2010 Week 5 (30 Sep - 2 Oct) Forecast for College Football Division IA & IAA

                                                                   ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team         rank projected losing team     TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
 --- ----------------------          --- ----------------------    ---------------------

80-90% chance of victory:

  11 Oklahoma State            over   31 Texas A&M                  49.0 to 35.0
 174 Tennessee Tech            over  221 Tennessee - Martin         35.0 to 17.5
  57 Brigham Young             over  121 Utah State                 31.5 to 17.5
  33 Air Force                 over   59 Navy                       31.5 to 17.5
  78 Northern Illinois         over  158 Akron                      35.0 to 17.5
  17 Auburn                    over  133 Northeast Louisiana        49.0 to 10.5
  28 California - Los Angeles  over  146 Washington State           42.0 to  3.5
  50 Central Michigan          over  138 Ball State                 35.0 to  7.0
   6 Texas Christian           over  129 Colorado State             45.5 to  7.0
 193 Dayton                    over  243 Valparaiso                 42.0 to  7.0
 197 Hampton                   over  231 Delaware State             28.0 to 21.0
  95 Ohio                      over  176 Eastern Michigan           42.0 to 21.0
  58 Fresno State              over  140 California Poly            42.0 to 17.5
   7 Ohio State                over   67 Illinois                   38.5 to 17.5
  25 Michigan                  over   90 Indiana                    45.5 to 28.0
 167 Jacksonville              over  214 San Diego                  35.0 to 17.5
 107 Jacksonville State        over  196 Murray State               49.0 to 17.5
 119 Liberty                   over  242 Savannah State             56.0 to  0.0
  10 Louisiana State           over   55 Tennessee                  38.5 to 14.0
  71 Maryland                  over  105 Duke                       45.5 to 31.5
  32 Mississippi State         over  209 Alcorn State               56.0 to  0.0
 195 Prairie View              over  244 Mississippi Valley State   31.5 to  3.5
  15 Nevada - Reno             over   94 Nevada - Las Vegas         45.5 to 21.0
 111 Texas - El Paso           over  177 New Mexico                 38.5 to 21.0
   4 Boise State               over  170 New Mexico State           63.0 to  3.5
  40 North Carolina            over   60 East Carolina              38.5 to 28.0
 108 North Dakota State        over  145 Western Illinois           31.5 to 17.5
 110 Pennsylvania              over  202 Dartmouth                  38.5 to  7.0
  42 Pittsburgh                over  114 Florida International      38.5 to 14.0
 178 Portland State            over  213 Idaho State                35.0 to 21.0
  66 Southern Methodist        over  139 Rice                       42.0 to 21.0
 102 Richmond                  over  186 Coastal Carolina           42.0 to 14.0
  73 Rutgers                   over  135 Tulane                     28.0 to  7.0
 150 San Jose State            over  171 California - Davis         28.0 to 17.5
 147 South Dakota              over  160 North Dakota               38.5 to 28.0
  26 Southern California       over   69 Washington                 42.0 to 24.5
  70 Southern Mississippi      over  101 Marshall                   35.0 to 21.0
  56 South Florida             over  124 Florida Atlantic           35.0 to 10.5
  89 Toledo                    over  103 Wyoming                    28.0 to 21.0
  98 Massachusetts             over  201 Towson                     45.5 to 21.0
  76 Idaho                     over  131 Western Michigan           35.0 to 24.5
 115 Furman                    over  164 Wofford                    38.5 to 28.0

70-80% chance of victory:

   1 Alabama                   over    3 Florida                    28.0 to 21.0
 157 Grambling                 over  219 Alabama A&M                31.5 to 17.5
  39 Temple                    over   92 Army                       28.0 to 14.0
 235 Butler                    over  241 Campbell                   28.0 to 10.5
   9 Miami - Florida           over   41 Clemson                    31.5 to 21.0
  35 Georgia                   over   79 Colorado                   28.0 to 14.0
  44 Connecticut               over   65 Vanderbilt                 28.0 to 17.5
 223 Drake                     over  236 Marist                     31.5 to 24.5
 128 Elon                      over  156 Samford                    24.5 to 10.5
 137 South Carolina State      over  173 Florida A&M                31.5 to 24.5
  87 Hawaii                    over   97 Louisiana Tech             31.5 to 24.5
  16 Iowa                      over   21 Penn State                 24.5 to 17.5
  83 Tulsa                     over  127 Memphis                    35.0 to 28.0
  47 Northwestern              over   91 Minnesota                  31.5 to 21.0
 113 Montana                   over  172 Northern Colorado          38.5 to 24.5
 106 Northern Iowa             over  116 South Dakota State         17.5 to 10.5
 142 North Texas               over  151 Louisiana - Lafayette      28.0 to 24.5
 179 Old Dominion              over  208 Gardner - Webb             35.0 to 21.0
   2 Oregon                    over    5 Stanford                   45.5 to 38.5
  29 Oregon State              over   43 Arizona State              35.0 to 24.5
 185 Central Connecticut       over  239 Sacred Heart               38.5 to 24.5
 168 Robert Morris             over  216 Saint Francis - Pennsylv   28.0 to 17.5
  20 Florida State             over   63 Virginia                   28.0 to 17.5
  37 Georgia Tech              over   85 Wake Forest                35.0 to 24.5

60-70% chance of victory:

 206 Texas Southern            over  228 Alabama State              24.5 to 21.0
  88 Louisville                over  118 Arkansas State             28.0 to 24.5
  74 Baylor                    over   77 Kansas                     24.5 to 17.5
  64 Boston College            over   52 Notre Dame                 21.0 to 17.5
 104 Bowling Green             over  112 Buffalo                    31.5 to 24.5
 181 Colgate                   over  191 Georgetown                 28.0 to 21.0
 180 Columbia                  over  194 Princeton                  24.5 to 17.5
 211 Duquesne                  over  210 Monmouth                   31.5 to 24.5
 159 Southeast Missouri State  over  187 Eastern Illinois           24.5 to 21.0
 220 Georgia State             over  225 Morehead State             45.5 to 38.5
 184 Holy Cross                over  182 Fordham                    24.5 to 21.0
 130 Illinois State            over  134 Southern Illinois          31.5 to 28.0
  36 Texas Tech                over   62 Iowa State                 24.5 to 21.0
  68 James Madison             over   75 Delaware                   21.0 to 17.5
 144 Harvard                   over  162 Lafayette                  28.0 to 24.5
 207 Sam Houston State         over  233 Lamar                      38.5 to 35.0
 117 New Hampshire             over  154 Maine                      24.5 to 21.0
  99 Kent State                over  123 Miami - Ohio               24.5 to 24.5
  27 Wisconsin                 over   51 Michigan State             31.5 to 28.0
  54 Mississippi               over   48 Kentucky                   35.0 to 31.5
 120 Youngstown State          over  149 Missouri State             38.5 to 35.0
 190 Bethune - Cookman         over  217 Morgan State               21.0 to 17.5
  14 Virginia Tech             over   30 North Carolina State       31.5 to 28.0
 188 McNeese State             over  227 Northwestern State         38.5 to 31.5
 198 Tennessee State           over  230 North Carolina A&T         24.5 to 14.0
   8 Oklahoma                  over   23 Texas                      31.5 to 24.5
 132 Brown                     over  166 Rhode Island               31.5 to 24.5
 109 Montana State             over  148 Sacramento State           28.0 to 21.0
 232 Southern                  over  229 Arkansas - Pine Bluff      35.0 to 31.5
 125 Northern Arizona          over  153 Southern Utah              31.5 to 28.0
 163 The Citadel               over  165 Western Carolina           21.0 to 17.5
 203 Virginia Military         over  218 Presbyterian               38.5 to 31.5
  53 Villanova                 over   82 William & Mary             24.5 to 17.5
 175 Yale                      over  199 Albany                     24.5 to 14.0

50-60% chance of victory:

 237 Bucknell                  over  234 Cornell                    14.0 to 14.0
 212 Wagner                    over  200 Bryant                     31.5 to 28.0
 136 Weber State               over  126 Eastern Washington         28.0 to 28.0

NOTE: the above scores are rounded to the nearest 3.5 points. Exact predicted scores are not released until after game time

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