ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
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80-90% chance of victory:
136 Ball State over 197 Southeast Missouri State 35.0 to 10.5
99 Buffalo over 183 Rhode Island 45.5 to 17.5
50 Central Michigan over 209 Hampton 49.0 to 0.0
26 Southern California over 115 Hawaii 35.0 to 14.0
97 Idaho over 158 North Dakota 45.5 to 24.5
103 Indiana over 193 Towson 49.0 to 14.0
121 Kent State over 228 Murray State 42.0 to 3.5
15 Miami - Florida over 167 Florida A&M 59.5 to 7.0
49 Nevada - Reno over 116 Eastern Washington 49.0 to 24.5
9 Ohio State over 92 Marshall 35.0 to 3.5
56 Rutgers over 171 Norfolk State 45.5 to 7.0
58 Wake Forest over 232 Presbyterian 63.0 to 3.5
34 Arizona over 122 Toledo 45.5 to 24.5
33 Air Force over 231 Northwestern State 56.0 to 0.0
1 Alabama over 166 San Jose State 56.0 to 0.0
60 Arizona State over 190 Portland State 49.0 to 3.5
13 Arkansas over 182 Tennessee Tech 63.0 to 3.5
25 Auburn over 118 Arkansas State 45.5 to 14.0
80 Baylor over 195 Sam Houston State 49.0 to 10.5
44 Boston College over 114 Weber State 38.5 to 10.5
42 California over 153 California - Davis 45.5 to 10.5
65 Central Florida over 152 South Dakota 45.5 to 17.5
21 Clemson over 139 North Texas 56.0 to 10.5
2 Florida over 145 Miami - Ohio 56.0 to 0.0
32 Florida State over 135 Samford 42.0 to 7.0
10 Cincinnati over 64 Fresno State 45.5 to 31.5
24 Georgia over 129 Louisiana - Lafayette 49.0 to 10.5
11 Georgia Tech over 123 South Carolina State 52.5 to 14.0
41 Houston over 156 Texas State - San Marcos 59.5 to 21.0
22 Iowa over 154 Eastern Illinois 42.0 to 0.0
55 Kansas over 146 North Dakota State 52.5 to 17.5
53 Michigan State over 117 Western Michigan 42.0 to 17.5
18 Mississippi over 108 Jacksonville State 42.0 to 10.5
47 Mississippi State over 124 Memphis 42.0 to 14.0
12 Nebraska over 178 Western Kentucky 56.0 to 0.0
29 Wisconsin over 100 Nevada - Las Vegas 38.5 to 21.0
76 Louisiana Tech over 176 Grambling 49.0 to 17.5
74 North Carolina State over 181 Western Carolina 45.5 to 10.5
87 Ohio over 162 Wofford 42.0 to 14.0
7 Oklahoma over 110 Utah State 49.0 to 7.0
27 Oklahoma State over 141 Washington State 45.5 to 7.0
6 Oregon over 143 New Mexico 63.0 to 10.5
17 Penn State over 138 Youngstown State 42.0 to 0.0
3 Texas over 165 Rice 63.0 to 7.0
109 San Diego State over 218 Nicholls State 52.5 to 14.0
54 South Florida over 159 Stony Brook 38.5 to 3.5
23 Stanford over 173 Sacramento State 59.5 to 10.5
28 Tennessee over 192 Tennessee - Martin 63.0 to 3.5
59 Texas A&M over 130 Stephen F. Austin 49.0 to 24.5
111 Texas - El Paso over 225 Arkansas - Pine Bluff 49.0 to 7.0
39 West Virginia over 189 Coastal Carolina 49.0 to 0.0
14 Texas Tech over 68 Southern Methodist 45.5 to 21.0
70-80% chance of victory:
101 Alabama - Birmingham over 120 Florida Atlantic 38.5 to 31.5
36 South Carolina over 72 Southern Mississippi 35.0 to 17.5
164 Tulane over 186 Southeast Louisiana 35.0 to 24.5
20 Brigham Young over 52 Washington 38.5 to 24.5
43 Missouri over 85 Illinois 35.0 to 24.5
38 Notre Dame over 71 Purdue 38.5 to 24.5
4 Texas Christian over 30 Oregon State 38.5 to 21.0
98 Wyoming over 147 Southern Utah 38.5 to 21.0
48 East Carolina over 93 Tulsa 35.0 to 17.5
37 Navy over 96 Maryland 35.0 to 17.5
60-70% chance of victory:
69 Iowa State over 82 Northern Illinois 28.0 to 21.0
19 Pittsburgh over 40 Utah 31.5 to 28.0
46 Villanova over 62 Temple 31.5 to 28.0
86 Syracuse over 132 Akron 31.5 to 21.0
79 Duke over 89 Elon 28.0 to 24.5
126 Army over 177 Eastern Michigan 31.5 to 17.5
45 Kentucky over 94 Louisville 31.5 to 21.0
35 Connecticut over 77 Michigan 38.5 to 31.5
88 Colorado over 104 Colorado State 31.5 to 24.5
16 Louisiana State over 31 North Carolina 21.0 to 14.0
73 Troy State over 91 Bowling Green 38.5 to 28.0
66 Virginia over 63 Richmond 28.0 to 24.5
5 Virginia Tech over 8 Boise State 31.5 to 28.0
50-60% chance of victory:
61 Minnesota over 75 Middle Tennessee State 24.5 to 24.5
51 California - Los Angeles over 67 Kansas State 21.0 to 21.0
83 Vanderbilt over 70 Northwestern 24.5 to 21.0
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