ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
--- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- ---------------------
80-90% chance of victory:
2 Oregon over 53 California - Los Angeles 45.5 to 14.0
36 Cincinnati over 63 South Florida 28.0 to 14.0
227 Alabama State over 242 Savannah State 31.5 to 10.5
58 Brigham Young over 97 Wyoming 24.5 to 7.0
150 Brown over 226 Cornell 35.0 to 7.0
46 Central Florida over 130 Rice 42.0 to 10.5
162 Columbia over 192 Dartmouth 31.5 to 21.0
55 East Carolina over 114 Marshall 45.5 to 21.0
77 Idaho over 168 New Mexico State 42.0 to 14.0
49 Illinois over 88 Indiana 35.0 to 21.0
155 Jacksonville over 233 Marist 45.5 to 14.0
128 Jacksonville State over 215 Austin Peay 45.5 to 17.5
43 Texas A&M over 116 Kansas 35.0 to 17.5
160 Lehigh over 225 Bucknell 31.5 to 3.5
23 Mississippi State over 101 Alabama - Birmingham 38.5 to 7.0
172 Grambling over 243 Mississippi Valley State 42.0 to 7.0
188 Monmouth over 236 Saint Francis - Pennsylv 35.0 to 10.5
131 Montana State over 199 Northern Colorado 38.5 to 17.5
61 San Diego State over 177 New Mexico 45.5 to 14.0
157 Bethune - Cookman over 228 North Carolina Central 35.0 to 17.5
107 Northern Iowa over 161 Illinois State 35.0 to 17.5
95 Stephen F. Austin over 156 Sam Houston State 38.5 to 21.0
194 Prairie View over 232 Southern 38.5 to 21.0
15 Ohio State over 79 Purdue 35.0 to 7.0
26 Pittsburgh over 74 Rutgers 31.5 to 14.0
138 Harvard over 214 Princeton 35.0 to 14.0
102 Richmond over 184 Towson 35.0 to 10.5
216 San Diego over 244 Valparaiso 45.5 to 3.5
76 Fresno State over 140 San Jose State 35.0 to 17.5
146 South Carolina State over 200 Hampton 24.5 to 7.0
6 Stanford over 122 Washington State 59.5 to 14.0
4 Alabama over 57 Tennessee 35.0 to 14.0
17 Texas over 75 Iowa State 38.5 to 10.5
5 Texas Christian over 37 Air Force 38.5 to 17.5
94 Toledo over 141 Ball State 35.0 to 17.5
11 Utah over 96 Colorado State 49.0 to 14.0
21 South Carolina over 82 Vanderbilt 28.0 to 10.5
56 Villanova over 99 James Madison 31.5 to 10.5
81 Virginia over 178 Eastern Michigan 49.0 to 17.5
12 Virginia Tech over 91 Duke 49.0 to 14.0
85 Appalachian State over 193 Western Carolina 45.5 to 17.5
70-80% chance of victory:
104 Western Michigan over 163 Akron 35.0 to 21.0
28 Arkansas over 47 Mississippi 38.5 to 24.5
111 Arkansas State over 125 Florida Atlantic 31.5 to 24.5
147 California Poly over 170 North Dakota 28.0 to 17.5
139 Colgate over 181 Holy Cross 31.5 to 17.5
197 Dayton over 240 Campbell 38.5 to 14.0
121 Eastern Washington over 143 Sacramento State 42.0 to 31.5
196 Gardner - Webb over 231 Presbyterian 35.0 to 17.5
135 Louisiana - Lafayette over 158 Western Kentucky 38.5 to 28.0
50 Penn State over 89 Minnesota 24.5 to 17.5
234 North Carolina A&T over 241 Howard 31.5 to 17.5
60 Northern Illinois over 90 Central Michigan 35.0 to 21.0
29 Michigan State over 68 Northwestern 31.5 to 21.0
180 Old Dominion over 206 Georgia State 42.0 to 31.5
219 Georgetown over 239 Sacred Heart 28.0 to 21.0
106 South Dakota State over 145 Youngstown State 35.0 to 21.0
190 Texas State - San Marcos over 213 Northwestern State 42.0 to 28.0
59 Hawaii over 98 Utah State 35.0 to 28.0
198 Wagner over 218 Duquesne 35.0 to 24.5
32 West Virginia over 83 Syracuse 31.5 to 10.5
126 Pennsylvania over 176 Yale 21.0 to 10.5
60-70% chance of victory:
221 Alcorn State over 222 Arkansas - Pine Bluff 35.0 to 28.0
191 Albany over 195 Central Connecticut 28.0 to 21.0
24 Arizona over 51 Washington 31.5 to 17.5
7 Auburn over 14 Louisiana State 38.5 to 31.5
69 Boston College over 72 Maryland 24.5 to 21.0
108 Bowling Green over 115 Kent State 31.5 to 24.5
62 Temple over 103 Buffalo 31.5 to 21.0
235 Butler over 237 Morehead State 24.5 to 17.5
31 California over 39 Arizona State 31.5 to 24.5
211 Charleston Southern over 220 Virginia Military 31.5 to 24.5
35 Clemson over 34 Georgia Tech 31.5 to 28.0
179 Coastal Carolina over 173 Stony Brook 31.5 to 28.0
42 Texas Tech over 71 Colorado 28.0 to 24.5
212 Drake over 238 Davidson 28.0 to 14.0
187 Murray State over 209 Eastern Illinois 35.0 to 31.5
123 Elon over 120 Wofford 31.5 to 28.0
117 Furman over 133 Tennessee - Chattanooga 38.5 to 28.0
18 Iowa over 27 Wisconsin 31.5 to 24.5
22 Georgia over 44 Kentucky 35.0 to 28.0
25 Miami - Florida over 20 North Carolina 24.5 to 21.0
84 Ohio over 110 Miami - Ohio 24.5 to 21.0
118 Middle Tennessee State over 127 Northeast Louisiana 24.5 to 21.0
1 Oklahoma over 19 Missouri 31.5 to 24.5
132 Western Illinois over 169 Missouri State 38.5 to 31.5
109 Montana over 105 Northern Arizona 31.5 to 24.5
223 Morgan State over 229 Delaware State 28.0 to 24.5
175 Central Arkansas over 210 Nicholls State 28.0 to 21.0
92 New Hampshire over 113 Massachusetts 24.5 to 21.0
40 Notre Dame over 54 Navy 24.5 to 21.0
183 Florida A&M over 203 Norfolk State 21.0 to 17.5
137 North Dakota State over 171 Indiana State 35.0 to 21.0
10 Oklahoma State over 9 Nebraska 31.5 to 28.0
164 McNeese State over 205 Southeast Louisiana 35.0 to 24.5
165 Southeast Missouri State over 182 Eastern Kentucky 24.5 to 14.0
65 Southern Methodist over 70 Houston 38.5 to 31.5
148 Southern Utah over 151 South Dakota 28.0 to 24.5
112 Texas - El Paso over 136 Tulane 31.5 to 21.0
202 Texas Southern over 207 Jackson State 28.0 to 24.5
134 Georgia Southern over 189 The Citadel 28.0 to 17.5
149 Weber State over 167 Portland State 35.0 to 24.5
78 William & Mary over 86 Delaware 24.5 to 17.5
50-60% chance of victory:
48 Baylor over 41 Kansas State 31.5 to 31.5
186 Fordham over 174 Lafayette 28.0 to 28.0
66 Louisville over 52 Connecticut 28.0 to 28.0
142 Maine over 159 Rhode Island 24.5 to 24.5
185 Tennessee Tech over 201 Tennessee State 24.5 to 24.5
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