ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
--- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- ---------------------
80-90% chance of victory:
65 Central Florida over 197 Akron 35.0 to 14.0
39 Arizona State over 136 Northern Arizona 38.5 to 14.0
42 Brigham Young over 139 Washington State 42.0 to 14.0
106 Central Michigan over 199 Southeast Missouri State 38.5 to 17.5
97 Southern Illinois over 201 Eastern Illinois 35.0 to 17.5
138 Kent State over 193 Towson 31.5 to 17.5
27 Utah over 211 Northern Colorado 49.0 to 3.5
21 South Carolina over 102 Vanderbilt 28.0 to 14.0
135 Western Illinois over 234 Butler 35.0 to 10.5
11 Stanford over 181 San Jose State 49.0 to 3.5
50 Air Force over 238 Idaho State 52.5 to 3.5
30 Arizona over 119 Toledo 42.0 to 17.5
16 Arkansas over 124 Jacksonville State 49.0 to 14.0
152 Coastal Carolina over 242 North Carolina A&T 42.0 to 10.5
4 Florida over 137 Bowling Green 52.5 to 7.0
13 Florida State over 208 Murray State 56.0 to 7.0
107 Wofford over 212 Gardner - Webb 35.0 to 17.5
23 Georgia over 166 Buffalo 42.0 to 7.0
72 Houston over 198 Texas State - San Marcos 52.5 to 21.0
116 Indiana over 225 Indiana State 45.5 to 21.0
59 James Madison over 235 Saint Francis - Pennsylv 42.0 to 0.0
60 Kansas State over 171 Missouri State 49.0 to 17.5
91 Lehigh over 141 Monmouth 28.0 to 14.0
9 Louisiana State over 183 North Texas 52.5 to 3.5
1 Alabama over 63 Michigan 42.0 to 17.5
62 Mississippi over 162 Central Arkansas 38.5 to 14.0
43 Mississippi State over 195 Jackson State 42.0 to 7.0
17 Missouri over 222 Southeast Louisiana 52.5 to 3.5
92 Montana over 179 South Dakota 38.5 to 17.5
18 Nebraska over 69 Southern Mississippi 38.5 to 17.5
36 North Carolina over 100 Elon 31.5 to 14.0
22 Iowa over 71 Northern Illinois 28.0 to 17.5
5 Ohio State over 149 Miami - Ohio 45.5 to 0.0
14 Oklahoma State over 245 Savannah State 70.0 to 0.0
2 Oregon over 118 Arkansas State 56.0 to 10.5
32 Oregon State over 215 Nicholls State 49.0 to 3.5
26 Penn State over 105 Ohio 35.0 to 10.5
28 Pittsburgh over 132 Youngstown State 42.0 to 14.0
88 Purdue over 178 Eastern Kentucky 35.0 to 14.0
38 South Florida over 164 Tennessee - Chattanooga 42.0 to 10.5
12 Southern California over 74 Hawaii 42.0 to 17.5
19 Texas over 128 Wyoming 42.0 to 7.0
29 Texas Tech over 229 Northwestern State 56.0 to 7.0
6 Oklahoma over 131 Texas - El Paso 49.0 to 14.0
20 West Virginia over 117 Marshall 35.0 to 7.0
172 Western Kentucky over 240 Austin Peay 42.0 to 17.5
15 Wisconsin over 83 Northern Iowa 38.5 to 14.0
168 Bethune - Cookman over 217 Alabama State 28.0 to 14.0
10 Virginia Tech over 46 Georgia Tech 35.0 to 17.5
70-80% chance of victory:
148 Ball State over 213 Eastern Michigan 42.0 to 21.0
68 California - Los Angeles over 160 Rice 38.5 to 21.0
44 Texas A&M over 115 Louisiana Tech 38.5 to 21.0
31 Villanova over 95 Temple 31.5 to 17.5
158 Bryant over 214 Marist 31.5 to 14.0
80 Colorado over 140 Colorado State 31.5 to 21.0
84 Fresno State over 145 Weber State 38.5 to 21.0
96 Georgia Southern over 150 Jacksonville 38.5 to 21.0
163 Grambling over 226 Alcorn State 38.5 to 21.0
54 Illinois over 98 Western Michigan 35.0 to 21.0
188 New Mexico over 230 Southern 38.5 to 21.0
190 The Citadel over 233 Charleston Southern 35.0 to 21.0
77 Rutgers over 186 Tulane 35.0 to 21.0
60-70% chance of victory:
51 Connecticut over 73 Massachusetts 31.5 to 21.0
121 South Carolina State over 202 Georgia State 35.0 to 21.0
47 New Hampshire over 110 Holy Cross 31.5 to 21.0
123 Middle Tennessee State over 155 McNeese State 31.5 to 21.0
161 Sacramento State over 206 New Mexico State 31.5 to 24.5
90 Minnesota over 156 Nevada - Las Vegas 35.0 to 24.5
7 Boise State over 41 Michigan State 35.0 to 24.5
143 California Poly over 175 San Diego 31.5 to 21.0
8 Auburn over 24 Clemson 31.5 to 24.5
99 Duke over 133 Florida International 35.0 to 24.5
87 Kansas over 112 South Dakota State 28.0 to 21.0
176 Louisiana - Lafayette over 231 Lamar 42.0 to 24.5
49 Maryland over 53 William & Mary 28.0 to 21.0
187 Memphis over 205 Tennessee - Martin 31.5 to 21.0
104 North Dakota State over 122 Robert Morris 28.0 to 17.5
113 Furman over 170 Samford 28.0 to 21.0
185 Prairie View over 216 Texas Southern 24.5 to 21.0
70 Washington over 89 San Diego State 31.5 to 24.5
75 Baylor over 109 Southern Methodist 31.5 to 21.0
50-60% chance of victory:
111 Eastern Washington over 144 Idaho 31.5 to 28.0
220 South Alabama over 221 Texas - San Antonio 45.5 to 38.5
194 Hampton over 210 Tennessee Tech 24.5 to 21.0
159 Utah State over 169 Southern Utah 31.5 to 28.0
157 Florida Atlantic over 177 Wagner 28.0 to 21.0
34 Tennessee over 45 North Carolina State 28.0 to 28.0
82 Troy State over 130 Alabama - Birmingham 35.0 to 28.0
101 Colgate over 120 Albany 24.5 to 24.5
25 Miami - Florida over 40 Boston College 21.0 to 21.0
33 California over 37 Nevada - Reno 35.0 to 28.0
203 Georgetown over 237 Davidson 21.0 to 17.5
224 Delaware State over 223 Virginia Military 28.0 to 24.5
56 Appalachian State over 86 East Carolina 38.5 to 35.0
125 Dayton over 173 Illinois State 31.5 to 28.0
61 Tulsa over 85 Iowa State 35.0 to 28.0
196 Sacred Heart over 228 Morgan State 28.0 to 24.5
35 Notre Dame over 52 Navy 28.0 to 24.5
165 Old Dominion over 167 Duquesne 31.5 to 28.0
134 Stony Brook over 129 Central Connecticut 31.5 to 28.0
81 Syracuse over 78 Northwestern 24.5 to 21.0
184 Florida A&M over 218 Tennessee State 24.5 to 21.0
76 Virginia over 66 Richmond 21.0 to 21.0
79 Wake Forest over 94 Liberty 35.0 to 24.5
64 Louisville over 58 Kentucky 31.5 to 28.0
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