2011 Week 7 (13-15 Oct) Forecast for College Football Division IA & IAA

                                                                   ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team         rank projected losing team     TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
 --- ----------------------          --- ----------------------    ---------------------

90-100% chance of victory:

  44 Cincinnati                over   83 Louisville                 31.5 to 14.0

80-90% chance of victory:

  57 Hawaii                    over  108 San Jose State             38.5 to 24.5
 181 Alabama State             over  225 Prairie View               38.5 to 17.5
 179 Albany                    over  195 Robert Morris              31.5 to 21.0
 141 Jacksonville State        over  216 Austin Peay                42.0 to 21.0
 146 Brown                     over  233 Princeton                  38.5 to  7.0
 229 Butler                    over  246 Valparaiso                 52.5 to 14.0
 123 Central Michigan          over  173 Eastern Michigan           35.0 to 21.0
   1 Boise State               over  126 Colorado State             49.0 to  0.0
  51 South Florida             over   80 Connecticut                31.5 to 24.5
 207 Dayton                    over  244 Davidson                   35.0 to  7.0
  93 Delaware                  over  142 Massachusetts              31.5 to 17.5
 139 Eastern Kentucky          over  223 Southeast Missouri State   42.0 to 10.5
 105 Eastern Washington        over  212 Northern Colorado          45.5 to 14.0
 154 Florida Atlantic          over  183 Western Kentucky           28.0 to 21.0
 102 Lehigh                    over  209 Fordham                    38.5 to 14.0
  67 Georgia Southern          over  119 Furman                     38.5 to 21.0
 128 Harvard                   over  208 Bucknell                   35.0 to  7.0
  49 Iowa                      over   81 Northwestern               35.0 to 21.0
 172 Jacksonville              over  239 Morehead State             56.0 to 24.5
  98 James Madison             over  163 Villanova                  24.5 to 10.5
   6 Oklahoma                  over  103 Kansas                     59.5 to 17.5
  96 Maine                     over  168 Rhode Island               35.0 to 17.5
  11 Clemson                   over   56 Maryland                   31.5 to 21.0
   7 Alabama                   over   89 Mississippi                45.5 to 10.5
 161 Jackson State             over  243 Mississippi Valley State   49.0 to 10.5
  12 Missouri                  over   73 Iowa State                 38.5 to 17.5
 104 Montana                   over  162 Portland State             42.0 to 28.0
  87 Montana State             over  136 Northern Arizona           31.5 to 17.5
 144 Murray State              over  197 Eastern Illinois           45.5 to 24.5
  48 Nevada - Reno             over  190 New Mexico                 52.5 to 10.5
 213 North Carolina A&T        over  241 Delaware State             35.0 to 17.5
  92 North Dakota State        over  178 Missouri State             35.0 to 10.5
 165 Northwestern State        over  202 Southeast Louisiana        38.5 to 21.0
  74 Ohio                      over  129 Ball State                 38.5 to 21.0
   3 Oregon                    over   10 Arizona State              49.0 to 28.0
  43 Penn State                over   84 Purdue                     28.0 to  7.0
 219 Sacred Heart              over  242 Saint Francis - Pennsylv   42.0 to 21.0
 130 Samford                   over  158 Elon                       31.5 to 21.0
 111 Sam Houston State         over  210 Nicholls State             38.5 to 10.5
 214 Florida A&M               over  245 Savannah State             42.0 to 21.0
 159 South Carolina State      over  211 Georgia State              35.0 to 14.0
  79 Northern Iowa             over  169 South Dakota State         28.0 to 10.5
  42 Temple                    over  127 Buffalo                    35.0 to  7.0
   4 Louisiana State           over   29 Tennessee                  38.5 to 17.5
 107 Tennessee - Chattanooga   over  193 Western Carolina           45.5 to 21.0
 145 Tennessee Tech            over  188 Tennessee State            38.5 to 24.5
 176 Texas State - San Marcos  over  218 Lamar                      38.5 to 17.5
  94 Troy State                over  131 Northeast Louisiana        35.0 to 24.5
  53 Tulsa                     over  174 Alabama - Birmingham       45.5 to 10.5
   9 Georgia                   over   66 Vanderbilt                 31.5 to 14.0
  30 Washington                over   78 Colorado                   42.0 to 21.0
   2 Stanford                  over   60 Washington State           49.0 to 21.0
 116 Weber State               over  203 Idaho State                45.5 to 17.5
   5 Wisconsin                 over  113 Indiana                    59.5 to  7.0
 101 Wyoming                   over  147 Nevada - Las Vegas         35.0 to 21.0

70-80% chance of victory:

 222 Arkansas - Pine Bluff     over  234 Southern                   31.5 to 24.5
  39 Toledo                    over  117 Bowling Green              45.5 to 24.5
 184 Bryant                    over  189 Monmouth                   28.0 to 21.0
 186 Colgate                   over  206 Cornell                    35.0 to 21.0
 187 Pennsylvania              over  230 Columbia                   31.5 to 21.0
  27 Florida State             over   91 Duke                       38.5 to 21.0
 149 Holy Cross                over  198 Dartmouth                  28.0 to 10.5
 125 Indiana State             over  166 Western Illinois           38.5 to 28.0
 120 Liberty                   over  155 Coastal Carolina           35.0 to 24.5
  97 Louisiana - Lafayette     over  132 North Texas                35.0 to 28.0
  95 Marshall                  over  114 Rice                       28.0 to 21.0
 112 East Carolina             over  191 Memphis                    38.5 to 21.0
  15 South Carolina            over   47 Mississippi State          28.0 to 21.0
 182 Norfolk State             over  192 Hampton                    28.0 to 21.0
   8 Oklahoma State            over   35 Texas                      42.0 to 28.0
 100 Appalachian State         over  167 The Citadel                24.5 to 17.5
 226 Virginia Military         over  235 Charleston Southern        35.0 to 24.5
  20 Virginia Tech             over   72 Wake Forest                35.0 to 21.0

60-70% chance of victory:

 160 California - Davis        over  231 Texas - San Antonio        42.0 to 14.0
 152 Central Arkansas          over  164 McNeese State              31.5 to 28.0
 201 Duquesne                  over  200 Central Connecticut        28.0 to 24.5
 205 Georgetown                over  240 Howard                     31.5 to 21.0
  24 Illinois                  over   25 Ohio State                 24.5 to 21.0
 175 Yale                      over  194 Lafayette                  24.5 to 17.5
  13 Michigan                  over   32 Michigan State             24.5 to 21.0
  64 Oregon State              over   69 Brigham Young              24.5 to 21.0
 215 Presbyterian              over  220 Gardner - Webb             31.5 to 28.0
 133 Tennessee - Martin        over  196 South Alabama              35.0 to 21.0
 148 Southern Illinois         over  150 Youngstown State           31.5 to 28.0
  17 Texas A&M                 over   26 Baylor                     42.0 to 35.0
  28 Georgia Tech              over   68 Virginia                   38.5 to 31.5
  85 New Hampshire             over  143 William & Mary             35.0 to 28.0

50-60% chance of victory:

  45 San Diego State           over   54 Air Force                  31.5 to 31.5
  40 California                over   34 Southern California        28.0 to 28.0
 227 Alabama A&M               over  224 Texas Southern             24.5 to 21.0
  23 Auburn                    over   21 Florida                    31.5 to 28.0
 121 California Poly           over  118 Southern Utah              35.0 to 31.5
  59 Utah State                over   90 Fresno State               42.0 to 38.5
 109 South Dakota              over  153 Illinois State             28.0 to 21.0
 110 Miami - Ohio              over  138 Kent State                 17.5 to 14.0
 238 Marist                    over  236 Campbell                   28.0 to 24.5
 115 Idaho                     over  157 New Mexico State           24.5 to 21.0
  36 North Carolina            over   41 Miami - Florida            28.0 to 24.5
 232 North Carolina Central    over  237 Morgan State               28.0 to 24.5
  70 Northern Illinois         over   65 Western Michigan           35.0 to 31.5
 137 Old Dominion              over  134 Towson                     35.0 to 31.5
  31 Utah                      over   52 Pittsburgh                 24.5 to 21.0
  62 Rutgers                   over   61 Navy                       31.5 to 28.0
 204 San Diego                 over  199 Drake                      21.0 to 21.0
  55 Southern Methodist        over   58 Central Florida            21.0 to 17.5
  37 Texas Tech                over   38 Kansas State               35.0 to 31.5
 124 Texas - El Paso           over  151 Tulane                     35.0 to 31.5

NOTE: the above scores are rounded to the nearest 3.5 points. Exact predicted scores are not released until after game time

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