ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
--- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- ---------------------
90-100% chance of victory:
17 Houston over 171 Tulane 63.0 to 21.0
107 Appalachian State over 213 Western Carolina 52.5 to 17.5
166 Bethune - Cookman over 245 Savannah State 56.0 to 3.5
1 Louisiana State over 115 Western Kentucky 52.5 to 0.0
80-90% chance of victory:
6 Boise State over 21 Texas Christian 45.5 to 21.0
173 Bryant over 234 Saint Francis - Pennsylv 49.0 to 24.5
131 Central Arkansas over 193 Texas State - San Marcos 42.0 to 21.0
20 Clemson over 77 Wake Forest 49.0 to 24.5
114 Furman over 179 Elon 38.5 to 17.5
212 Hampton over 243 Delaware State 35.0 to 10.5
167 Jacksonville over 239 Butler 42.0 to 14.0
37 Baylor over 123 Kansas 49.0 to 28.0
8 Wisconsin over 103 Minnesota 52.5 to 17.5
140 Murray State over 222 Austin Peay 45.5 to 17.5
11 Notre Dame over 91 Maryland 38.5 to 14.0
130 Portland State over 207 Northern Colorado 45.5 to 24.5
149 Sacramento State over 209 Idaho State 38.5 to 17.5
157 Jacksonville State over 223 Southeast Missouri State 45.5 to 24.5
133 Stephen F. Austin over 206 Southeast Louisiana 52.5 to 24.5
7 Oklahoma State over 68 Texas Tech 59.5 to 35.0
216 Campbell over 246 Valparaiso 49.0 to 17.5
10 Arizona State over 78 Washington State 45.5 to 24.5
70-80% chance of victory:
49 Toledo over 80 Western Michigan 45.5 to 28.0
72 Ohio over 136 Central Michigan 38.5 to 28.0
60 Air Force over 90 Wyoming 38.5 to 21.0
188 Alabama State over 233 Southern 31.5 to 10.5
16 Arkansas over 41 Tennessee 35.0 to 17.5
61 Brigham Young over 110 Idaho 35.0 to 14.0
146 Brown over 194 Dartmouth 28.0 to 10.5
197 Coastal Carolina over 236 Charleston Southern 35.0 to 21.0
42 Arizona over 93 Colorado 38.5 to 21.0
57 San Diego State over 141 Colorado State 35.0 to 17.5
120 Delaware over 170 Richmond 31.5 to 14.0
98 Florida International over 172 Florida Atlantic 31.5 to 14.0
145 Stony Brook over 219 Gardner - Webb 31.5 to 14.0
12 Georgia over 33 Auburn 38.5 to 24.5
108 Harvard over 165 Pennsylvania 38.5 to 21.0
111 Lehigh over 177 Georgetown 38.5 to 14.0
5 Alabama over 36 Mississippi State 31.5 to 10.5
47 Nevada - Reno over 76 Hawaii 38.5 to 28.0
198 Florida A&M over 241 North Carolina Central 35.0 to 17.5
70 North Dakota State over 116 Youngstown State 35.0 to 17.5
62 Northwestern over 113 Rice 45.5 to 28.0
180 Yale over 237 Princeton 38.5 to 17.5
86 Sam Houston State over 175 Northwestern State 31.5 to 7.0
204 San Diego over 231 Marist 31.5 to 17.5
160 South Carolina State over 215 North Carolina A&T 35.0 to 10.5
13 Southern California over 34 Washington 42.0 to 24.5
162 Southern Illinois over 202 Eastern Illinois 35.0 to 17.5
32 Southern Mississippi over 74 Central Florida 31.5 to 14.0
43 Tulsa over 83 Marshall 35.0 to 17.5
66 Utah State over 112 San Jose State 38.5 to 24.5
53 Virginia over 97 Duke 35.0 to 17.5
60-70% chance of victory:
56 Northern Illinois over 105 Bowling Green 42.0 to 35.0
48 Temple over 85 Miami - Ohio 24.5 to 10.5
125 Kent State over 181 Akron 24.5 to 14.0
67 Arkansas State over 96 Louisiana - Lafayette 38.5 to 28.0
39 California over 64 Oregon State 28.0 to 17.5
29 Cincinnati over 45 West Virginia 42.0 to 35.0
205 Cornell over 226 Columbia 31.5 to 21.0
235 Morehead State over 244 Davidson 31.5 to 24.5
192 Drake over 208 Dayton 24.5 to 14.0
128 Eastern Kentucky over 158 Tennessee Tech 35.0 to 24.5
9 Florida State over 28 Miami - Florida 31.5 to 17.5
191 Bucknell over 221 Fordham 28.0 to 17.5
211 Grambling over 227 Texas Southern 28.0 to 17.5
134 James Madison over 155 Rhode Island 24.5 to 14.0
117 Maine over 151 Massachusetts 35.0 to 24.5
190 McNeese State over 200 Texas - San Antonio 31.5 to 21.0
55 Louisiana Tech over 94 Mississippi 31.5 to 24.5
232 Arkansas - Pine Bluff over 242 Mississippi Valley State 28.0 to 21.0
126 Indiana State over 176 Missouri State 38.5 to 28.0
185 Norfolk State over 220 Morgan State 24.5 to 14.0
59 Rutgers over 87 Army 24.5 to 17.5
143 Nevada - Las Vegas over 195 New Mexico 35.0 to 24.5
92 Fresno State over 139 New Mexico State 42.0 to 31.5
228 Nicholls State over 240 Lamar 38.5 to 28.0
121 Northeast Louisiana over 142 Middle Tennessee State 35.0 to 28.0
82 Northern Iowa over 106 Southern Utah 28.0 to 14.0
203 Presbyterian over 229 Virginia Military 35.0 to 21.0
22 Ohio State over 79 Purdue 28.0 to 17.5
210 Robert Morris over 224 Wagner 24.5 to 14.0
25 Utah over 50 California - Los Angeles 28.0 to 14.0
54 Vanderbilt over 89 Kentucky 28.0 to 17.5
50-60% chance of victory:
35 Georgia Tech over 23 Virginia Tech 24.5 to 24.5
51 South Florida over 71 Syracuse 28.0 to 24.5
183 Jackson State over 214 Alabama A&M 28.0 to 21.0
225 Prairie View over 238 Alcorn State 31.5 to 28.0
63 North Carolina State over 88 Boston College 21.0 to 17.5
159 California - Davis over 163 North Dakota 24.5 to 17.5
129 California Poly over 132 Eastern Washington 31.5 to 28.0
135 Buffalo over 147 Eastern Michigan 24.5 to 24.5
168 Holy Cross over 186 Lafayette 24.5 to 14.0
24 Michigan over 40 Illinois 24.5 to 21.0
44 Iowa over 30 Michigan State 21.0 to 21.0
38 Kansas State over 19 Texas A&M 35.0 to 35.0
58 Louisville over 52 Pittsburgh 21.0 to 17.5
174 Alabama - Birmingham over 187 Memphis 28.0 to 24.5
15 Missouri over 14 Texas 28.0 to 24.5
169 Albany over 199 Monmouth 28.0 to 24.5
31 Penn State over 26 Nebraska 21.0 to 17.5
184 Duquesne over 217 Sacred Heart 28.0 to 21.0
18 South Carolina over 27 Florida 28.0 to 21.0
69 Southern Methodist over 73 Navy 31.5 to 31.5
2 Stanford over 3 Oregon 38.5 to 38.5
178 Tennessee State over 164 Tennessee - Martin 35.0 to 31.5
101 Texas - El Paso over 99 East Carolina 35.0 to 31.5
152 The Citadel over 150 Samford 21.0 to 21.0
104 New Hampshire over 118 Towson 35.0 to 31.5
137 Troy State over 127 North Texas 28.0 to 24.5
154 Weber State over 148 Northern Arizona 28.0 to 28.0
156 South Dakota State over 189 Western Illinois 31.5 to 28.0
124 Old Dominion over 153 William & Mary 28.0 to 28.0
95 Wofford over 84 Georgia Southern 28.0 to 28.0
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