ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
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80-90% chance of victory:
45 Central Florida over 113 Marshall 28.0 to 14.0
61 Kansas State over 102 Kansas 28.0 to 21.0
32 West Virginia over 57 South Florida 28.0 to 10.5
3 Alabama over 60 Mississippi 49.0 to 14.0
89 Appalachian State over 192 The Citadel 45.5 to 14.0
14 Auburn over 21 Arkansas 35.0 to 28.0
155 Southeast Missouri State over 214 Austin Peay 35.0 to 21.0
140 Ball State over 196 Eastern Michigan 42.0 to 21.0
206 Drake over 238 Campbell 35.0 to 21.0
93 Central Michigan over 123 Miami - Ohio 31.5 to 21.0
44 Clemson over 65 Maryland 31.5 to 21.0
154 Colgate over 222 Cornell 31.5 to 14.0
78 Delaware over 158 Rhode Island 38.5 to 10.5
231 Delaware State over 237 North Carolina A&T 24.5 to 17.5
25 Miami - Florida over 99 Duke 42.0 to 21.0
218 Duquesne over 239 Sacred Heart 38.5 to 21.0
30 North Carolina State over 67 East Carolina 49.0 to 38.5
12 Florida over 24 Mississippi State 31.5 to 17.5
187 Florida A&M over 242 Savannah State 45.5 to 7.0
9 Florida State over 85 Boston College 42.0 to 7.0
79 Fresno State over 178 New Mexico State 45.5 to 10.5
215 Georgetown over 234 Bucknell 24.5 to 10.5
26 Georgia over 69 Vanderbilt 31.5 to 10.5
202 Georgia State over 228 North Carolina Central 38.5 to 24.5
41 Georgia Tech over 135 Middle Tennessee State 42.0 to 10.5
160 Grambling over 217 Alcorn State 42.0 to 21.0
144 Harvard over 174 Lehigh 28.0 to 14.0
22 Nevada - Reno over 54 Hawaii 45.5 to 35.0
146 Weber State over 221 Idaho State 42.0 to 21.0
117 North Dakota State over 181 Illinois State 31.5 to 17.5
82 Indiana over 109 Arkansas State 38.5 to 24.5
198 Jackson State over 233 Southern 38.5 to 17.5
130 Jacksonville State over 193 Tennessee State 38.5 to 14.0
86 James Madison over 110 New Hampshire 21.0 to 7.0
13 South Carolina over 50 Kentucky 35.0 to 21.0
11 Louisiana State over 167 McNeese State 56.0 to 0.0
55 Idaho over 92 Louisiana Tech 28.0 to 21.0
63 Villanova over 142 Maine 28.0 to 10.5
66 Southern Mississippi over 168 Memphis 38.5 to 14.0
230 Morehead State over 240 Davidson 31.5 to 17.5
7 Nebraska over 35 Texas 35.0 to 14.0
107 Eastern Washington over 201 Northern Colorado 35.0 to 14.0
64 Northern Illinois over 94 Buffalo 31.5 to 17.5
40 Notre Dame over 96 Western Michigan 38.5 to 14.0
87 Ohio over 173 Akron 38.5 to 10.5
6 Oklahoma over 71 Iowa State 49.0 to 14.0
106 Montana over 156 Portland State 38.5 to 28.0
153 Brown over 227 Princeton 35.0 to 14.0
83 Purdue over 95 Minnesota 31.5 to 21.0
62 Houston over 148 Rice 52.5 to 31.5
194 Wagner over 236 Saint Francis - Pennsylv 31.5 to 17.5
2 Boise State over 139 San Jose State 52.5 to 3.5
88 Stephen F. Austin over 175 Central Arkansas 42.0 to 10.5
58 Temple over 118 Bowling Green 42.0 to 21.0
184 Tennessee Tech over 212 Eastern Illinois 35.0 to 21.0
4 Texas Christian over 73 Brigham Young 38.5 to 3.5
169 Texas State - San Marcos over 225 Nicholls State 38.5 to 17.5
16 Oklahoma State over 46 Texas Tech 49.0 to 42.0
91 Toledo over 114 Kent State 28.0 to 17.5
76 Troy State over 145 Louisiana - Lafayette 45.5 to 21.0
75 Tulsa over 136 Tulane 38.5 to 17.5
183 Jacksonville over 244 Valparaiso 52.5 to 10.5
129 Liberty over 211 Virginia Military 35.0 to 14.0
19 Virginia Tech over 84 Wake Forest 45.5 to 17.5
20 Oregon State over 52 Washington 38.5 to 28.0
17 Arizona over 120 Washington State 45.5 to 14.0
111 Western Illinois over 141 Youngstown State 38.5 to 28.0
116 Wofford over 182 Western Carolina 35.0 to 14.0
8 Utah over 97 Wyoming 45.5 to 14.0
70-80% chance of victory:
195 Dayton over 235 Butler 28.0 to 14.0
100 Massachusetts over 124 Richmond 28.0 to 17.5
27 Michigan State over 33 Illinois 28.0 to 24.5
179 Monmouth over 213 Bryant 35.0 to 21.0
53 Navy over 72 Southern Methodist 24.5 to 17.5
115 Florida International over 147 North Texas 28.0 to 24.5
143 Pennsylvania over 159 Columbia 28.0 to 17.5
190 Coastal Carolina over 220 Presbyterian 38.5 to 31.5
132 South Carolina State over 164 Bethune - Cookman 38.5 to 21.0
108 Northern Iowa over 150 South Dakota 28.0 to 24.5
104 Southern Illinois over 122 South Dakota State 28.0 to 21.0
161 Eastern Kentucky over 204 Tennessee - Martin 24.5 to 17.5
31 North Carolina over 74 Virginia 24.5 to 17.5
10 Ohio State over 34 Wisconsin 35.0 to 24.5
60-70% chance of victory:
38 Cincinnati over 51 Louisville 24.5 to 24.5
219 Arkansas - Pine Bluff over 223 Alabama A&M 24.5 to 21.0
208 Charleston Southern over 209 Gardner - Webb 28.0 to 24.5
43 Baylor over 68 Colorado 24.5 to 21.0
112 Colorado State over 101 Nevada - Las Vegas 24.5 to 24.5
186 Holy Cross over 203 Dartmouth 28.0 to 24.5
205 Hampton over 207 Norfolk State 21.0 to 17.5
172 Stony Brook over 199 Lafayette 35.0 to 31.5
216 San Diego over 232 Marist 24.5 to 21.0
18 Iowa over 39 Michigan 35.0 to 28.0
165 Robert Morris over 170 Albany 24.5 to 21.0
81 Rutgers over 90 Army 24.5 to 17.5
133 Samford over 137 Furman 28.0 to 24.5
177 Sam Houston State over 163 Southeast Louisiana 28.0 to 24.5
37 Air Force over 59 San Diego State 35.0 to 31.5
15 California over 28 Southern California 31.5 to 28.0
42 Pittsburgh over 70 Syracuse 24.5 to 21.0
134 Tennessee - Chattanooga over 128 Georgia Southern 31.5 to 28.0
125 Northeast Louisiana over 151 Western Kentucky 28.0 to 28.0
185 Yale over 189 Fordham 28.0 to 21.0
50-60% chance of victory:
121 Alabama - Birmingham over 105 Texas - El Paso 31.5 to 31.5
152 Missouri State over 162 Indiana State 38.5 to 38.5
98 Montana State over 119 Northern Arizona 31.5 to 31.5
138 California Poly over 149 Southern Utah 28.0 to 28.0
29 Texas A&M over 23 Missouri 28.0 to 28.0
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