ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
--- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- ---------------------
90-100% chance of victory:
187 Alabama A&M over 238 Alcorn State 38.5 to 10.5
99 Arkansas State over 209 South Alabama 42.0 to 14.0
96 California Poly over 224 Northern Colorado 45.5 to 10.5
147 Eastern Kentucky over 241 Austin Peay 45.5 to 7.0
210 Florida A&M over 246 Savannah State 45.5 to 7.0
8 Florida State over 71 Boston College 35.0 to 10.5
28 Harvard over 185 Bucknell 42.0 to 3.5
95 Northeast Louisiana over 194 Florida Atlantic 38.5 to 14.0
80-90% chance of victory:
20 Arizona State over 144 Colorado 42.0 to 14.0
54 Tulsa over 136 Texas - El Paso 42.0 to 21.0
182 Alabama State over 208 Jackson State 31.5 to 21.0
76 Albany over 211 Saint Francis - Pennsylv 45.5 to 14.0
39 Arkansas over 94 Kentucky 38.5 to 21.0
17 Boise State over 61 Fresno State 42.0 to 21.0
114 Bowling Green over 139 Miami - Ohio 31.5 to 17.5
50 Central Florida over 106 Southern Mississippi 35.0 to 17.5
32 Cincinnati over 159 Fordham 45.5 to 14.0
130 Dartmouth over 206 Sacred Heart 31.5 to 14.0
167 Jacksonville over 243 Davidson 38.5 to 10.5
174 Dayton over 232 Morehead State 38.5 to 17.5
101 East Carolina over 197 Memphis 38.5 to 14.0
64 Toledo over 195 Eastern Michigan 45.5 to 24.5
84 Lehigh over 183 Georgetown 35.0 to 17.5
59 Georgia Southern over 82 Wofford 31.5 to 21.0
14 Ohio State over 120 Indiana 45.5 to 21.0
68 James Madison over 117 William & Mary 24.5 to 10.5
9 Oklahoma State over 133 Kansas 52.5 to 21.0
16 Michigan over 93 Illinois 38.5 to 14.0
33 Michigan State over 44 Iowa 24.5 to 14.0
1 Alabama over 25 Missouri 31.5 to 17.5
112 Montana over 164 Southern Utah 38.5 to 21.0
47 Nevada - Reno over 170 Nevada - Las Vegas 45.5 to 24.5
121 Sam Houston State over 234 Nicholls State 38.5 to 14.0
22 North Dakota State over 151 Indiana State 42.0 to 7.0
57 Northern Illinois over 129 Buffalo 42.0 to 21.0
78 Ohio over 191 Akron 45.5 to 17.5
126 Pennsylvania over 204 Columbia 35.0 to 14.0
142 Liberty over 230 Presbyterian 38.5 to 21.0
45 Rutgers over 75 Syracuse 24.5 to 14.0
196 San Diego over 235 Campbell 38.5 to 17.5
62 San Diego State over 161 Colorado State 42.0 to 17.5
229 Southern over 240 Texas Southern 35.0 to 17.5
171 The Citadel over 217 Western Carolina 35.0 to 21.0
79 Southern Methodist over 222 Tulane 35.0 to 10.5
154 Drake over 245 Valparaiso 49.0 to 10.5
5 Florida over 53 Vanderbilt 28.0 to 10.5
37 Virginia Tech over 72 Duke 38.5 to 24.5
29 California over 119 Washington State 35.0 to 21.0
70-80% chance of victory:
86 Navy over 149 Central Michigan 35.0 to 28.0
153 Duquesne over 202 Central Connecticut 28.0 to 24.5
105 Stony Brook over 192 Coastal Carolina 38.5 to 24.5
127 Colgate over 141 Holy Cross 31.5 to 21.0
73 Houston over 122 Alabama - Birmingham 42.0 to 28.0
166 California - Davis over 242 Idaho State 49.0 to 17.5
231 Grambling over 244 Mississippi Valley State 28.0 to 17.5
155 Murray State over 179 Tennessee - Martin 38.5 to 28.0
77 New Hampshire over 98 Richmond 35.0 to 28.0
12 Texas A&M over 58 Louisiana Tech 49.0 to 31.5
49 Pittsburgh over 48 Louisville 24.5 to 21.0
97 Brown over 148 Princeton 24.5 to 17.5
21 Wisconsin over 74 Purdue 35.0 to 24.5
193 Rhode Island over 226 Georgia State 35.0 to 21.0
138 South Dakota State over 180 Western Illinois 24.5 to 14.0
169 Tennessee State over 220 Southeast Missouri State 31.5 to 21.0
15 Southern California over 52 Washington 31.5 to 21.0
60-70% chance of victory:
124 Troy State over 118 Western Kentucky 28.0 to 24.5
110 Kent State over 131 Army 28.0 to 24.5
89 Western Michigan over 123 Ball State 35.0 to 31.5
27 Baylor over 26 Texas Christian 42.0 to 38.5
41 Brigham Young over 40 Oregon State 21.0 to 17.5
236 Virginia Military over 239 Charleston Southern 28.0 to 24.5
205 South Carolina State over 221 Delaware State 24.5 to 21.0
152 Jacksonville State over 190 Eastern Illinois 38.5 to 35.0
125 Furman over 128 Tennessee - Chattanooga 28.0 to 24.5
214 Hampton over 207 Norfolk State 24.5 to 21.0
143 Hawaii over 156 New Mexico 35.0 to 28.0
104 Youngstown State over 137 Illinois State 31.5 to 28.0
24 Kansas State over 42 Iowa State 31.5 to 28.0
6 Louisiana State over 3 South Carolina 24.5 to 21.0
218 Marist over 215 Butler 21.0 to 17.5
23 North Carolina over 51 Miami - Florida 31.5 to 28.0
66 Mississippi over 56 Auburn 24.5 to 24.5
36 Mississippi State over 43 Tennessee 31.5 to 24.5
216 Howard over 233 North Carolina A&T 21.0 to 17.5
7 Notre Dame over 13 Stanford 28.0 to 24.5
4 Oklahoma over 10 Texas 31.5 to 28.0
80 Old Dominion over 100 Villanova 38.5 to 31.5
172 Rice over 177 Texas - San Antonio 31.5 to 28.0
173 Sacramento State over 188 Weber State 35.0 to 28.0
201 Northwestern State over 228 Southeast Louisiana 35.0 to 28.0
85 Northern Iowa over 132 Southern Illinois 24.5 to 17.5
11 West Virginia over 38 Texas Tech 42.0 to 35.0
69 Maryland over 109 Virginia 24.5 to 24.5
50-60% chance of victory:
200 Bryant over 189 Robert Morris 24.5 to 24.5
46 Utah over 67 California - Los Angeles 28.0 to 24.5
70 Connecticut over 60 Temple 24.5 to 21.0
146 Cornell over 135 Monmouth 28.0 to 28.0
145 Florida International over 134 Middle Tennessee State 31.5 to 28.0
168 McNeese State over 150 Central Arkansas 28.0 to 24.5
81 Minnesota over 63 Northwestern 28.0 to 28.0
184 South Dakota over 203 Missouri State 28.0 to 28.0
91 Eastern Washington over 116 Montana State 35.0 to 31.5
213 North Carolina Central over 225 Morgan State 28.0 to 28.0
140 Northern Arizona over 175 North Dakota 28.0 to 24.5
83 Appalachian State over 108 Samford 28.0 to 28.0
102 San Jose State over 88 Utah State 21.0 to 21.0
198 Texas State - San Marcos over 186 Idaho 28.0 to 28.0
107 Towson over 87 Maine 24.5 to 24.5
103 Wyoming over 92 Air Force 28.0 to 28.0
181 Yale over 157 Lafayette 28.0 to 24.5
Back to: Bassett Football Model Home Page
Please email comments or questions to bfm@BassettFootball.net