ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
--- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- ---------------------
80-90% chance of victory:
53 South Florida over 80 Rutgers 28.0 to 14.0
75 Ohio over 130 Buffalo 31.5 to 14.0
13 Virginia Tech over 46 Georgia Tech 38.5 to 21.0
217 Arkansas - Pine Bluff over 243 Mississippi Valley State 38.5 to 10.5
9 Auburn over 139 Tennessee - Chattanooga 63.0 to 14.0
148 Ball State over 186 Akron 35.0 to 21.0
4 Boise State over 38 Hawaii 49.0 to 21.0
72 Brigham Young over 123 Nevada - Las Vegas 31.5 to 10.5
154 Brown over 172 Yale 24.5 to 17.5
181 Fordham over 228 Bucknell 28.0 to 17.5
146 Jacksonville over 235 Butler 42.0 to 17.5
240 Campbell over 244 Valparaiso 42.0 to 17.5
81 Delaware over 191 Towson 42.0 to 7.0
19 Florida State over 32 North Carolina 31.5 to 21.0
126 Furman over 187 Western Carolina 38.5 to 17.5
23 Georgia over 214 Idaho State 59.5 to 0.0
134 Harvard over 174 Columbia 31.5 to 17.5
31 Nevada - Reno over 87 Idaho 45.5 to 31.5
12 Iowa over 93 Indiana 42.0 to 14.0
99 Northern Iowa over 161 Indiana State 35.0 to 21.0
49 Kentucky over 222 Charleston Southern 63.0 to 7.0
129 Liberty over 209 Gardner - Webb 38.5 to 14.0
105 Massachusetts over 143 Maine 28.0 to 17.5
57 Tennessee over 167 Memphis 42.0 to 14.0
24 Miami - Florida over 48 Maryland 35.0 to 21.0
35 Michigan State over 97 Minnesota 42.0 to 17.5
55 Mississippi over 160 Louisiana - Lafayette 52.5 to 17.5
96 Wyoming over 179 New Mexico 35.0 to 17.5
117 Stephen F. Austin over 215 Nicholls State 42.0 to 17.5
184 Florida A&M over 238 North Carolina A&T 35.0 to 17.5
137 Northern Arizona over 196 Northern Colorado 31.5 to 17.5
169 Old Dominion over 242 Savannah State 49.0 to 7.0
1 Oregon over 69 Washington 56.0 to 17.5
37 Penn State over 74 Northwestern 28.0 to 14.0
121 Pennsylvania over 220 Princeton 38.5 to 10.5
26 Wisconsin over 94 Purdue 35.0 to 17.5
52 Villanova over 159 Rhode Island 42.0 to 10.5
113 Sacramento State over 182 Portland State 49.0 to 24.5
194 Bryant over 231 Saint Francis - Pennsylv 31.5 to 21.0
67 San Diego State over 106 Colorado State 38.5 to 21.0
155 South Carolina State over 241 Howard 42.0 to 0.0
21 Southern California over 41 Arizona State 35.0 to 21.0
115 Elon over 195 The Citadel 31.5 to 14.0
65 Tulsa over 131 Rice 49.0 to 24.5
110 Utah State over 165 New Mexico State 38.5 to 17.5
11 Florida over 85 Vanderbilt 35.0 to 10.5
28 California over 127 Washington State 42.0 to 14.0
70-80% chance of victory:
95 Arkansas State over 111 Middle Tennessee State 31.5 to 24.5
91 Alabama - Birmingham over 112 Marshall 35.0 to 24.5
39 Air Force over 89 Army 31.5 to 17.5
18 Oregon State over 60 California - Los Angeles 31.5 to 21.0
168 Colgate over 183 Lafayette 31.5 to 24.5
189 Dartmouth over 225 Cornell 28.0 to 17.5
107 Jacksonville State over 178 Eastern Kentucky 31.5 to 17.5
102 Florida International over 119 Northeast Louisiana 28.0 to 17.5
79 Appalachian State over 133 Georgia Southern 35.0 to 24.5
211 Georgia State over 234 Lamar 42.0 to 28.0
150 Bethune - Cookman over 210 Hampton 31.5 to 17.5
10 Nebraska over 62 Iowa State 35.0 to 17.5
71 Colorado over 122 Kansas 28.0 to 17.5
47 Temple over 90 Kent State 28.0 to 17.5
2 Alabama over 17 Louisiana State 24.5 to 17.5
229 Marist over 239 Davidson 24.5 to 14.0
212 Norfolk State over 223 Morgan State 21.0 to 14.0
162 North Dakota over 188 California - Davis 28.0 to 17.5
86 Troy State over 136 North Texas 31.5 to 21.0
15 Oklahoma State over 40 Baylor 45.5 to 28.0
164 Stony Brook over 218 Presbyterian 38.5 to 24.5
153 Robert Morris over 171 Central Connecticut 35.0 to 24.5
219 San Diego over 237 Morehead State 31.5 to 17.5
6 Stanford over 14 Arizona 38.5 to 24.5
5 Oklahoma over 30 Texas A&M 38.5 to 28.0
16 Missouri over 51 Texas Tech 35.0 to 24.5
78 Southern Mississippi over 125 Tulane 35.0 to 28.0
68 Boston College over 98 Wake Forest 31.5 to 21.0
60-70% chance of victory:
101 Central Michigan over 92 Western Michigan 24.5 to 24.5
50 Houston over 44 Central Florida 35.0 to 31.5
199 Jackson State over 216 Alabama State 24.5 to 21.0
203 Tennessee - Martin over 226 Austin Peay 28.0 to 21.0
36 Clemson over 29 North Carolina State 28.0 to 28.0
192 Dayton over 200 Drake 35.0 to 28.0
230 Delaware State over 232 North Carolina Central 28.0 to 24.5
73 Virginia over 88 Duke 31.5 to 28.0
61 East Carolina over 54 Navy 31.5 to 31.5
145 Lehigh over 175 Holy Cross 24.5 to 17.5
144 Youngstown State over 173 Illinois State 38.5 to 35.0
43 Kansas State over 34 Texas 24.5 to 21.0
83 Louisiana Tech over 77 Fresno State 28.0 to 28.0
142 Montana State over 141 Weber State 35.0 to 31.5
180 Murray State over 177 Tennessee Tech 35.0 to 31.5
70 William & Mary over 84 New Hampshire 21.0 to 21.0
140 North Dakota State over 138 Southern Illinois 28.0 to 24.5
103 Richmond over 100 James Madison 14.0 to 10.5
201 Albany over 227 Sacred Heart 28.0 to 21.0
104 Wofford over 135 Samford 21.0 to 17.5
163 Sam Houston State over 166 McNeese State 28.0 to 21.0
20 South Carolina over 22 Arkansas 31.5 to 24.5
151 South Dakota over 152 California Poly 28.0 to 24.5
128 South Dakota State over 149 Missouri State 35.0 to 24.5
202 Southeast Louisiana over 193 Northwestern State 28.0 to 24.5
207 Texas Southern over 236 Southern 31.5 to 24.5
56 Syracuse over 59 Louisville 21.0 to 17.5
208 Tennessee State over 205 Eastern Illinois 21.0 to 17.5
76 Southern Methodist over 120 Texas - El Paso 31.5 to 21.0
185 Coastal Carolina over 198 Virginia Military 28.0 to 24.5
206 Wagner over 197 Monmouth 24.5 to 21.0
114 Florida Atlantic over 156 Western Kentucky 31.5 to 24.5
50-60% chance of victory:
224 Alcorn State over 233 Alabama A&M 28.0 to 28.0
45 Michigan over 33 Illinois 31.5 to 31.5
170 Texas State - San Marcos over 158 Central Arkansas 24.5 to 24.5
3 Texas Christian over 8 Utah 31.5 to 31.5
Back to: Bassett Football Model Home Page
Please email comments or questions to bfm@BassettFootball.net