ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
--- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- ---------------------
90-100% chance of victory:
7 Alabama over 36 Tennessee 38.5 to 14.0
28 Florida State over 53 Maryland 31.5 to 21.0
48 Nevada - Reno over 84 Fresno State 38.5 to 24.5
80-90% chance of victory:
70 Arkansas State over 85 Florida International 31.5 to 24.5
55 Central Florida over 175 Alabama - Birmingham 31.5 to 7.0
47 Arizona over 65 California - Los Angeles 35.0 to 24.5
80 Ohio over 183 Akron 42.0 to 21.0
2 Boise State over 60 Air Force 56.0 to 17.5
34 Temple over 113 Bowling Green 35.0 to 17.5
66 Brigham Young over 202 Idaho State 45.5 to 3.5
151 Holy Cross over 215 Bucknell 28.0 to 10.5
59 Northern Illinois over 130 Buffalo 38.5 to 21.0
104 Liberty over 235 Charleston Southern 56.0 to 17.5
170 Coastal Carolina over 223 Gardner - Webb 35.0 to 10.5
4 Oregon over 82 Colorado 56.0 to 17.5
145 Brown over 211 Cornell 31.5 to 14.0
196 Dartmouth over 229 Columbia 31.5 to 14.0
201 Drake over 246 Valparaiso 49.0 to 3.5
198 Duquesne over 234 Wagner 31.5 to 14.0
147 Tennessee - Martin over 197 Eastern Illinois 38.5 to 24.5
132 Eastern Kentucky over 182 Tennessee State 35.0 to 21.0
75 Western Michigan over 156 Eastern Michigan 38.5 to 21.0
63 Georgia Southern over 214 Presbyterian 59.5 to 14.0
213 Grambling over 243 Mississippi Valley State 35.0 to 14.0
194 Hampton over 242 North Carolina Central 52.5 to 17.5
115 Harvard over 236 Princeton 49.0 to 7.0
62 Hawaii over 146 New Mexico State 42.0 to 17.5
31 Houston over 91 Marshall 45.5 to 21.0
51 Iowa over 117 Indiana 42.0 to 17.5
9 Texas A&M over 77 Iowa State 42.0 to 21.0
171 Jacksonville over 244 Davidson 45.5 to 3.5
30 Kansas State over 108 Kansas 45.5 to 24.5
192 Lafayette over 204 Fordham 24.5 to 17.5
1 Louisiana State over 25 Auburn 42.0 to 14.0
5 Wisconsin over 29 Michigan State 35.0 to 17.5
16 Nebraska over 136 Minnesota 49.0 to 17.5
15 Arkansas over 90 Mississippi 42.0 to 21.0
86 Montana State over 212 Northern Colorado 49.0 to 17.5
78 Northern Iowa over 161 Southern Illinois 31.5 to 7.0
39 Penn State over 81 Northwestern 28.0 to 17.5
6 Oklahoma over 42 Texas Tech 52.5 to 24.5
152 South Carolina State over 209 Florida A&M 35.0 to 14.0
87 North Dakota State over 163 South Dakota State 28.0 to 14.0
3 Stanford over 27 Washington 49.0 to 21.0
17 Texas Christian over 191 New Mexico 59.5 to 7.0
40 Toledo over 109 Miami - Ohio 35.0 to 10.5
174 Tulane over 193 Memphis 31.5 to 21.0
177 Stony Brook over 226 Virginia Military 31.5 to 14.0
18 Virginia Tech over 88 Boston College 31.5 to 3.5
140 Youngstown State over 241 Saint Francis - Pennsylv 66.5 to 21.0
70-80% chance of victory:
21 West Virginia over 68 Syracuse 38.5 to 24.5
199 San Diego over 232 Campbell 35.0 to 28.0
13 Clemson over 38 North Carolina 38.5 to 24.5
92 Tennessee - Chattanooga over 169 Elon 35.0 to 21.0
73 Wofford over 133 Furman 35.0 to 21.0
206 North Carolina A&T over 237 Howard 24.5 to 14.0
149 Central Arkansas over 218 Lamar 45.5 to 24.5
208 Dayton over 239 Morehead State 38.5 to 24.5
69 Navy over 111 East Carolina 45.5 to 31.5
116 California Poly over 167 North Dakota 31.5 to 24.5
19 Notre Dame over 24 Southern California 31.5 to 24.5
33 Illinois over 83 Purdue 31.5 to 17.5
107 Delaware over 154 Rhode Island 21.0 to 14.0
61 Tulsa over 122 Rice 38.5 to 28.0
102 Maine over 148 Richmond 31.5 to 24.5
173 Texas State - San Marcos over 210 Southeast Louisiana 38.5 to 28.0
99 Texas - El Paso over 131 Colorado State 31.5 to 21.0
64 Utah State over 89 Louisiana Tech 38.5 to 28.0
67 Vanderbilt over 100 Army 31.5 to 17.5
56 Virginia over 74 North Carolina State 31.5 to 24.5
159 The Citadel over 207 Western Carolina 35.0 to 24.5
98 Louisiana - Lafayette over 160 Western Kentucky 31.5 to 21.0
60-70% chance of victory:
97 Appalachian State over 127 Samford 38.5 to 28.0
119 Ball State over 135 Central Michigan 31.5 to 24.5
233 Butler over 238 Marist 28.0 to 21.0
180 Albany over 200 Central Connecticut 35.0 to 28.0
185 Colgate over 203 Georgetown 31.5 to 24.5
114 Kentucky over 134 Jacksonville State 31.5 to 24.5
110 Sam Houston State over 164 McNeese State 24.5 to 17.5
32 Miami - Florida over 43 Georgia Tech 35.0 to 28.0
186 Stephen F. Austin over 216 Nicholls State 31.5 to 24.5
57 Washington State over 71 Oregon State 35.0 to 31.5
105 Montana over 143 Northern Arizona 24.5 to 21.0
188 Monmouth over 219 Sacred Heart 31.5 to 21.0
144 South Dakota over 162 California - Davis 24.5 to 17.5
165 Western Illinois over 179 Missouri State 35.0 to 24.5
50-60% chance of victory:
58 Rutgers over 79 Louisville 17.5 to 14.0
26 Utah over 49 California 24.5 to 17.5
72 Wake Forest over 93 Duke 35.0 to 31.5
172 Florida Atlantic over 158 Middle Tennessee State 35.0 to 31.5
190 South Alabama over 205 Georgia State 28.0 to 24.5
112 Indiana State over 137 Illinois State 35.0 to 31.5
8 Oklahoma State over 11 Missouri 38.5 to 35.0
96 New Hampshire over 128 Massachusetts 42.0 to 35.0
178 Norfolk State over 168 Bethune - Cookman 24.5 to 24.5
103 Northeast Louisiana over 139 North Texas 24.5 to 21.0
187 Pennsylvania over 181 Yale 28.0 to 24.5
189 Bryant over 195 Robert Morris 21.0 to 21.0
126 Sacramento State over 118 Eastern Washington 24.5 to 24.5
217 Austin Peay over 231 Southeast Missouri State 35.0 to 35.0
50 Southern Mississippi over 45 Southern Methodist 31.5 to 31.5
52 South Florida over 46 Cincinnati 31.5 to 31.5
138 Old Dominion over 157 Villanova 31.5 to 28.0
121 Weber State over 124 Southern Utah 35.0 to 31.5
129 William & Mary over 125 Towson 21.0 to 17.5
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