 IAA Pioneer Campbell 112 8 -7.49 2.0-9.0 9.5-1.5 IAA Southland Southeast Louisiana 113 9 -7.53 3.0-8.0 10.5-0.5 IAA Pioneer Marist 114 8 -7.56 1.0-9.0 8.6-1.4 IAA Ivy Princeton 115 8 -7.57 2.0-9.0 9.6-1.4 IAA Patriot Lafayette 116 8 -7.60 2.0-8.0 9.6-0.4 IAA SWAC Alabama A&M 117 9 -7.61 2.0-8.0 9.6-0.4 IAA SWAC Southern 118 9 -7.69 1.0-9.0 8.7-1.3 IAA MEAC Savannah State 119 7 -8.31 0.0-9.0 8.3-0.7 IAA Pioneer Valparaiso 120 4 -8.44 1.0-9.0 9.4-0.6 IAA MEAC North Carolina A&T 121 4 -8.85 1.0-*** 9.8-1.2 IAA Patriot Bucknell 122 4 -8.93 1.0-*** 9.9-1.1 IAA NE Saint Francis - Pennsylv 123 5 -9.06 0.0-*** 9.1-0.9 IAA MEAC Howard 124 4 -9.43 0.0-*** 9.4-0.6 IAA SWAC Mississippi Valley State
KEY:
rnk - rank based on how may games the given team has won divided by
the average number of wins other teams would get playing that
schedule using the Bassett Football Model
u - uncertainty in rank (e.g. u=1 would mean rank uncertain by
approximately 1 place, u=** for uncertainty greater than 99 places)
scr - Stephenson earned rank score: the actual wins of a team
subtracted by the average simulated wins of all teams if they
had played that team's schedule (as simulated by the model)
act w-l - actual win-loss record
sim w-l - simulated win-loss record of all teams if playing that schedule
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