ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
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90-100% chance of victory:
160 Bethune - Cookman over 231 North Carolina A&T 35.0 to 10.5
80-90% chance of victory:
54 Central Florida over 99 East Carolina 31.5 to 17.5
37 Brigham Young over 90 Utah State 31.5 to 14.0
187 Alabama State over 238 Texas Southern 42.0 to 14.0
85 Appalachian State over 158 Elon 42.0 to 21.0
58 Boston College over 164 Army 31.5 to 14.0
139 Central Arkansas over 235 Nicholls State 42.0 to 10.5
46 Cincinnati over 134 Miami - Ohio 38.5 to 17.5
195 Dayton over 241 Davidson 28.0 to 14.0
76 New Hampshire over 226 Georgia State 45.5 to 17.5
28 Harvard over 133 Cornell 45.5 to 14.0
147 Holy Cross over 184 Bucknell 21.0 to 14.0
73 Houston over 151 North Texas 42.0 to 21.0
100 Illinois State over 176 Southern Illinois 35.0 to 17.5
60 James Madison over 106 Towson 31.5 to 17.5
24 Kansas State over 123 Kansas 45.5 to 14.0
92 Lehigh over 210 Columbia 38.5 to 10.5
142 Liberty over 228 Gardner - Webb 42.0 to 17.5
115 Louisiana - Lafayette over 217 Tulane 45.5 to 17.5
55 Louisiana Tech over 173 Nevada - Las Vegas 49.0 to 21.0
197 Alabama A&M over 243 Mississippi Valley State 31.5 to 14.0
14 Missouri over 59 Vanderbilt 28.0 to 10.5
41 Nevada - Reno over 109 Wyoming 45.5 to 24.5
192 Norfolk State over 229 Delaware State 28.0 to 14.0
110 Montana over 224 Northern Colorado 38.5 to 17.5
186 Northwestern State over 242 Lamar 42.0 to 14.0
168 South Carolina State over 230 North Carolina Central 35.0 to 14.0
74 Ohio over 132 Buffalo 38.5 to 21.0
2 Oregon over 57 Washington 49.0 to 17.5
30 Oregon State over 130 Washington State 45.5 to 17.5
29 Penn State over 52 Northwestern 28.0 to 17.5
86 Brown over 204 Rhode Island 38.5 to 17.5
47 Rutgers over 65 Connecticut 21.0 to 14.0
131 Samford over 171 The Citadel 31.5 to 17.5
104 Stony Brook over 240 Charleston Southern 49.0 to 7.0
13 Texas Christian over 56 Iowa State 31.5 to 10.5
67 Toledo over 150 Central Michigan 45.5 to 24.5
220 Butler over 245 Valparaiso 38.5 to 17.5
81 Villanova over 112 Richmond 28.0 to 17.5
71 Georgia Southern over 216 Western Carolina 45.5 to 17.5
21 Wisconsin over 96 Illinois 38.5 to 14.0
77 Wofford over 128 Furman 38.5 to 24.5
70-80% chance of victory:
15 Southern California over 44 Utah 28.0 to 21.0
97 California Poly over 191 Weber State 38.5 to 24.5
79 Air Force over 108 Navy 35.0 to 24.5
159 Alabama - Birmingham over 215 Southeast Louisiana 42.0 to 28.0
221 Southern over 244 Alcorn State 31.5 to 17.5
34 Auburn over 62 Arkansas 35.0 to 24.5
166 Murray State over 239 Austin Peay 45.5 to 24.5
61 Albany over 212 Bryant 49.0 to 21.0
43 California over 50 California - Los Angeles 28.0 to 21.0
19 Clemson over 68 Georgia Tech 45.5 to 24.5
69 Fresno State over 165 Colorado State 38.5 to 24.5
89 Delaware over 120 Maine 28.0 to 17.5
118 Kent State over 178 Eastern Michigan 28.0 to 21.0
125 Eastern Washington over 156 North Dakota 35.0 to 24.5
4 Florida over 10 Louisiana State 28.0 to 21.0
167 Fordham over 188 Georgetown 28.0 to 21.0
33 Michigan State over 121 Indiana 35.0 to 17.5
162 Indiana State over 196 Missouri State 28.0 to 17.5
138 Lafayette over 174 Princeton 28.0 to 17.5
75 Maryland over 101 Wake Forest 31.5 to 24.5
5 Texas A&M over 72 Mississippi 42.0 to 24.5
180 Jacksonville over 227 Morehead State 35.0 to 24.5
18 Notre Dame over 36 Miami - Florida 28.0 to 21.0
25 North Carolina over 32 Virginia Tech 28.0 to 21.0
3 Florida State over 45 North Carolina State 38.5 to 21.0
222 Grambling over 232 Prairie View 31.5 to 24.5
105 Sam Houston State over 154 Stephen F. Austin 38.5 to 28.0
20 Ohio State over 22 Nebraska 31.5 to 24.5
116 Pennsylvania over 122 William & Mary 24.5 to 17.5
205 Portland State over 233 Idaho State 49.0 to 28.0
83 San Diego State over 144 Hawaii 45.5 to 28.0
234 Morgan State over 246 Savannah State 38.5 to 24.5
152 South Dakota over 198 Western Illinois 28.0 to 17.5
23 Boise State over 93 Southern Mississippi 35.0 to 21.0
149 Southern Utah over 183 Sacramento State 31.5 to 24.5
16 Stanford over 35 Arizona 35.0 to 24.5
102 Western Michigan over 146 Massachusetts 38.5 to 24.5
60-70% chance of victory:
103 Arkansas State over 145 Florida International 31.5 to 28.0
53 Pittsburgh over 82 Syracuse 28.0 to 24.5
124 Bowling Green over 189 Akron 38.5 to 28.0
70 Northern Illinois over 113 Ball State 42.0 to 35.0
117 Montana State over 163 California - Davis 28.0 to 21.0
207 Howard over 208 Florida A&M 28.0 to 24.5
200 Idaho over 201 New Mexico State 31.5 to 28.0
38 Mississippi State over 84 Kentucky 31.5 to 24.5
161 Rice over 203 Memphis 35.0 to 31.5
78 Northeast Louisiana over 111 Middle Tennessee State 35.0 to 31.5
157 New Mexico over 181 Texas State - San Marcos 31.5 to 24.5
39 North Dakota State over 63 Youngstown State 35.0 to 24.5
179 Robert Morris over 209 Saint Francis - Pennsylv 31.5 to 28.0
170 Jacksonville State over 214 Tennessee Tech 38.5 to 31.5
7 Texas over 12 West Virginia 38.5 to 31.5
80 Southern Methodist over 127 Texas - El Paso 28.0 to 21.0
225 Presbyterian over 237 Virginia Military 28.0 to 24.5
140 Dartmouth over 177 Yale 24.5 to 21.0
50-60% chance of victory:
206 Jackson State over 219 Arkansas - Pine Bluff 24.5 to 24.5
153 San Diego over 185 Drake 24.5 to 24.5
98 Duke over 87 Virginia 31.5 to 28.0
66 Tulsa over 95 Marshall 38.5 to 38.5
42 Purdue over 31 Michigan 31.5 to 31.5
194 Sacred Heart over 182 Wagner 24.5 to 21.0
9 South Carolina over 6 Georgia 35.0 to 31.5
49 South Florida over 64 Temple 24.5 to 24.5
172 Eastern Illinois over 193 Tennessee - Martin 31.5 to 31.5
135 Eastern Kentucky over 169 Tennessee State 24.5 to 24.5
8 Oklahoma over 26 Texas Tech 31.5 to 31.5
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