ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
--- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- ---------------------
90-100% chance of victory:
1 Alabama over 200 Florida Atlantic 56.0 to 0.0
61 Georgia Southern over 181 Elon 42.0 to 14.0
97 Richmond over 234 Georgia State 42.0 to 10.5
214 Marist over 239 Davidson 28.0 to 10.5
29 Michigan State over 172 Eastern Michigan 38.5 to 3.5
32 Mississippi State over 220 South Alabama 49.0 to 3.5
87 Montana over 178 Northern Arizona 35.0 to 14.0
20 Nebraska over 217 Idaho State 56.0 to 3.5
8 Ohio State over 180 Alabama - Birmingham 56.0 to 7.0
35 Penn State over 68 Temple 24.5 to 14.0
59 Pittsburgh over 221 Gardner - Webb 45.5 to 7.0
48 James Madison over 194 Rhode Island 35.0 to 10.5
80-90% chance of victory:
207 Alabama State over 216 Arkansas - Pine Bluff 24.5 to 14.0
14 Boise State over 54 Brigham Young 38.5 to 17.5
26 Baylor over 110 Northeast Louisiana 45.5 to 24.5
27 Arizona State over 44 Utah 31.5 to 21.0
103 Arkansas State over 238 Alcorn State 45.5 to 7.0
2 Louisiana State over 43 Auburn 38.5 to 21.0
201 Tennessee - Martin over 229 Austin Peay 28.0 to 17.5
36 California - Los Angeles over 72 Oregon State 28.0 to 14.0
117 California Poly over 196 California - Davis 35.0 to 14.0
179 Dayton over 205 Jacksonville 28.0 to 21.0
177 Drake over 231 Morehead State 38.5 to 17.5
95 Duke over 212 Memphis 45.5 to 21.0
15 Florida over 69 Kentucky 38.5 to 14.0
5 Florida State over 22 Clemson 35.0 to 21.0
10 Georgia over 46 Vanderbilt 38.5 to 17.5
49 Iowa over 162 Central Michigan 38.5 to 10.5
189 Jackson State over 242 Southern 42.0 to 14.0
123 Miami - Ohio over 168 Massachusetts 31.5 to 17.5
127 Monmouth over 204 Sacred Heart 35.0 to 17.5
115 Montana State over 224 Northern Colorado 45.5 to 14.0
107 Navy over 237 Virginia Military 45.5 to 10.5
58 Air Force over 198 Nevada - Las Vegas 42.0 to 17.5
37 North Carolina over 89 East Carolina 38.5 to 21.0
71 North Carolina State over 119 The Citadel 31.5 to 21.0
47 North Dakota State over 235 Prairie View 52.5 to 3.5
70 Northern Illinois over 138 Kansas 38.5 to 21.0
52 Northwestern over 152 South Dakota 38.5 to 17.5
183 Northwestern State over 244 Mississippi Valley State 35.0 to 7.0
57 Ohio over 169 Norfolk State 38.5 to 10.5
4 Oklahoma over 24 Kansas State 42.0 to 24.5
3 Oregon over 18 Arizona 45.5 to 28.0
140 Furman over 223 Presbyterian 42.0 to 24.5
188 San Diego over 246 Valparaiso 49.0 to 10.5
155 McNeese State over 225 Southeast Louisiana 35.0 to 21.0
13 Southern California over 31 California 38.5 to 24.5
60 Tennessee over 136 Akron 42.0 to 21.0
17 Texas A&M over 176 South Carolina State 45.5 to 3.5
19 Texas Christian over 73 Virginia 38.5 to 17.5
75 Toledo over 184 Coastal Carolina 45.5 to 21.0
86 Mississippi over 213 Tulane 42.0 to 21.0
40 Virginia Tech over 132 Bowling Green 35.0 to 10.5
120 Samford over 215 Western Carolina 38.5 to 21.0
94 Illinois State over 208 Western Illinois 38.5 to 21.0
6 West Virginia over 82 Maryland 49.0 to 17.5
34 Wisconsin over 122 Texas - El Paso 35.0 to 14.0
70-80% chance of victory:
108 Buffalo over 135 Kent State 35.0 to 24.5
38 Arkansas over 56 Rutgers 31.5 to 21.0
51 South Florida over 124 Ball State 35.0 to 24.5
148 Bethune - Cookman over 157 Tennessee State 31.5 to 21.0
149 Duquesne over 209 Bryant 31.5 to 24.5
114 Lafayette over 173 Bucknell 24.5 to 17.5
102 Utah State over 159 Colorado State 28.0 to 21.0
167 Florida A&M over 227 Delaware State 31.5 to 21.0
39 Louisville over 106 Florida International 31.5 to 21.0
25 Georgia Tech over 33 Miami - Florida 35.0 to 24.5
126 Wyoming over 186 Idaho 31.5 to 24.5
16 Notre Dame over 28 Michigan 31.5 to 24.5
105 Pennsylvania over 109 Villanova 24.5 to 21.0
92 Marshall over 150 Rice 38.5 to 31.5
50 San Diego State over 104 San Jose State 38.5 to 24.5
12 South Carolina over 21 Missouri 28.0 to 21.0
165 Tennessee Tech over 218 Southeast Missouri State 35.0 to 24.5
147 Towson over 203 Saint Francis - Pennsylv 42.0 to 28.0
100 Wake Forest over 143 Army 35.0 to 21.0
128 Washington State over 163 Colorado 35.0 to 24.5
81 Youngstown State over 101 Northern Iowa 31.5 to 24.5
60-70% chance of victory:
228 Butler over 233 Campbell 31.5 to 24.5
191 Central Connecticut over 199 Wagner 28.0 to 21.0
125 Yale over 158 Cornell 28.0 to 24.5
182 Eastern Illinois over 185 Murray State 38.5 to 35.0
154 Eastern Kentucky over 145 Jacksonville State 28.0 to 24.5
55 Nevada - Reno over 93 Hawaii 38.5 to 35.0
131 Holy Cross over 139 Dartmouth 24.5 to 21.0
66 Illinois over 80 Louisiana Tech 31.5 to 24.5
153 Indiana State over 161 South Dakota State 24.5 to 21.0
91 Lehigh over 144 Liberty 28.0 to 24.5
90 Maine over 88 Albany 28.0 to 24.5
77 Minnesota over 76 Syracuse 31.5 to 24.5
151 Southern Illinois over 197 Missouri State 28.0 to 24.5
164 New Mexico State over 192 New Mexico 38.5 to 31.5
134 North Texas over 142 Troy State 35.0 to 28.0
64 Old Dominion over 85 New Hampshire 42.0 to 31.5
137 North Dakota over 193 Sacramento State 35.0 to 28.0
236 North Carolina Central over 245 Savannah State 35.0 to 24.5
113 Stony Brook over 130 Colgate 31.5 to 24.5
210 Alabama A&M over 232 Texas Southern 31.5 to 24.5
171 Texas State - San Marcos over 195 Stephen F. Austin 35.0 to 24.5
146 Eastern Washington over 175 Weber State 28.0 to 24.5
78 Southern Mississippi over 111 Western Kentucky 28.0 to 28.0
84 Western Michigan over 74 Connecticut 24.5 to 24.5
112 William & Mary over 99 Delaware 17.5 to 14.0
50-60% chance of victory:
166 Georgetown over 187 Princeton 21.0 to 21.0
62 Harvard over 96 Brown 24.5 to 24.5
141 Central Arkansas over 118 Sam Houston State 31.5 to 31.5
190 Columbia over 170 Fordham 24.5 to 24.5
156 Southern Utah over 174 Portland State 35.0 to 35.0
116 Appalachian State over 133 Tennessee - Chattanooga 31.5 to 28.0
67 Tulsa over 63 Fresno State 38.5 to 35.0
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