ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
--- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- ---------------------
90-100% chance of victory:
13 Boise State over 152 Nevada - Las Vegas 49.0 to 7.0
181 Dayton over 245 Valparaiso 52.5 to 10.5
94 Delaware over 222 Rhode Island 38.5 to 7.0
68 Villanova over 209 Georgia State 35.0 to 10.5
83 Lehigh over 189 Bucknell 31.5 to 7.0
57 Central Florida over 208 Memphis 38.5 to 14.0
2 Oklahoma over 113 Kansas 52.5 to 3.5
15 Southern California over 143 Colorado 49.0 to 10.5
80-90% chance of victory:
77 Air Force over 147 New Mexico 38.5 to 21.0
41 Northern Illinois over 184 Akron 45.5 to 21.0
153 Bethune - Cookman over 218 Norfolk State 31.5 to 14.0
61 Pittsburgh over 157 Buffalo 35.0 to 17.5
144 Central Arkansas over 235 Lamar 45.5 to 14.0
168 Drake over 221 Marist 28.0 to 14.0
22 North Carolina over 91 Duke 38.5 to 21.0
93 Eastern Washington over 180 Sacramento State 35.0 to 17.5
72 Fresno State over 108 Wyoming 35.0 to 21.0
60 Georgia Southern over 148 Furman 31.5 to 17.5
117 Illinois State over 188 Missouri State 35.0 to 17.5
198 Jackson State over 242 Mississippi Valley State 38.5 to 14.0
18 Georgia over 123 Kentucky 42.0 to 17.5
47 Louisiana Tech over 199 Idaho 56.0 to 21.0
4 Florida State over 46 Miami - Florida 31.5 to 17.5
12 Michigan over 39 Michigan State 31.5 to 17.5
34 Mississippi State over 136 Middle Tennessee State 42.0 to 14.0
8 Notre Dame over 50 Brigham Young 31.5 to 10.5
51 North Dakota State over 185 South Dakota 38.5 to 10.5
17 Ohio State over 81 Purdue 45.5 to 21.0
14 Oklahoma State over 38 Iowa State 38.5 to 21.0
35 Harvard over 134 Princeton 35.0 to 17.5
107 Sam Houston State over 176 McNeese State 35.0 to 17.5
135 Southern Utah over 196 Weber State 35.0 to 21.0
171 Stephen F. Austin over 237 Nicholls State 45.5 to 21.0
104 Stony Brook over 226 Gardner - Webb 45.5 to 14.0
1 Alabama over 44 Tennessee 42.0 to 17.5
141 Texas - El Paso over 206 Tulane 35.0 to 17.5
52 Tulsa over 142 Rice 42.0 to 21.0
64 Utah State over 201 New Mexico State 45.5 to 14.0
9 Wisconsin over 86 Minnesota 42.0 to 10.5
70-80% chance of victory:
116 Louisiana - Lafayette over 166 North Texas 35.0 to 28.0
3 Oregon over 21 Arizona State 42.0 to 31.5
87 East Carolina over 146 Alabama - Birmingham 31.5 to 24.5
76 Appalachian State over 88 Wofford 31.5 to 24.5
36 Arizona over 59 Washington 35.0 to 24.5
124 Brown over 140 Cornell 28.0 to 21.0
214 Butler over 229 Morehead State 35.0 to 24.5
98 California Poly over 163 Portland State 45.5 to 28.0
19 Clemson over 26 Virginia Tech 35.0 to 28.0
129 Colgate over 178 Georgetown 38.5 to 24.5
160 Elon over 216 Western Carolina 42.0 to 28.0
7 Florida over 6 South Carolina 24.5 to 17.5
202 Florida A&M over 207 South Carolina State 24.5 to 21.0
65 Georgia Tech over 74 Boston College 35.0 to 24.5
151 Jacksonville State over 161 Tennessee State 31.5 to 24.5
145 Lafayette over 154 Holy Cross 28.0 to 21.0
43 Louisville over 48 South Florida 31.5 to 24.5
99 Bowling Green over 159 Massachusetts 31.5 to 24.5
138 Monmouth over 195 Bryant 42.0 to 24.5
73 Navy over 109 Indiana 38.5 to 28.0
130 Northern Arizona over 162 California - Davis 35.0 to 24.5
224 Northern Colorado over 238 Idaho State 49.0 to 31.5
28 Oregon State over 42 Utah 28.0 to 21.0
177 Wagner over 212 Saint Francis - Pennsylv 24.5 to 21.0
137 Eastern Kentucky over 210 Tennessee Tech 35.0 to 24.5
27 Texas over 53 Baylor 49.0 to 35.0
125 San Jose State over 203 Texas - San Antonio 31.5 to 21.0
187 Coastal Carolina over 241 Virginia Military 35.0 to 14.0
128 Indiana State over 194 Western Illinois 28.0 to 17.5
131 Pennsylvania over 183 Yale 24.5 to 21.0
105 Youngstown State over 120 Southern Illinois 31.5 to 24.5
60-70% chance of victory:
66 Houston over 101 Southern Methodist 31.5 to 24.5
75 Syracuse over 70 Connecticut 21.0 to 17.5
240 Campbell over 244 Davidson 31.5 to 24.5
118 Ball State over 156 Central Michigan 35.0 to 31.5
234 Charleston Southern over 236 Presbyterian 31.5 to 28.0
215 Delaware State over 217 North Carolina A&T 24.5 to 21.0
164 Duquesne over 172 Sacred Heart 28.0 to 21.0
139 Army over 191 Eastern Michigan 35.0 to 28.0
231 Howard over 228 Morgan State 24.5 to 24.5
40 Iowa over 32 Penn State 21.0 to 17.5
170 Jacksonville over 179 San Diego 28.0 to 24.5
37 North Carolina State over 67 Maryland 28.0 to 24.5
49 Nevada - Reno over 69 San Diego State 42.0 to 31.5
115 Montana over 182 North Dakota 35.0 to 28.0
103 Northern Iowa over 132 South Dakota State 31.5 to 21.0
230 Prairie View over 232 Alcorn State 28.0 to 24.5
175 Tennessee - Martin over 220 Southeast Missouri State 38.5 to 28.0
92 Southern Mississippi over 114 Marshall 38.5 to 31.5
110 Tennessee - Chattanooga over 127 Samford 24.5 to 17.5
11 Texas Christian over 16 Texas Tech 31.5 to 28.0
30 Cincinnati over 71 Toledo 42.0 to 35.0
133 Troy State over 149 Florida International 31.5 to 24.5
58 Vanderbilt over 63 Auburn 24.5 to 21.0
50-60% chance of victory:
200 Hampton over 223 North Carolina Central 28.0 to 24.5
20 Stanford over 31 California 28.0 to 28.0
169 Dartmouth over 192 Columbia 21.0 to 21.0
90 Western Michigan over 106 Kent State 24.5 to 24.5
89 Maine over 78 New Hampshire 31.5 to 28.0
33 Nebraska over 56 Northwestern 31.5 to 28.0
96 Richmond over 79 James Madison 24.5 to 24.5
197 Robert Morris over 186 Central Connecticut 28.0 to 28.0
205 South Alabama over 193 Florida Atlantic 28.0 to 28.0
225 Southern over 219 Arkansas - Pine Bluff 21.0 to 21.0
54 Temple over 45 Rutgers 24.5 to 21.0
10 Texas A&M over 5 Louisiana State 35.0 to 31.5
111 Towson over 112 Old Dominion 38.5 to 35.0
97 Virginia over 85 Wake Forest 28.0 to 24.5
84 Northeast Louisiana over 119 Western Kentucky 28.0 to 28.0
25 West Virginia over 23 Kansas State 38.5 to 35.0
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