ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
--- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- ---------------------
90-100% chance of victory:
6 Florida State over 245 Savannah State 73.5 to 0.0
58 James Madison over 234 Alcorn State 45.5 to 0.0
50 Louisville over 192 Missouri State 42.0 to 10.5
95 Richmond over 232 Gardner - Webb 38.5 to 7.0
29 Tennessee over 225 Georgia State 49.0 to 3.5
80-90% chance of victory:
33 Utah over 114 Utah State 31.5 to 17.5
1 Alabama over 138 Western Kentucky 49.0 to 0.0
180 Alabama State over 244 Mississippi Valley State 38.5 to 7.0
4 Oklahoma State over 70 Arizona 45.5 to 24.5
14 Arizona State over 71 Illinois 35.0 to 14.0
64 Arkansas State over 219 Memphis 45.5 to 10.5
32 Boston College over 80 Maine 31.5 to 14.0
127 Bowling Green over 211 Idaho 35.0 to 10.5
63 Brigham Young over 194 Weber State 42.0 to 10.5
121 Buffalo over 216 Morgan State 38.5 to 14.0
41 California over 198 Southern Utah 42.0 to 7.0
34 Michigan State over 145 Central Michigan 35.0 to 17.5
30 Clemson over 141 Ball State 42.0 to 14.0
125 Colorado over 185 Sacramento State 35.0 to 17.5
73 Delaware over 242 Delaware State 45.5 to 0.0
167 Elon over 240 North Carolina Central 42.0 to 17.5
118 Furman over 182 Coastal Carolina 35.0 to 17.5
158 Georgetown over 214 Wagner 28.0 to 10.5
46 Georgia Tech over 208 Presbyterian 49.0 to 10.5
189 Prairie View over 243 Lamar 42.0 to 21.0
126 Liberty over 183 Norfolk State 31.5 to 17.5
7 Louisiana State over 87 Washington 42.0 to 10.5
67 Marshall over 223 Western Carolina 52.5 to 14.0
69 Mississippi over 153 Texas - El Paso 38.5 to 17.5
16 Arkansas over 149 Northeast Louisiana 45.5 to 14.0
76 Northern Illinois over 204 Tennessee - Martin 42.0 to 10.5
10 Notre Dame over 62 Purdue 35.0 to 14.0
8 Southern California over 59 Syracuse 38.5 to 21.0
72 Ohio over 150 New Mexico State 38.5 to 17.5
5 Ohio State over 45 Central Florida 35.0 to 14.0
18 Oklahoma over 209 Florida A&M 49.0 to 0.0
2 Oregon over 106 Fresno State 59.5 to 14.0
81 Rutgers over 236 Howard 42.0 to 3.5
27 South Carolina over 94 East Carolina 35.0 to 14.0
43 Temple over 105 Maryland 31.5 to 14.0
22 Texas over 132 New Mexico 45.5 to 14.0
9 Texas Christian over 207 Grambling 56.0 to 0.0
61 Texas Tech over 186 Texas State - San Marcos 42.0 to 17.5
48 Georgia Southern over 151 The Citadel 35.0 to 17.5
65 Tulsa over 202 Tulane 49.0 to 14.0
99 Villanova over 193 Fordham 35.0 to 14.0
25 Virginia Tech over 239 Austin Peay 56.0 to 0.0
17 North Carolina over 101 Wake Forest 35.0 to 14.0
92 Youngstown State over 246 Valparaiso 59.5 to 3.5
70-80% chance of victory:
37 Cincinnati over 77 Pittsburgh 31.5 to 17.5
79 Lehigh over 173 Central Connecticut 35.0 to 21.0
35 North Dakota State over 156 Colorado State 31.5 to 14.0
144 Duquesne over 174 Dayton 35.0 to 24.5
176 Eastern Kentucky over 229 Morehead State 38.5 to 21.0
82 Illinois State over 184 Eastern Michigan 38.5 to 21.0
120 Florida International over 205 Akron 42.0 to 21.0
88 Kentucky over 103 Kent State 28.0 to 17.5
134 Massachusetts over 175 Indiana 35.0 to 21.0
31 Michigan over 66 Air Force 38.5 to 24.5
199 Middle Tennessee State over 226 Florida Atlantic 28.0 to 17.5
23 Mississippi State over 42 Auburn 31.5 to 21.0
147 North Texas over 206 Texas Southern 42.0 to 21.0
44 Northwestern over 74 Vanderbilt 31.5 to 21.0
165 Jackson State over 217 Tennessee State 31.5 to 21.0
85 Albany over 190 Robert Morris 31.5 to 17.5
137 San Jose State over 177 California - Davis 24.5 to 14.0
90 Southern Methodist over 146 Stephen F. Austin 35.0 to 21.0
28 Stanford over 78 Duke 42.0 to 24.5
124 Troy State over 164 Louisiana - Lafayette 38.5 to 24.5
60-70% chance of victory:
221 Arkansas - Pine Bluff over 218 Alabama A&M 24.5 to 21.0
13 Nebraska over 49 California - Los Angeles 31.5 to 21.0
200 Jacksonville over 238 Charleston Southern 42.0 to 28.0
51 Connecticut over 56 North Carolina State 28.0 to 24.5
130 Montana State over 169 Drake 24.5 to 21.0
75 Old Dominion over 166 Hampton 42.0 to 28.0
52 Iowa over 54 Iowa State 24.5 to 17.5
119 Jacksonville State over 128 Tennessee - Chattanooga 31.5 to 24.5
111 Kansas over 154 Rice 38.5 to 28.0
11 Miami - Florida over 36 Kansas State 31.5 to 28.0
109 Miami - Ohio over 133 Southern Illinois 31.5 to 24.5
53 New Hampshire over 108 Minnesota 35.0 to 24.5
12 Missouri over 19 Georgia 35.0 to 28.0
152 Monmouth over 148 Rhode Island 28.0 to 21.0
143 Central Arkansas over 197 Murray State 38.5 to 35.0
39 Nevada - Reno over 38 South Florida 31.5 to 24.5
178 North Dakota over 188 Portland State 31.5 to 28.0
20 Wisconsin over 55 Oregon State 35.0 to 24.5
187 Bryant over 228 Saint Francis - Pennsylv 38.5 to 28.0
104 San Diego State over 122 Army 24.5 to 21.0
213 South Alabama over 235 Nicholls State 35.0 to 24.5
139 South Carolina State over 131 Bethune - Cookman 28.0 to 24.5
161 South Dakota State over 215 Southeast Louisiana 35.0 to 24.5
24 Texas A&M over 26 Florida 31.5 to 28.0
47 Virginia over 57 Penn State 24.5 to 17.5
140 Washington State over 163 Eastern Washington 31.5 to 21.0
117 Western Michigan over 155 Eastern Illinois 35.0 to 24.5
123 William & Mary over 116 Lafayette 21.0 to 17.5
50-60% chance of victory:
83 Montana over 112 Appalachian State 28.0 to 28.0
100 Houston over 89 Louisiana Tech 35.0 to 31.5
162 Bucknell over 181 Marist 17.5 to 17.5
171 Nevada - Las Vegas over 170 Northern Arizona 31.5 to 28.0
129 Colgate over 159 South Dakota 31.5 to 28.0
98 Wyoming over 97 Toledo 31.5 to 28.0
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