ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
--- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- ---------------------
90-100% chance of victory:
45 Michigan State over 130 Central Michigan 38.5 to 10.5
22 Ohio State over 86 Colorado 35.0 to 10.5
80-90% chance of victory:
51 Air Force over 214 Tennessee State 49.0 to 3.5
3 Oregon over 29 Arizona 42.0 to 21.0
75 Arkansas State over 148 Central Arkansas 38.5 to 17.5
15 Auburn over 163 Florida Atlantic 56.0 to 7.0
135 Eastern Kentucky over 232 Austin Peay 38.5 to 7.0
23 Baylor over 106 Rice 49.0 to 21.0
142 Bethune - Cookman over 199 Hampton 42.0 to 21.0
2 Boise State over 52 Tulsa 49.0 to 14.0
184 Jacksonville over 237 Campbell 38.5 to 21.0
61 Florida International over 143 Louisiana - Lafayette 42.0 to 21.0
136 Furman over 213 Presbyterian 45.5 to 17.5
88 Georgia Southern over 178 Western Carolina 42.0 to 14.0
191 Grambling over 236 Alabama A&M 31.5 to 10.5
69 Hawaii over 165 California - Davis 38.5 to 14.0
62 Houston over 215 Georgia State 59.5 to 14.0
25 Illinois over 76 Western Michigan 35.0 to 14.0
40 Iowa over 110 Northeast Louisiana 38.5 to 10.5
150 Jacksonville State over 183 Eastern Illinois 35.0 to 21.0
19 Florida over 87 Kentucky 35.0 to 14.0
10 Virginia Tech over 116 Marshall 38.5 to 7.0
79 Southern Methodist over 194 Memphis 38.5 to 10.5
27 Mississippi State over 96 Louisiana Tech 42.0 to 17.5
113 Sam Houston State over 180 New Mexico 31.5 to 14.0
102 Northern Iowa over 157 Western Illinois 31.5 to 14.0
44 Penn State over 193 Eastern Michigan 45.5 to 0.0
219 Prairie View over 244 Mississippi Valley State 38.5 to 10.5
138 Rhode Island over 189 Fordham 31.5 to 14.0
167 Dartmouth over 238 Sacred Heart 35.0 to 10.5
17 South Carolina over 71 Vanderbilt 38.5 to 14.0
164 South Carolina State over 222 Delaware State 35.0 to 10.5
34 South Florida over 125 Texas - El Paso 42.0 to 10.5
134 Stephen F. Austin over 200 Texas State - San Marcos 38.5 to 17.5
158 Tennessee Tech over 206 Southeast Missouri State 31.5 to 14.0
9 Texas Christian over 151 Portland State 63.0 to 14.0
154 Towson over 186 Colgate 35.0 to 21.0
73 Troy State over 131 Middle Tennessee State 42.0 to 24.5
57 Utah State over 152 Colorado State 38.5 to 14.0
4 Wisconsin over 128 South Dakota 56.0 to 3.5
95 Wofford over 155 Samford 31.5 to 17.5
11 Nebraska over 100 Wyoming 42.0 to 14.0
185 Yale over 227 Cornell 35.0 to 17.5
70-80% chance of victory:
132 Murray State over 173 Tennessee - Martin 35.0 to 24.5
42 Central Florida over 74 Brigham Young 24.5 to 14.0
7 Alabama over 18 Arkansas 35.0 to 21.0
91 Army over 137 Ball State 28.0 to 21.0
181 Bryant over 207 Wagner 28.0 to 21.0
66 Connecticut over 139 Buffalo 28.0 to 14.0
67 Delaware over 159 Old Dominion 42.0 to 17.5
80 East Carolina over 172 Alabama - Birmingham 49.0 to 21.0
26 Miami - Florida over 55 Kansas State 31.5 to 17.5
85 Miami - Ohio over 111 Bowling Green 31.5 to 21.0
20 Georgia over 89 Mississippi 42.0 to 21.0
223 San Diego over 239 Morehead State 31.5 to 24.5
196 Florida A&M over 234 Southern 35.0 to 17.5
229 Morgan State over 242 Howard 35.0 to 21.0
161 Coastal Carolina over 240 North Carolina A&T 45.5 to 14.0
230 North Carolina Central over 243 Savannah State 35.0 to 17.5
119 Northern Arizona over 190 Idaho State 42.0 to 17.5
117 Weber State over 217 Northern Colorado 45.5 to 21.0
58 Northern Illinois over 123 California Poly 45.5 to 24.5
5 Oklahoma over 12 Missouri 35.0 to 21.0
210 Princeton over 228 Bucknell 28.0 to 17.5
115 San Jose State over 156 New Mexico State 28.0 to 17.5
60-70% chance of victory:
195 Akron over 216 Virginia Military 28.0 to 21.0
83 Boston College over 107 Massachusetts 28.0 to 17.5
212 Drake over 226 Butler 24.5 to 17.5
169 Central Connecticut over 177 Monmouth 31.5 to 28.0
93 Duke over 129 Tulane 38.5 to 24.5
153 Elon over 170 The Citadel 24.5 to 17.5
188 Jackson State over 198 Alabama State 28.0 to 21.0
220 Georgetown over 231 Marist 21.0 to 17.5
36 Maryland over 56 Temple 35.0 to 21.0
160 McNeese State over 182 Southeast Louisiana 35.0 to 24.5
72 Oregon State over 81 California - Los Angeles 28.0 to 21.0
64 Ohio over 94 Rutgers 35.0 to 28.0
203 Duquesne over 235 Saint Francis - Pennsylv 38.5 to 24.5
127 Southern Illinois over 149 Missouri State 35.0 to 28.0
174 Stony Brook over 192 Lafayette 31.5 to 24.5
209 Texas Southern over 218 Alcorn State 31.5 to 24.5
63 Virginia over 70 Southern Mississippi 31.5 to 24.5
6 Louisiana State over 31 West Virginia 31.5 to 17.5
50-60% chance of victory:
46 North Carolina State over 60 Cincinnati 31.5 to 31.5
144 Brown over 168 Harvard 28.0 to 24.5
105 Appalachian State over 97 Tennessee - Chattanooga 35.0 to 31.5
24 Arizona State over 21 Southern California 31.5 to 28.0
211 Norfolk State over 225 Charleston Southern 35.0 to 31.5
14 Florida State over 28 Clemson 24.5 to 24.5
204 Columbia over 205 Albany 28.0 to 24.5
92 Montana State over 108 Eastern Washington 28.0 to 24.5
38 Georgia Tech over 37 North Carolina 35.0 to 31.5
78 Fresno State over 99 Idaho 31.5 to 28.0
162 South Dakota State over 175 Illinois State 31.5 to 28.0
140 Indiana State over 145 Youngstown State 38.5 to 35.0
121 Lehigh over 118 Liberty 38.5 to 35.0
35 San Diego State over 49 Michigan 35.0 to 35.0
98 Minnesota over 90 North Dakota State 24.5 to 24.5
122 Nevada - Las Vegas over 124 Southern Utah 31.5 to 28.0
187 Nicholls State over 179 Northwestern State 24.5 to 24.5
120 Indiana over 147 North Texas 31.5 to 28.0
146 Villanova over 201 Pennsylvania 24.5 to 14.0
32 Notre Dame over 50 Pittsburgh 28.0 to 24.5
101 New Hampshire over 112 Richmond 24.5 to 24.5
103 Montana over 133 Sacramento State 28.0 to 24.5
53 Toledo over 68 Syracuse 28.0 to 28.0
8 Oklahoma State over 13 Texas A&M 38.5 to 35.0
41 Texas Tech over 47 Nevada - Reno 38.5 to 31.5
30 California over 48 Washington 35.0 to 31.5
114 William & Mary over 104 James Madison 14.0 to 14.0
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