ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
--- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- ---------------------
90-100% chance of victory:
17 Boise State over 111 Miami - Ohio 42.0 to 10.5
29 Central Florida over 123 Florida International 38.5 to 14.0
14 Florida State over 86 Wake Forest 42.0 to 14.0
7 Georgia over 220 Florida Atlantic 56.0 to 0.0
53 Illinois over 242 Charleston Southern 52.5 to 3.5
13 Kansas State over 143 North Texas 49.0 to 10.5
2 Louisiana State over 206 Idaho 56.0 to 0.0
16 Nebraska over 97 Arkansas State 45.5 to 17.5
42 Nevada - Reno over 194 Northwestern State 42.0 to 7.0
62 North Carolina State over 234 South Alabama 45.5 to 3.5
55 Purdue over 182 Eastern Michigan 42.0 to 10.5
20 South Carolina over 193 Alabama - Birmingham 49.0 to 3.5
70 Vanderbilt over 219 Presbyterian 42.0 to 7.0
80-90% chance of victory:
229 Southern over 244 Mississippi Valley State 38.5 to 21.0
33 South Florida over 100 Rutgers 31.5 to 10.5
108 Appalachian State over 136 The Citadel 31.5 to 21.0
23 Arizona over 139 South Carolina State 38.5 to 7.0
45 Auburn over 120 Northeast Louisiana 35.0 to 14.0
18 Baylor over 119 Sam Houston State 52.5 to 21.0
35 California - Los Angeles over 93 Houston 45.5 to 28.0
31 Cincinnati over 232 Delaware State 52.5 to 0.0
26 Clemson over 125 Furman 49.0 to 21.0
138 Dartmouth over 227 Butler 35.0 to 10.5
85 Delaware over 167 Bucknell 31.5 to 10.5
103 Duke over 239 North Carolina Central 49.0 to 10.5
78 Fresno State over 126 Colorado 35.0 to 21.0
140 Samford over 222 Gardner - Webb 28.0 to 10.5
44 Harvard over 197 San Diego 45.5 to 10.5
91 Hawaii over 237 Lamar 45.5 to 7.0
101 Illinois State over 199 Eastern Illinois 42.0 to 17.5
65 Iowa over 92 Northern Iowa 24.5 to 14.0
69 Iowa State over 204 Western Illinois 35.0 to 7.0
11 Texas Christian over 128 Kansas 45.5 to 14.0
59 Kentucky over 131 Western Kentucky 35.0 to 17.5
67 Lehigh over 192 Princeton 38.5 to 10.5
79 Louisiana Tech over 150 Rice 45.5 to 24.5
36 Miami - Florida over 118 Bethune - Cookman 42.0 to 17.5
43 Michigan over 181 Massachusetts 45.5 to 10.5
10 Texas over 72 Mississippi 35.0 to 17.5
94 Montana over 129 Liberty 38.5 to 24.5
104 New Hampshire over 179 Central Connecticut 42.0 to 21.0
166 Norfolk State over 240 Howard 31.5 to 7.0
5 West Virginia over 52 James Madison 42.0 to 17.5
3 Ohio State over 38 California 38.5 to 17.5
12 Oklahoma State over 116 Louisiana - Lafayette 56.0 to 21.0
71 Old Dominion over 226 Campbell 56.0 to 14.0
4 Oregon over 163 Tennessee Tech 63.0 to 14.0
46 Penn State over 96 Navy 31.5 to 17.5
24 Virginia Tech over 81 Pittsburgh 28.0 to 17.5
168 Sacramento State over 228 Northern Colorado 35.0 to 17.5
76 San Diego State over 160 North Dakota 35.0 to 17.5
105 San Jose State over 152 Colorado State 31.5 to 17.5
162 Southern Illinois over 216 Southeast Missouri State 38.5 to 21.0
50 Southern Mississippi over 110 East Carolina 42.0 to 24.5
177 Tennessee State over 233 Austin Peay 38.5 to 14.0
22 Texas Tech over 161 New Mexico 56.0 to 17.5
60 Toledo over 146 Bowling Green 42.0 to 21.0
27 Mississippi State over 156 Troy State 42.0 to 17.5
74 Tulsa over 243 Nicholls State 52.5 to 3.5
141 Duquesne over 246 Valparaiso 49.0 to 7.0
121 Villanova over 174 Rhode Island 31.5 to 17.5
107 Richmond over 238 Virginia Military 38.5 to 7.0
113 Monmouth over 210 Wagner 24.5 to 14.0
66 Washington over 170 Portland State 45.5 to 21.0
34 Wisconsin over 83 Utah State 38.5 to 21.0
90 Wofford over 211 Western Carolina 45.5 to 17.5
70-80% chance of victory:
207 Tennessee - Martin over 223 Southeast Louisiana 35.0 to 21.0
224 Alabama A&M over 235 Prairie View 28.0 to 17.5
1 Alabama over 30 Arkansas 35.0 to 24.5
84 Northern Illinois over 153 Army 31.5 to 21.0
106 Maine over 186 Bryant 31.5 to 21.0
151 Coastal Carolina over 189 Eastern Kentucky 31.5 to 21.0
135 Colgate over 164 Sacred Heart 35.0 to 24.5
175 Columbia over 195 Marist 24.5 to 17.5
180 Dayton over 191 Robert Morris 28.0 to 21.0
114 Yale over 172 Georgetown 24.5 to 17.5
32 Georgia Tech over 51 Virginia 31.5 to 21.0
95 Brown over 142 Holy Cross 24.5 to 21.0
75 Minnesota over 87 Western Michigan 31.5 to 24.5
115 Montana State over 173 Stephen F. Austin 38.5 to 21.0
155 South Dakota State over 188 California - Davis 28.0 to 17.5
127 Texas - El Paso over 149 New Mexico State 31.5 to 24.5
48 Utah over 54 Brigham Young 24.5 to 21.0
60-70% chance of victory:
187 Akron over 203 Morgan State 35.0 to 31.5
230 Alcorn State over 231 Arkansas - Pine Bluff 24.5 to 21.0
200 Florida A&M over 198 Hampton 31.5 to 24.5
214 Georgia State over 225 Texas - San Antonio 38.5 to 31.5
169 Drake over 196 Indiana State 28.0 to 24.5
89 Pennsylvania over 124 Lafayette 24.5 to 21.0
39 Louisville over 40 North Carolina 24.5 to 21.0
202 Memphis over 205 Middle Tennessee State 31.5 to 28.0
165 Missouri State over 208 Murray State 42.0 to 28.0
37 Texas A&M over 61 Southern Methodist 31.5 to 24.5
64 Syracuse over 102 Stony Brook 38.5 to 28.0
209 Jackson State over 236 Texas Southern 35.0 to 28.0
112 William & Mary over 148 Towson 24.5 to 21.0
178 Weber State over 185 McNeese State 31.5 to 24.5
98 Wyoming over 117 California Poly 31.5 to 24.5
50-60% chance of victory:
147 Washington State over 171 Nevada - Las Vegas 28.0 to 28.0
154 Cornell over 184 Fordham 28.0 to 24.5
212 Grambling over 201 Alabama State 24.5 to 24.5
132 Indiana over 130 Ball State 35.0 to 31.5
57 Ohio over 80 Marshall 31.5 to 31.5
88 Maryland over 77 Connecticut 21.0 to 21.0
28 Michigan State over 21 Notre Dame 21.0 to 21.0
19 Missouri over 15 Arizona State 35.0 to 31.5
221 Morehead State over 215 Saint Francis - Pennsylv 35.0 to 35.0
56 Northwestern over 47 Boston College 24.5 to 24.5
9 Stanford over 6 Southern California 31.5 to 31.5
25 Florida over 41 Tennessee 24.5 to 24.5
73 Albany over 99 Youngstown State 31.5 to 28.0
Back to: Bassett Football Model Home Page
Please email comments or questions to bfm@BassettFootball.net