ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
--- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- ---------------------
80-90% chance of victory:
5 Texas Christian over 65 Southern Methodist 38.5 to 17.5
2 Oregon over 54 Arizona State 42.0 to 17.5
3 Boise State over 31 Oregon State 49.0 to 24.5
68 Idaho over 144 Colorado State 35.0 to 17.5
57 Connecticut over 111 Buffalo 31.5 to 10.5
188 Dartmouth over 239 Sacred Heart 49.0 to 21.0
182 Jacksonville over 238 Davidson 31.5 to 14.0
110 Jacksonville State over 193 Eastern Illinois 35.0 to 14.0
4 Florida over 43 Kentucky 42.0 to 14.0
97 Florida Atlantic over 155 North Texas 42.0 to 21.0
24 Florida State over 78 Wake Forest 49.0 to 28.0
109 Furman over 167 The Citadel 42.0 to 21.0
115 Hawaii over 199 Charleston Southern 45.5 to 17.5
46 Houston over 148 Tulane 52.5 to 17.5
19 Iowa over 133 Ball State 42.0 to 3.5
215 Jackson State over 241 Mississippi Valley State 31.5 to 7.0
63 James Madison over 128 Liberty 38.5 to 17.5
73 Kansas over 181 New Mexico State 35.0 to 0.0
79 William & Mary over 149 Maine 24.5 to 7.0
50 Michigan over 86 Bowling Green 42.0 to 24.5
49 Michigan State over 169 Northern Colorado 52.5 to 10.5
39 Missouri over 116 Miami - Ohio 42.0 to 14.0
105 Montana over 145 Sacramento State 38.5 to 21.0
10 Nebraska over 140 South Dakota State 45.5 to 0.0
113 Nevada - Las Vegas over 160 New Mexico 38.5 to 21.0
120 New Hampshire over 170 Lehigh 31.5 to 14.0
220 Morgan State over 240 Howard 31.5 to 17.5
122 Northeast Louisiana over 194 Southeast Louisiana 35.0 to 10.5
6 Stanford over 53 Notre Dame 42.0 to 28.0
177 Albany over 243 Savannah State 42.0 to 3.5
9 Ohio State over 179 Eastern Michigan 63.0 to 0.0
26 Penn State over 42 Temple 28.0 to 14.0
83 Purdue over 107 Toledo 31.5 to 21.0
38 South Florida over 162 Western Kentucky 56.0 to 14.0
102 Stephen F. Austin over 205 Lamar 56.0 to 24.5
89 Massachusetts over 164 Stony Brook 42.0 to 24.5
81 Syracuse over 174 Colgate 42.0 to 10.5
40 Tennessee over 104 Alabama - Birmingham 38.5 to 14.0
7 Texas over 56 California - Los Angeles 31.5 to 3.5
76 Troy State over 119 Arkansas State 42.0 to 28.0
84 Tulsa over 153 Central Arkansas 42.0 to 17.5
27 Utah over 135 San Jose State 45.5 to 7.0
216 Drake over 244 Valparaiso 42.0 to 14.0
51 Villanova over 118 Pennsylvania 31.5 to 7.0
48 Virginia over 212 Virginia Military 49.0 to 0.0
30 Southern California over 143 Washington State 45.5 to 14.0
132 Weber State over 178 California - Davis 42.0 to 24.5
154 Western Illinois over 208 Indiana State 38.5 to 17.5
34 Wisconsin over 196 Austin Peay 59.5 to 7.0
25 Air Force over 106 Wyoming 38.5 to 17.5
70-80% chance of victory:
14 Arizona over 28 California 38.5 to 28.0
1 Alabama over 13 Arkansas 31.5 to 21.0
15 Virginia Tech over 55 Boston College 28.0 to 21.0
210 Georgia State over 242 Campbell 49.0 to 31.5
8 Oklahoma over 45 Cincinnati 31.5 to 17.5
198 Coastal Carolina over 214 Delaware State 31.5 to 21.0
21 Georgia Tech over 44 North Carolina State 42.0 to 28.0
129 Northern Arizona over 207 Idaho State 45.5 to 24.5
91 Indiana over 159 Akron 38.5 to 17.5
75 Iowa State over 96 Northern Iowa 21.0 to 10.5
59 Kansas State over 62 Central Florida 28.0 to 21.0
11 Louisiana State over 41 West Virginia 31.5 to 10.5
71 Maryland over 114 Florida International 38.5 to 21.0
80 Minnesota over 95 Northern Illinois 31.5 to 21.0
168 North Dakota over 226 Northwestern State 38.5 to 17.5
150 Florida A&M over 224 Tennessee State 35.0 to 14.0
74 Baylor over 134 Rice 35.0 to 21.0
77 Richmond over 100 Delaware 31.5 to 21.0
90 Appalachian State over 158 Samford 31.5 to 14.0
60-70% chance of victory:
20 Pittsburgh over 16 Miami - Florida 31.5 to 28.0
200 Southern over 237 Alabama A&M 35.0 to 24.5
18 Auburn over 22 South Carolina 28.0 to 24.5
176 Norfolk State over 213 Bethune - Cookman 24.5 to 17.5
17 Nevada - Reno over 47 Brigham Young 35.0 to 28.0
117 Harvard over 146 Brown 28.0 to 21.0
172 Bryant over 206 Central Connecticut 35.0 to 28.0
191 Columbia over 192 Towson 28.0 to 24.5
183 Yale over 235 Cornell 28.0 to 14.0
82 Duke over 123 Army 35.0 to 21.0
177 Albany over 221 Duquesne 28.0 to 21.0
166 Holy Cross over 204 Georgetown 28.0 to 21.0
93 Elon over 137 Georgia Southern 24.5 to 21.0
138 Illinois State over 141 Missouri State 28.0 to 21.0
103 Middle Tennessee State over 136 Louisiana - Lafayette 28.0 to 24.5
69 Southern Mississippi over 101 Louisiana Tech 31.5 to 24.5
234 Marist over 233 Morehead State 24.5 to 17.5
98 Marshall over 99 Ohio 24.5 to 21.0
32 Fresno State over 72 Mississippi 31.5 to 24.5
29 Georgia over 36 Mississippi State 24.5 to 21.0
197 Monmouth over 190 Old Dominion 35.0 to 31.5
94 Eastern Washington over 139 Montana State 31.5 to 24.5
201 Tennessee - Martin over 223 Murray State 28.0 to 24.5
218 North Carolina Central over 227 North Carolina A&T 28.0 to 21.0
121 North Dakota State over 127 South Dakota 35.0 to 28.0
58 Northwestern over 52 Central Michigan 24.5 to 21.0
175 Grambling over 189 Prairie View 24.5 to 21.0
156 Lafayette over 209 Princeton 31.5 to 21.0
33 North Carolina over 67 Rutgers 21.0 to 14.0
195 Gardner - Webb over 229 Sam Houston State 35.0 to 28.0
88 San Diego State over 92 Utah State 38.5 to 35.0
112 Texas - El Paso over 124 Memphis 35.0 to 28.0
151 Texas State - San Marcos over 147 Southern Utah 31.5 to 28.0
185 Wagner over 187 Robert Morris 31.5 to 28.0
142 Tennessee - Chattanooga over 165 Western Carolina 28.0 to 24.5
125 Youngstown State over 131 Southern Illinois 31.5 to 24.5
50-60% chance of victory:
228 Alcorn State over 217 Alabama State 24.5 to 24.5
163 McNeese State over 152 California Poly 24.5 to 24.5
231 San Diego over 225 Butler 21.0 to 21.0
173 Southeast Missouri State over 161 Tennessee Tech 28.0 to 28.0
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