ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
--- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- ---------------------
90-100% chance of victory:
162 South Carolina State over 245 Savannah State 49.0 to 7.0
14 Texas Christian over 131 Colorado State 52.5 to 10.5
80-90% chance of victory:
49 Northern Illinois over 108 Ball State 49.0 to 24.5
35 Southern Mississippi over 168 Alabama - Birmingham 49.0 to 17.5
54 Toledo over 135 Central Michigan 52.5 to 31.5
2 Oklahoma State over 63 Iowa State 52.5 to 17.5
70 Air Force over 157 Nevada - Las Vegas 45.5 to 17.5
5 Alabama over 75 Georgia Southern 42.0 to 0.0
160 Albany over 216 Sacred Heart 38.5 to 14.0
44 Auburn over 144 Samford 42.0 to 10.5
4 Oklahoma over 38 Baylor 52.5 to 28.0
50 Brigham Young over 130 New Mexico State 45.5 to 17.5
27 Florida over 134 Furman 42.0 to 3.5
9 Georgia over 104 Kentucky 45.5 to 7.0
15 Houston over 71 Southern Methodist 49.0 to 24.5
125 Eastern Washington over 207 Idaho State 42.0 to 21.0
172 Jackson State over 240 Alcorn State 42.0 to 10.5
112 Lehigh over 187 Lafayette 38.5 to 14.0
22 Michigan State over 126 Indiana 45.5 to 10.5
3 Louisiana State over 106 Mississippi 45.5 to 3.5
12 Missouri over 81 Texas Tech 45.5 to 17.5
13 Notre Dame over 88 Boston College 35.0 to 7.0
1 Oregon over 11 Southern California 49.0 to 21.0
199 Presbyterian over 236 Charleston Southern 45.5 to 24.5
8 Boise State over 58 San Diego State 38.5 to 14.0
18 South Carolina over 154 The Citadel 42.0 to 0.0
138 Murray State over 218 Southeast Missouri State 49.0 to 24.5
6 Stanford over 32 California 38.5 to 17.5
147 Tennessee Tech over 222 Austin Peay 42.0 to 14.0
23 Texas A&M over 114 Kansas 52.5 to 21.0
84 Wyoming over 191 New Mexico 38.5 to 10.5
103 Youngstown State over 175 Missouri State 42.0 to 21.0
70-80% chance of victory:
95 Marshall over 192 Memphis 35.0 to 14.0
209 Southeast Louisiana over 237 Nicholls State 42.0 to 28.0
21 Virginia Tech over 45 North Carolina 31.5 to 14.0
20 Arizona State over 56 Arizona 42.0 to 24.5
177 Bryant over 217 Central Connecticut 42.0 to 24.5
140 Buffalo over 193 Akron 31.5 to 17.5
159 Brown over 229 Columbia 35.0 to 14.0
185 Dartmouth over 234 Princeton 35.0 to 14.0
40 Georgia Tech over 99 Duke 42.0 to 21.0
183 Duquesne over 220 Robert Morris 31.5 to 10.5
16 Florida State over 57 Virginia 35.0 to 14.0
166 Holy Cross over 223 Fordham 28.0 to 10.5
206 Hampton over 227 Morgan State 31.5 to 17.5
7 Wisconsin over 42 Illinois 38.5 to 17.5
190 McNeese State over 235 Lamar 35.0 to 21.0
64 Arkansas State over 152 Middle Tennessee State 38.5 to 21.0
210 North Carolina A&T over 241 North Carolina Central 35.0 to 14.0
59 Northwestern over 102 Minnesota 38.5 to 21.0
170 Pennsylvania over 200 Cornell 38.5 to 21.0
118 Rice over 181 Tulane 42.0 to 24.5
19 Texas over 33 Kansas State 35.0 to 21.0
29 Tulsa over 92 Texas - El Paso 38.5 to 21.0
86 Sam Houston State over 188 Texas State - San Marcos 35.0 to 14.0
142 Troy State over 179 Florida Atlantic 35.0 to 21.0
80 North Dakota State over 195 Western Illinois 31.5 to 7.0
100 Harvard over 186 Yale 38.5 to 24.5
60-70% chance of victory:
74 Ohio over 121 Bowling Green 35.0 to 28.0
60 California - Los Angeles over 79 Colorado 31.5 to 24.5
243 Davidson over 246 Valparaiso 31.5 to 17.5
224 Howard over 244 Delaware State 28.0 to 10.5
143 Eastern Kentucky over 165 Tennessee - Martin 35.0 to 24.5
111 Appalachian State over 163 Elon 38.5 to 28.0
203 Georgia State over 225 Campbell 35.0 to 17.5
78 Hawaii over 94 Fresno State 42.0 to 35.0
72 Utah State over 127 Idaho 35.0 to 21.0
122 Indiana State over 156 Southern Illinois 35.0 to 28.0
17 Michigan over 25 Nebraska 31.5 to 21.0
204 Monmouth over 211 Wagner 28.0 to 17.5
85 Montana State over 96 Montana 35.0 to 28.0
10 Arkansas over 34 Mississippi State 35.0 to 21.0
161 Bethune - Cookman over 197 Florida A&M 35.0 to 21.0
26 Clemson over 67 North Carolina State 31.5 to 24.5
115 Towson over 164 Rhode Island 38.5 to 28.0
62 Navy over 105 San Jose State 35.0 to 28.0
136 California Poly over 182 South Alabama 38.5 to 31.5
128 Stony Brook over 137 Liberty 42.0 to 35.0
51 Temple over 93 Army 28.0 to 14.0
73 Wake Forest over 89 Maryland 35.0 to 28.0
24 Utah over 61 Washington State 31.5 to 21.0
50-60% chance of victory:
87 Miami - Ohio over 76 Western Michigan 31.5 to 28.0
228 Arkansas - Pine Bluff over 226 Texas Southern 28.0 to 24.5
184 Bucknell over 194 Colgate 24.5 to 24.5
77 Connecticut over 66 Louisville 17.5 to 14.0
68 Central Florida over 97 East Carolina 28.0 to 21.0
82 Northern Iowa over 120 Illinois State 24.5 to 17.5
110 Kent State over 132 Eastern Michigan 21.0 to 14.0
129 James Madison over 149 Massachusetts 21.0 to 21.0
232 Butler over 238 Morehead State 31.5 to 31.5
46 Nevada - Reno over 52 Louisiana Tech 31.5 to 28.0
119 New Hampshire over 117 Maine 38.5 to 31.5
153 North Dakota over 145 South Dakota 21.0 to 17.5
90 Florida International over 101 Northeast Louisiana 24.5 to 24.5
109 Southern Utah over 148 Northern Arizona 28.0 to 24.5
116 North Texas over 107 Western Kentucky 24.5 to 24.5
139 Stephen F. Austin over 178 Northwestern State 31.5 to 24.5
28 Ohio State over 31 Penn State 17.5 to 10.5
41 Washington over 65 Oregon State 28.0 to 28.0
133 Portland State over 146 Weber State 38.5 to 31.5
215 Prairie View over 221 Alabama A&M 28.0 to 24.5
48 Iowa over 69 Purdue 28.0 to 28.0
169 Richmond over 155 William & Mary 21.0 to 21.0
36 Cincinnati over 55 Rutgers 28.0 to 24.5
150 Sacramento State over 167 California - Davis 24.5 to 17.5
176 Jacksonville over 205 San Diego 35.0 to 31.5
39 South Florida over 30 Miami - Florida 28.0 to 24.5
53 Tennessee over 43 Vanderbilt 21.0 to 17.5
98 Tennessee - Chattanooga over 113 Wofford 24.5 to 21.0
174 Tennessee State over 158 Jacksonville State 35.0 to 31.5
123 Delaware over 171 Villanova 24.5 to 17.5
231 Gardner - Webb over 239 Virginia Military 24.5 to 21.0
198 Coastal Carolina over 213 Western Carolina 35.0 to 31.5
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