ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
--- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- ---------------------
80-90% chance of victory:
57 Central Florida over 108 Alabama - Birmingham 31.5 to 10.5
12 Oklahoma State over 151 Louisiana - Lafayette 56.0 to 17.5
36 Connecticut over 88 Rutgers 28.0 to 14.0
34 Air Force over 116 Colorado State 35.0 to 7.0
186 Albany over 226 Saint Francis - Pennsylv 31.5 to 10.5
85 Appalachian State over 131 Elon 42.0 to 24.5
11 Arizona over 29 Oregon State 35.0 to 21.0
104 Ball State over 133 Western Michigan 28.0 to 17.5
169 Bethune - Cookman over 229 Delaware State 38.5 to 14.0
3 Boise State over 96 Toledo 56.0 to 10.5
210 Bryant over 237 Sacred Heart 38.5 to 17.5
132 Pennsylvania over 238 Bucknell 35.0 to 3.5
18 California over 33 California - Los Angeles 31.5 to 17.5
150 Central Arkansas over 227 Northwestern State 38.5 to 10.5
60 Cincinnati over 113 Miami - Ohio 38.5 to 17.5
67 Delaware over 146 Maine 31.5 to 7.0
5 Florida over 13 Louisiana State 28.0 to 14.0
118 Florida International over 157 Western Kentucky 42.0 to 28.0
62 Fresno State over 80 Hawaii 42.0 to 31.5
140 Furman over 242 Howard 52.5 to 0.0
115 Georgia Southern over 144 Wofford 35.0 to 21.0
205 Georgia State over 241 Savannah State 49.0 to 21.0
42 Georgia Tech over 70 Virginia 28.0 to 17.5
166 Grambling over 225 Alabama State 35.0 to 10.5
130 Harvard over 228 Cornell 35.0 to 0.0
141 Brown over 189 Holy Cross 31.5 to 21.0
149 Illinois State over 223 Indiana State 38.5 to 17.5
171 Jacksonville over 204 Drake 38.5 to 24.5
112 Kent State over 175 Akron 35.0 to 10.5
15 Auburn over 59 Kentucky 42.0 to 28.0
172 Lehigh over 183 Fordham 28.0 to 21.0
124 Liberty over 218 Charleston Southern 45.5 to 14.0
86 Louisville over 153 Memphis 35.0 to 14.0
79 Stephen F. Austin over 184 McNeese State 42.0 to 17.5
9 Miami - Florida over 20 Florida State 31.5 to 21.0
22 Michigan over 38 Michigan State 42.0 to 31.5
23 Missouri over 66 Colorado 38.5 to 17.5
99 Montana over 224 Idaho State 45.5 to 0.0
98 Montana State over 160 Portland State 45.5 to 24.5
135 Missouri State over 178 Murray State 38.5 to 28.0
16 Nevada - Reno over 156 San Jose State 56.0 to 7.0
182 Sam Houston State over 222 Nicholls State 35.0 to 24.5
32 North Carolina State over 77 Boston College 38.5 to 21.0
54 Northwestern over 93 Purdue 31.5 to 17.5
8 Ohio State over 87 Indiana 52.5 to 14.0
27 Penn State over 51 Illinois 21.0 to 7.0
164 Robert Morris over 180 Monmouth 31.5 to 24.5
152 Sacramento State over 185 Northern Colorado 45.5 to 31.5
1 Alabama over 26 South Carolina 31.5 to 14.0
128 South Carolina State over 206 Norfolk State 31.5 to 3.5
138 Texas State - San Marcos over 194 Southeast Louisiana 38.5 to 24.5
233 Southern over 244 Mississippi Valley State 35.0 to 17.5
4 Stanford over 31 Southern California 42.0 to 21.0
168 Stony Brook over 207 Virginia Military 38.5 to 21.0
122 Jacksonville State over 212 Tennessee - Martin 38.5 to 17.5
7 Texas Christian over 94 Wyoming 42.0 to 3.5
107 Texas - El Paso over 136 Rice 35.0 to 24.5
139 Tennessee - Chattanooga over 177 The Citadel 31.5 to 21.0
78 James Madison over 192 Towson 35.0 to 7.0
71 Vanderbilt over 174 Eastern Michigan 49.0 to 14.0
17 Virginia Tech over 82 Central Michigan 38.5 to 10.5
2 Oregon over 142 Washington State 66.5 to 14.0
43 West Virginia over 90 Nevada - Las Vegas 31.5 to 10.5
74 William & Mary over 161 Rhode Island 42.0 to 10.5
30 Wisconsin over 95 Minnesota 42.0 to 17.5
70-80% chance of victory:
200 Central Connecticut over 221 Duquesne 35.0 to 21.0
165 Columbia over 188 Lafayette 24.5 to 17.5
181 Eastern Kentucky over 196 Eastern Illinois 28.0 to 17.5
47 Georgia over 46 Tennessee 28.0 to 24.5
19 Utah over 49 Iowa State 31.5 to 24.5
201 Jackson State over 219 Alabama A&M 28.0 to 17.5
173 New Mexico State over 176 New Mexico 31.5 to 24.5
28 North Carolina over 45 Clemson 31.5 to 24.5
101 Ohio over 110 Bowling Green 28.0 to 21.0
154 Southeast Missouri State over 191 Tennessee State 28.0 to 14.0
69 Southern Mississippi over 72 East Carolina 38.5 to 31.5
53 South Florida over 81 Syracuse 28.0 to 14.0
60-70% chance of victory:
84 Troy State over 106 Middle Tennessee State 31.5 to 31.5
14 Nebraska over 37 Kansas State 28.0 to 24.5
202 Alcorn State over 199 Texas Southern 31.5 to 28.0
147 South Dakota over 163 California - Davis 31.5 to 28.0
235 Davidson over 239 Butler 21.0 to 10.5
114 Eastern Washington over 120 Northern Arizona 35.0 to 28.0
48 Houston over 39 Mississippi State 35.0 to 31.5
35 Baylor over 52 Texas Tech 35.0 to 31.5
126 New Hampshire over 111 Richmond 24.5 to 24.5
234 North Carolina A&T over 231 Morgan State 28.0 to 24.5
215 North Carolina Central over 211 Hampton 28.0 to 28.0
125 Florida Atlantic over 143 Northeast Louisiana 24.5 to 21.0
50 Temple over 75 Northern Illinois 31.5 to 28.0
127 Arkansas State over 148 North Texas 28.0 to 28.0
41 Notre Dame over 40 Pittsburgh 24.5 to 21.0
21 Arkansas over 25 Texas A&M 31.5 to 31.5
134 California Poly over 170 Old Dominion 28.0 to 21.0
167 Colgate over 217 Princeton 35.0 to 24.5
195 Dayton over 216 San Diego 28.0 to 24.5
123 South Dakota State over 121 Western Illinois 24.5 to 21.0
105 Southern Illinois over 97 Northern Iowa 21.0 to 17.5
68 Southern Methodist over 64 Tulsa 35.0 to 31.5
89 Army over 119 Tulane 24.5 to 21.0
240 Marist over 243 Valparaiso 24.5 to 24.5
58 Navy over 83 Wake Forest 21.0 to 17.5
159 Western Carolina over 158 Samford 17.5 to 14.0
137 Youngstown State over 129 North Dakota State 28.0 to 24.5
50-60% chance of victory:
197 Prairie View over 213 Arkansas - Pine Bluff 28.0 to 28.0
193 Tennessee Tech over 209 Austin Peay 35.0 to 35.0
61 San Diego State over 76 Brigham Young 21.0 to 21.0
198 Dartmouth over 190 Yale 31.5 to 28.0
214 Georgetown over 203 Wagner 24.5 to 24.5
91 Utah State over 109 Louisiana Tech 28.0 to 28.0
162 North Dakota over 155 Southern Utah 24.5 to 24.5
44 Arizona State over 56 Washington 31.5 to 31.5
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