ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
--- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- ---------------------
90-100% chance of victory:
25 Houston over 165 Alabama - Birmingham 63.0 to 24.5
16 Georgia over 130 New Mexico State 52.5 to 10.5
3 Boise State over 157 Nevada - Las Vegas 59.5 to 3.5
17 Ohio State over 131 Indiana 49.0 to 7.0
80-90% chance of victory:
92 Miami - Ohio over 177 Akron 35.0 to 10.5
181 South Alabama over 242 Mississippi Valley State 42.0 to 10.5
14 Southern California over 91 Colorado 42.0 to 17.5
142 Stony Brook over 237 Charleston Southern 45.5 to 14.0
104 Harvard over 229 Columbia 49.0 to 10.5
80 Georgia Southern over 158 The Citadel 35.0 to 10.5
52 Iowa State over 140 Kansas 45.5 to 21.0
154 Stephen F. Austin over 230 Lamar 45.5 to 21.0
129 Liberty over 233 Virginia Military 45.5 to 7.0
226 Marist over 246 Valparaiso 45.5 to 7.0
182 McNeese State over 231 Nicholls State 42.0 to 17.5
23 Michigan State over 111 Minnesota 35.0 to 7.0
41 Mississippi State over 166 Tennessee - Martin 42.0 to 7.0
13 Nebraska over 73 Northwestern 49.0 to 21.0
139 Northern Arizona over 208 Northern Colorado 42.0 to 17.5
6 Oklahoma over 18 Texas A&M 49.0 to 24.5
7 Oklahoma State over 44 Kansas State 52.5 to 24.5
2 Stanford over 59 Oregon State 49.0 to 17.5
167 Pennsylvania over 238 Princeton 42.0 to 10.5
54 San Diego State over 202 New Mexico 49.0 to 7.0
190 Norfolk State over 245 Savannah State 35.0 to 3.5
89 Sam Houston State over 204 Southeast Louisiana 49.0 to 17.5
63 Southern Methodist over 179 Tulane 42.0 to 10.5
38 Tennessee over 147 Middle Tennessee State 45.5 to 10.5
5 Oregon over 34 Washington 52.5 to 28.0
96 Wofford over 217 Western Carolina 52.5 to 17.5
8 Wisconsin over 70 Purdue 49.0 to 14.0
19 Texas Christian over 90 Wyoming 45.5 to 21.0
70-80% chance of victory:
37 Toledo over 67 Northern Illinois 45.5 to 31.5
51 Air Force over 95 Army 42.0 to 24.5
174 Bethune - Cookman over 216 Morgan State 28.0 to 7.0
9 Arizona State over 58 California - Los Angeles 38.5 to 21.0
213 Campbell over 240 Morehead State 45.5 to 31.5
33 Southern Mississippi over 93 East Carolina 38.5 to 24.5
27 Florida over 55 Vanderbilt 31.5 to 10.5
66 Arkansas State over 170 Florida Atlantic 35.0 to 14.0
180 Georgetown over 220 Fordham 31.5 to 14.0
206 Hampton over 236 Howard 31.5 to 14.0
124 Illinois State over 187 Western Illinois 35.0 to 14.0
172 Jackson State over 221 Grambling 35.0 to 14.0
108 Lehigh over 171 Holy Cross 35.0 to 14.0
116 Massachusetts over 176 Villanova 35.0 to 17.5
39 Miami - Florida over 88 Duke 35.0 to 14.0
82 Navy over 127 Troy State 42.0 to 24.5
84 Northern Iowa over 119 Youngstown State 35.0 to 21.0
122 Old Dominion over 164 Richmond 35.0 to 21.0
195 Monmouth over 239 Saint Francis - Pennsylv 35.0 to 17.5
26 Texas over 57 Texas Tech 38.5 to 21.0
188 Texas State - San Marcos over 227 Prairie View 38.5 to 17.5
11 Notre Dame over 77 Wake Forest 38.5 to 21.0
36 West Virginia over 62 Louisville 31.5 to 17.5
60-70% chance of victory:
15 Florida State over 76 Boston College 28.0 to 14.0
168 Albany over 185 Bryant 38.5 to 24.5
196 Alabama State over 228 Arkansas - Pine Bluff 28.0 to 21.0
10 Missouri over 47 Baylor 42.0 to 31.5
235 Butler over 244 Davidson 28.0 to 14.0
46 California over 71 Washington State 38.5 to 24.5
115 California Poly over 169 California - Davis 31.5 to 24.5
207 Dayton over 210 San Diego 31.5 to 21.0
194 Florida A&M over 219 North Carolina A&T 35.0 to 21.0
75 North Dakota State over 123 Indiana State 35.0 to 21.0
20 Michigan over 53 Iowa 31.5 to 24.5
102 Louisiana - Lafayette over 128 Northeast Louisiana 35.0 to 28.0
106 Maine over 132 Towson 35.0 to 24.5
110 New Hampshire over 117 James Madison 28.0 to 21.0
94 Montana State over 151 Weber State 38.5 to 28.0
50-60% chance of victory:
43 Temple over 78 Ohio 28.0 to 17.5
45 Tulsa over 65 Central Florida 28.0 to 21.0
125 Kent State over 136 Central Michigan 21.0 to 17.5
4 Alabama over 1 Louisiana State 28.0 to 24.5
214 Alabama A&M over 232 Alcorn State 24.5 to 21.0
30 Arizona over 28 Utah 24.5 to 21.0
21 Arkansas over 12 South Carolina 28.0 to 24.5
209 Robert Morris over 222 Central Connecticut 28.0 to 24.5
200 Coastal Carolina over 197 Presbyterian 35.0 to 31.5
79 Connecticut over 64 Syracuse 24.5 to 24.5
191 Dartmouth over 205 Cornell 24.5 to 21.0
243 Delaware State over 241 North Carolina Central 31.5 to 31.5
162 Jacksonville over 198 Drake 31.5 to 24.5
178 Tennessee State over 199 Eastern Illinois 31.5 to 28.0
112 Ball State over 146 Eastern Michigan 31.5 to 24.5
81 Fresno State over 72 Louisiana Tech 35.0 to 31.5
114 Furman over 99 Appalachian State 28.0 to 28.0
74 Hawaii over 68 Utah State 35.0 to 31.5
133 Eastern Kentucky over 156 Jacksonville State 24.5 to 24.5
85 Mississippi over 101 Kentucky 28.0 to 28.0
192 Lafayette over 193 Colgate 31.5 to 28.0
83 Maryland over 61 Virginia 28.0 to 28.0
40 North Carolina over 69 North Carolina State 31.5 to 24.5
153 Northwestern State over 145 Central Arkansas 28.0 to 24.5
32 Cincinnati over 50 Pittsburgh 35.0 to 31.5
135 Portland State over 143 Sacramento State 38.5 to 31.5
152 Rhode Island over 149 William & Mary 21.0 to 21.0
100 Texas - El Paso over 120 Rice 31.5 to 28.0
49 South Florida over 60 Rutgers 28.0 to 24.5
107 Tennessee - Chattanooga over 137 Samford 24.5 to 24.5
103 San Jose State over 118 Idaho 24.5 to 17.5
160 South Dakota State over 155 Southern Illinois 28.0 to 24.5
159 Tennessee Tech over 144 Murray State 35.0 to 35.0
224 Southern over 234 Texas Southern 24.5 to 21.0
212 Sacred Heart over 225 Wagner 24.5 to 21.0
98 Florida International over 121 Western Kentucky 24.5 to 24.5
150 Brown over 183 Yale 17.5 to 14.0
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