ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
--- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- ---------------------
90-100% chance of victory:
3 Oregon over 65 California - Los Angeles 52.5 to 14.0
8 Boise State over 197 New Mexico 70.0 to 0.0
19 Texas Christian over 160 Nevada - Las Vegas 56.0 to 7.0
80-90% chance of victory:
60 Arkansas State over 140 Troy State 42.0 to 17.5
67 Georgia Southern over 126 Old Dominion 45.5 to 21.0
10 Houston over 48 Southern Mississippi 52.5 to 28.0
62 Utah State over 145 New Mexico State 45.5 to 24.5
70-80% chance of victory:
87 Montana over 124 Central Arkansas 38.5 to 21.0
61 Nevada - Reno over 125 Idaho 35.0 to 17.5
1 Louisiana State over 13 Georgia 35.0 to 17.5
4 Wisconsin over 15 Michigan State 35.0 to 21.0
82 Sam Houston State over 133 Stony Brook 38.5 to 24.5
54 San Diego State over 94 Fresno State 38.5 to 24.5
60-70% chance of victory:
110 Appalachian State over 115 Maine 31.5 to 24.5
35 Cincinnati over 71 Connecticut 31.5 to 17.5
81 Wyoming over 141 Colorado State 31.5 to 21.0
113 Northeast Louisiana over 176 Florida Atlantic 31.5 to 21.0
27 Kansas State over 39 Iowa State 31.5 to 21.0
99 Montana State over 119 New Hampshire 38.5 to 31.5
14 Virginia Tech over 38 Clemson 31.5 to 21.0
80 North Dakota State over 116 James Madison 24.5 to 10.5
77 Northern Iowa over 102 Wofford 31.5 to 17.5
123 North Texas over 157 Middle Tennessee State 35.0 to 24.5
5 Oklahoma State over 7 Oklahoma 45.5 to 35.0
49 Pittsburgh over 83 Syracuse 31.5 to 17.5
50-60% chance of victory:
55 South Florida over 31 West Virginia 31.5 to 31.5
64 Northern Illinois over 74 Ohio 38.5 to 35.0
20 Texas over 24 Baylor 31.5 to 31.5
52 Brigham Young over 91 Hawaii 31.5 to 24.5
117 Towson over 111 Lehigh 31.5 to 31.5
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