2011 Week 9 (25-29 Oct) Forecast for College Football Division IA & IAA

                                                                   ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team         rank projected losing team     TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
 --- ----------------------          --- ----------------------    ---------------------

90-100% chance of victory:

  91 Montana State             over  207 Idaho State                45.5 to 10.5

80-90% chance of victory:

  90 Florida International     over  120 Troy State                 31.5 to 24.5
  54 Pittsburgh                over   82 Connecticut                28.0 to 17.5
  23 Houston                   over  116 Rice                       59.5 to 24.5
  28 Miami - Florida           over   68 Virginia                   35.0 to 17.5
  12 Texas Christian           over   61 Brigham Young              38.5 to 21.0
  10 Arizona State             over   88 Colorado                   45.5 to 14.0
  66 Arkansas State            over  132 North Texas                35.0 to 17.5
  29 Auburn                    over   85 Mississippi                38.5 to 17.5
  69 Central Florida           over  187 Memphis                    35.0 to  3.5
 106 Lehigh                    over  192 Colgate                    38.5 to 21.0
 182 Yale                      over  237 Columbia                   31.5 to 14.0
 218 Campbell                  over  244 Davidson                   35.0 to 17.5
 219 Morgan State              over  243 Delaware State             35.0 to 21.0
  17 Virginia Tech             over   93 Duke                       38.5 to 14.0
  92 East Carolina             over  176 Tulane                     45.5 to 21.0
  26 Florida State             over   64 North Carolina State       35.0 to 17.5
 213 Gardner - Webb            over  236 Charleston Southern        31.5 to 21.0
 110 Harvard                   over  193 Dartmouth                  38.5 to 14.0
 155 Holy Cross                over  196 Georgetown                 31.5 to 17.5
 166 South Carolina State      over  232 Howard                     31.5 to 14.0
 142 Jacksonville State        over  162 Tennessee Tech             35.0 to 28.0
  42 Mississippi State         over  100 Kentucky                   31.5 to 14.0
 186 Lafayette                 over  205 Bucknell                   24.5 to 14.0
 109 Liberty                   over  206 Presbyterian               52.5 to 21.0
  78 Louisiana Tech            over   97 San Jose State             31.5 to 21.0
  98 Marshall                  over  159 Alabama - Birmingham       31.5 to 14.0
  58 Maryland                  over   86 Boston College             28.0 to 17.5
  16 Michigan                  over   72 Purdue                     38.5 to 14.0
  52 Iowa                      over  129 Minnesota                  38.5 to 21.0
 107 Montana                   over  128 Weber State                35.0 to 28.0
  55 Air Force                 over  194 New Mexico                 56.0 to 21.0
  49 Nevada - Reno             over  139 New Mexico State           38.5 to 17.5
 172 Jackson State             over  225 Prairie View               38.5 to 21.0
 167 Bethune - Cookman         over  242 North Carolina Central     49.0 to 17.5
 163 North Dakota              over  210 Northern Colorado          31.5 to 21.0
  21 Notre Dame                over   73 Navy                       42.0 to 21.0
   6 Wisconsin                 over   27 Ohio State                 31.5 to 21.0
   3 Oregon                    over   74 Washington State           63.0 to 17.5
 135 Samford                   over  215 Western Carolina           45.5 to 17.5
  96 Sam Houston State         over  217 Lamar                      45.5 to 10.5
  43 San Diego State           over  102 Wyoming                    38.5 to 17.5
 195 Hampton                   over  245 Savannah State             49.0 to 17.5
   1 Stanford                  over   18 Southern California        42.0 to 24.5
  89 Tennessee - Chattanooga   over  125 Furman                     31.5 to 21.0
 153 Tennessee - Martin        over  224 Southeast Missouri State   45.5 to 17.5
  40 Texas                     over  119 Kansas                     49.0 to 21.0
  30 Texas Tech                over   79 Iowa State                 49.0 to 28.0
 156 The Citadel               over  235 Virginia Military          31.5 to  0.0
  36 Utah                      over   60 Oregon State               28.0 to 14.0
 209 Dayton                    over  246 Valparaiso                 49.0 to 10.5
  19 Arkansas                  over   57 Vanderbilt                 35.0 to 21.0
 101 Maine                     over  178 Villanova                  31.5 to 17.5
 170 Albany                    over  229 Wagner                     38.5 to 21.0
  87 Western Michigan          over  118 Ball State                 31.5 to 21.0
  75 Wofford                   over  175 Elon                       42.0 to 14.0

70-80% chance of victory:

 138 Central Michigan          over  184 Akron                      35.0 to 24.5
 108 Army                      over  211 Fordham                    42.0 to 10.5
 141 Brown                     over  183 Pennsylvania               31.5 to 17.5
  35 California                over   71 California - Los Angeles   31.5 to 21.0
 115 California Poly           over  146 South Dakota               31.5 to 24.5
 148 Central Arkansas          over  203 Southeast Louisiana        52.5 to 28.0
 117 Eastern Washington        over  158 Portland State             42.0 to 31.5
  67 Hawaii                    over  123 Idaho                      35.0 to 24.5
   8 Oklahoma                  over   24 Kansas State               35.0 to 24.5
 104 Miami - Ohio              over  134 Buffalo                    24.5 to 17.5
 190 Monmouth                  over  199 Duquesne                   28.0 to 21.0
 181 Alabama State             over  220 Alabama A&M                28.0 to 10.5
  20 Nebraska                  over   22 Michigan State             28.0 to 21.0
 105 New Hampshire             over  147 Rhode Island               42.0 to 28.0
  13 Georgia                   over   25 Florida                    28.0 to 24.5
 189 Norfolk State             over  214 North Carolina A&T         24.5 to 10.5
  45 North Carolina            over   63 Wake Forest                38.5 to 24.5
 113 Northeast Louisiana       over  145 Western Kentucky           28.0 to 17.5
   7 Oklahoma State            over   32 Baylor                     56.0 to 35.0
 198 Robert Morris             over  221 Sacred Heart               28.0 to 14.0
 133 Sacramento State          over  149 Northern Arizona           28.0 to 21.0
 208 Central Connecticut       over  240 Saint Francis - Pennsylv   45.5 to 31.5
 114 Southern Utah             over  161 California - Davis         35.0 to 21.0
   9 Texas A&M                 over   15 Missouri                   31.5 to 24.5
  46 Southern Mississippi      over   94 Texas - El Paso            38.5 to 21.0
 144 Youngstown State          over  174 Western Illinois           38.5 to 28.0

60-70% chance of victory:

  65 Georgia Southern          over   95 Appalachian State          35.0 to 31.5
 197 Eastern Illinois          over  216 Austin Peay                31.5 to 28.0
  11 Clemson                   over   48 Georgia Tech               42.0 to 31.5
  84 Northwestern              over  124 Indiana                    38.5 to 31.5
 103 Bowling Green             over  150 Kent State                 24.5 to 17.5
  53 Syracuse                  over   83 Louisville                 21.0 to 14.0
 202 Drake                     over  234 Marist                     21.0 to 14.0
 231 Texas Southern            over  241 Mississippi Valley State   35.0 to 24.5
 136 Colorado State            over  165 Nevada - Las Vegas         28.0 to 24.5
  76 North Dakota State        over   77 Northern Iowa              21.0 to 17.5
  44 Penn State                over   41 Illinois                   21.0 to 17.5
 204 Cornell                   over  233 Princeton                  35.0 to 28.0
  33 West Virginia             over   59 Rutgers                    31.5 to 24.5
 223 Southern                  over  227 Alcorn State               24.5 to 21.0
 164 Stony Brook               over  185 Coastal Carolina           35.0 to 28.0
  14 South Carolina            over   39 Tennessee                  28.0 to 24.5
 154 Northwestern State        over  180 Texas State - San Marcos   28.0 to 21.0

50-60% chance of victory:

 226 Arkansas - Pine Bluff     over  222 Grambling                  28.0 to 24.5
 121 Louisiana - Lafayette     over  137 Middle Tennessee State     38.5 to 38.5
 169 Missouri State            over  168 South Dakota State         31.5 to 28.0
 140 Murray State              over  131 Eastern Kentucky           31.5 to 28.0
  99 James Madison             over  126 Old Dominion               28.0 to 28.0
 127 Massachusetts             over  152 Richmond                   28.0 to 28.0
 130 Illinois State            over  157 Southern Illinois          21.0 to 17.5
 171 Stephen F. Austin         over  173 McNeese State              28.0 to 24.5
 200 Georgia State             over  228 Texas - San Antonio        31.5 to 24.5
 122 Towson                    over  111 Delaware                   24.5 to 21.0
  56 Tulsa                     over   50 Southern Methodist         28.0 to 28.0
  34 Washington                over   31 Arizona                    35.0 to 35.0

NOTE: the above scores are rounded to the nearest 3.5 points. Exact predicted scores are not released until after game time

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