2010 Week 3 (16-18 Sep) Forecast for College Football Division IA & IAA

                                                                   ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team         rank projected losing team     TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
 --- ----------------------          --- ----------------------    ---------------------

80-90% chance of victory:

  72 Troy State                over  114 Alabama - Birmingham       38.5 to 28.0
  89 Appalachian State         over  232 North Carolina Central     59.5 to 10.5
 222 Bethune - Cookman         over  243 Savannah State             38.5 to 10.5
 130 Central Arkansas          over  236 Murray State               42.0 to  3.5
 198 Dayton                    over  238 Morehead State             35.0 to 14.0
  85 Delaware                  over  223 Duquesne                   49.0 to  7.0
   2 Alabama                   over   73 Duke                       45.5 to 17.5
  60 Central Michigan          over  179 Eastern Michigan           42.0 to 10.5
  86 Jacksonville State        over  235 Georgia State              66.5 to 24.5
 159 Grambling                 over  219 Jackson State              35.0 to 14.0
 161 Florida A&M               over  239 Howard                     38.5 to 14.0
  61 Illinois                  over  100 Northern Illinois          31.5 to 17.5
  49 Kentucky                  over  157 Akron                      45.5 to 10.5
  43 Michigan                  over   91 Massachusetts              38.5 to 17.5
  37 Missouri                  over   98 San Diego State            42.0 to 17.5
 141 Montana State             over  213 Drake                      35.0 to  7.0
  28 Utah                      over  154 New Mexico                 45.5 to 10.5
 116 North Dakota State        over  220 Morgan State               38.5 to  3.5
   7 Ohio State                over  105 Ohio                       38.5 to  0.0
  23 Oklahoma State            over   78 Tulsa                      49.0 to 24.5
  71 William & Mary            over  200 Old Dominion               42.0 to  7.0
   1 Oregon                    over  184 Portland State             77.0 to  3.5
  27 Oregon State              over  101 Louisville                 38.5 to 10.5
  20 Penn State                over  115 Kent State                 38.5 to  3.5
 164 Prairie View              over  234 Alabama State              31.5 to  7.0
  82 Purdue                    over  144 Ball State                 35.0 to 14.0
  88 New Hampshire             over  190 Rhode Island               42.0 to 14.0
  63 Northwestern              over  133 Rice                       42.0 to 24.5
  84 Richmond                  over   97 Elon                       28.0 to 21.0
 109 Liberty                   over  209 Robert Morris              42.0 to 14.0
 123 Weber State               over  165 Sacramento State           45.5 to 35.0
  18 South Carolina            over  112 Furman                     42.0 to 10.5
 107 Southern Illinois         over  196 Southeast Missouri State   38.5 to  7.0
  58 Southern Methodist        over  148 Washington State           45.5 to 14.0
   9 Stanford                  over   66 Wake Forest                45.5 to 24.5
  79 Syracuse                  over  150 Maine                      31.5 to  7.0
   3 Florida                   over   44 Tennessee                  35.0 to 17.5
 140 Tennessee - Chattanooga   over  183 Eastern Kentucky           35.0 to 17.5
  31 Texas A&M                 over  125 Florida International      52.5 to 17.5
   5 Texas Christian           over   67 Baylor                     38.5 to 10.5
 118 Texas - El Paso           over  163 New Mexico State           35.0 to 17.5
 215 Texas Southern            over  227 Alabama A&M                28.0 to 21.0
 158 The Citadel               over  217 Presbyterian               49.0 to 28.0
  32 Fresno State              over   99 Utah State                 42.0 to 28.0
  47 Villanova                 over  197 Towson                     56.0 to  7.0
 102 Indiana                   over  166 Western Kentucky           49.0 to 31.5
  46 West Virginia             over   69 Maryland                   31.5 to 21.0
   4 Boise State               over   92 Wyoming                    45.5 to 17.5

70-80% chance of victory:

  24 Auburn                    over   42 Clemson                    35.0 to 24.5
 149 Brown                     over  170 Stony Brook                35.0 to 24.5
  70 Central Florida           over  111 Buffalo                    21.0 to 14.0
 139 Georgia Southern          over  191 Coastal Carolina           31.5 to 21.0
 137 Harvard                   over  151 Holy Cross                 28.0 to 21.0
 169 Lehigh                    over  210 Princeton                  28.0 to 10.5
  10 Louisiana State           over   38 Mississippi State          28.0 to 14.0
  50 Mississippi               over   87 Vanderbilt                 31.5 to 14.0
 231 Alcorn State              over  241 Mississippi Valley State   31.5 to 17.5
  83 Northern Iowa             over  113 Stephen F. Austin          31.5 to 21.0
 122 Pennsylvania              over  160 Lafayette                  28.0 to 10.5
 121 South Dakota State        over  152 Illinois State             28.0 to 10.5
 185 Southeast Louisiana       over  214 Lamar                      42.0 to 31.5
  22 Virginia Tech             over   54 East Carolina              38.5 to 21.0
  39 Wisconsin                 over   57 Arizona State              28.0 to 17.5
 173 Yale                      over  207 Georgetown                 24.5 to 10.5
 142 Youngstown State          over  180 Central Connecticut        31.5 to 14.0

60-70% chance of victory:

  40 Cincinnati                over   59 North Carolina State       35.0 to 35.0
  11 California                over   30 Nevada - Reno              38.5 to 35.0
  62 Kansas                    over   81 Southern Mississippi       28.0 to 24.5
  14 Arizona                   over   13 Iowa                       28.0 to 24.5
 104 Northeast Louisiana       over  126 Arkansas State             28.0 to 21.0
 135 Army                      over  146 North Texas                28.0 to 24.5
  95 Bowling Green             over   90 Marshall                   28.0 to 24.5
 204 Dartmouth                 over  229 Bucknell                   21.0 to 17.5
  36 Houston                   over   77 California - Los Angeles   35.0 to 28.0
 240 Davidson                  over  242 Campbell                   24.5 to 14.0
  94 Colorado                  over  106 Hawaii                     35.0 to 28.0
 175 Columbia                  over  189 Fordham                    31.5 to 24.5
  34 Florida State             over   35 Brigham Young              35.0 to 31.5
 174 Gardner - Webb            over  188 Western Carolina           31.5 to 21.0
  21 Georgia                   over   17 Arkansas                   28.0 to 24.5
 201 Hampton                   over  216 North Carolina A&T         24.5 to 14.0
  76 Idaho                     over  108 Nevada - Las Vegas         42.0 to 28.0
  65 Navy                      over   96 Louisiana Tech             21.0 to 14.0
  93 Middle Tennessee State    over  131 Memphis                    35.0 to 28.0
 132 Miami - Ohio              over  128 Colorado State             24.5 to 21.0
  55 Michigan State            over   51 Notre Dame                 28.0 to 21.0
  29 Southern California       over   80 Minnesota                  28.0 to 17.5
  68 Kansas State              over   74 Iowa State                 28.0 to 24.5
 167 Northern Colorado         over  202 Idaho State                38.5 to 21.0
   6 Oklahoma                  over   19 Air Force                  35.0 to 21.0
 230 Sacred Heart              over  237 Saint Francis - Pennsylv   31.5 to 28.0
 182 California - Davis        over  225 San Diego                  28.0 to 17.5
 138 San Jose State            over  145 Southern Utah              31.5 to 28.0
  53 Temple                    over   48 Connecticut                28.0 to 28.0
 181 Eastern Illinois          over  203 Tennessee - Martin         28.0 to 24.5
 192 Austin Peay               over  218 Tennessee State            31.5 to 28.0
 136 California Poly           over  153 Texas State - San Marcos   35.0 to 35.0
   8 Texas                     over   16 Texas Tech                 31.5 to 31.5
 211 Wagner                    over  205 Cornell                    31.5 to 28.0
  15 Nebraska                  over   41 Washington                 21.0 to 17.5
 178 Western Illinois          over  195 Sam Houston State          31.5 to 21.0
 119 Western Michigan          over  117 Toledo                     31.5 to 28.0

50-60% chance of victory:

 103 Montana                   over  120 Eastern Washington         35.0 to 35.0
  33 North Carolina            over   26 Georgia Tech               28.0 to 28.0

NOTE: the above scores are rounded to the nearest 3.5 points. Exact predicted scores are not released until after game time

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