ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
--- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- ---------------------
90-100% chance of victory:
1 Alabama over 22 Mississippi State 35.0 to 10.5
203 Arkansas - Pine Bluff over 243 Mississippi Valley State 35.0 to 10.5
6 Florida State over 72 Duke 45.5 to 14.0
215 Hampton over 246 Savannah State 45.5 to 10.5
86 James Madison over 216 Georgia State 42.0 to 10.5
96 Sam Houston State over 233 Lamar 42.0 to 14.0
115 Montana over 244 Idaho State 59.5 to 14.0
211 Northwestern State over 238 Nicholls State 35.0 to 14.0
3 Oregon over 146 Colorado 63.0 to 10.5
33 Rutgers over 98 Kent State 31.5 to 14.0
80-90% chance of victory:
16 Clemson over 76 Wake Forest 38.5 to 21.0
26 Arizona State over 59 California - Los Angeles 31.5 to 21.0
127 Bethune - Cookman over 221 North Carolina Central 42.0 to 17.5
104 Bowling Green over 181 Eastern Michigan 38.5 to 17.5
46 Harvard over 163 Dartmouth 38.5 to 17.5
124 Indiana State over 199 South Dakota 35.0 to 17.5
21 Texas over 119 Kansas 42.0 to 21.0
133 Lafayette over 185 Georgetown 31.5 to 21.0
30 Missouri over 95 Kentucky 35.0 to 14.0
65 Fresno State over 160 New Mexico 35.0 to 21.0
48 Louisiana Tech over 208 New Mexico State 56.0 to 24.5
34 North Dakota State over 107 Southern Illinois 35.0 to 14.0
92 Northeast Louisiana over 200 South Alabama 45.5 to 21.0
129 Northern Arizona over 217 Northern Colorado 31.5 to 17.5
2 Oklahoma over 11 Notre Dame 35.0 to 17.5
106 Stony Brook over 236 Presbyterian 45.5 to 10.5
68 New Hampshire over 214 Rhode Island 45.5 to 21.0
64 San Diego State over 164 Nevada - Las Vegas 42.0 to 21.0
100 San Jose State over 179 Texas State - San Marcos 35.0 to 17.5
19 South Carolina over 47 Tennessee 35.0 to 21.0
189 South Carolina State over 232 Howard 31.5 to 10.5
78 Southern Methodist over 202 Memphis 42.0 to 14.0
8 Stanford over 120 Washington State 45.5 to 10.5
66 Utah State over 204 Texas - San Antonio 42.0 to 17.5
212 Marist over 245 Valparaiso 42.0 to 14.0
57 Vanderbilt over 177 Massachusetts 35.0 to 10.5
83 Villanova over 117 Towson 31.5 to 17.5
172 Wagner over 190 Robert Morris 24.5 to 17.5
90 Appalachian State over 220 Western Carolina 45.5 to 24.5
10 Wisconsin over 35 Michigan State 31.5 to 14.0
75 Wofford over 154 The Citadel 38.5 to 17.5
14 Boise State over 125 Wyoming 38.5 to 14.0
70-80% chance of victory:
13 Texas A&M over 53 Auburn 35.0 to 24.5
222 Southeast Missouri State over 237 Austin Peay 35.0 to 24.5
63 Toledo over 151 Buffalo 38.5 to 24.5
186 Central Connecticut over 213 Saint Francis - Pennsylv 42.0 to 28.0
152 Central Michigan over 194 Akron 38.5 to 28.0
219 Butler over 241 Davidson 31.5 to 17.5
134 Duquesne over 166 Monmouth 31.5 to 21.0
138 Eastern Kentucky over 188 Eastern Illinois 38.5 to 24.5
126 Troy State over 193 Florida Atlantic 35.0 to 24.5
225 Gardner - Webb over 239 Virginia Military 31.5 to 17.5
81 Houston over 142 Texas - El Paso 45.5 to 28.0
7 Kansas State over 24 Texas Tech 45.5 to 31.5
79 Ohio over 143 Miami - Ohio 35.0 to 24.5
165 Missouri State over 206 Western Illinois 31.5 to 17.5
116 Montana State over 158 North Dakota 38.5 to 28.0
229 Morehead State over 242 Campbell 42.0 to 28.0
4 Florida over 18 Georgia 35.0 to 24.5
27 Arkansas over 62 Mississippi 35.0 to 28.0
31 North Carolina over 40 North Carolina State 28.0 to 21.0
84 Northern Iowa over 140 Illinois State 35.0 to 17.5
52 Pittsburgh over 74 Temple 28.0 to 17.5
108 California Poly over 178 Sacramento State 35.0 to 24.5
80 Albany over 201 Sacred Heart 31.5 to 14.0
168 San Diego over 180 Dayton 24.5 to 17.5
159 Central Arkansas over 226 Southeast Louisiana 35.0 to 21.0
49 South Florida over 55 Syracuse 28.0 to 24.5
54 Georgia Southern over 111 Tennessee - Chattanooga 28.0 to 17.5
170 Tennessee State over 207 Tennessee Tech 38.5 to 24.5
28 Oregon State over 71 Washington 28.0 to 21.0
41 Northern Illinois over 105 Western Michigan 35.0 to 24.5
60-70% chance of victory:
112 Ball State over 149 Army 35.0 to 28.0
82 Boston College over 70 Maryland 24.5 to 21.0
121 Colgate over 187 Bucknell 31.5 to 24.5
162 Yale over 192 Columbia 21.0 to 21.0
44 Georgia Tech over 43 Brigham Young 31.5 to 28.0
161 Holy Cross over 167 Fordham 28.0 to 24.5
97 Illinois over 118 Indiana 35.0 to 28.0
145 Jacksonville State over 176 Murray State 42.0 to 35.0
157 Middle Tennessee State over 148 North Texas 28.0 to 24.5
197 Alabama State over 209 Alabama A&M 24.5 to 21.0
227 North Carolina A&T over 223 Norfolk State 21.0 to 17.5
58 Northwestern over 60 Iowa 28.0 to 24.5
9 Oklahoma State over 17 Texas Christian 42.0 to 31.5
109 Brown over 144 Pennsylvania 21.0 to 17.5
110 Eastern Washington over 155 Southern Utah 31.5 to 24.5
231 Grambling over 240 Texas Southern 31.5 to 28.0
153 Alabama - Birmingham over 195 Tulane 31.5 to 28.0
50 Utah over 38 California 21.0 to 21.0
113 William & Mary over 101 Maine 21.0 to 21.0
50-60% chance of victory:
103 Arkansas State over 128 Louisiana - Lafayette 35.0 to 31.5
218 Delaware State over 228 Morgan State 24.5 to 21.0
56 Nevada - Reno over 87 Air Force 35.0 to 31.5
45 Louisville over 36 Cincinnati 28.0 to 24.5
12 Southern California over 23 Arizona 31.5 to 31.5
184 California - Davis over 169 Portland State 31.5 to 31.5
130 Liberty over 182 Coastal Carolina 31.5 to 28.0
171 Colorado State over 147 Hawaii 28.0 to 28.0
123 Princeton over 136 Cornell 24.5 to 24.5
91 East Carolina over 73 Navy 28.0 to 28.0
156 Elon over 141 Furman 31.5 to 31.5
114 Western Kentucky over 139 Florida International 31.5 to 31.5
42 Baylor over 51 Iowa State 35.0 to 31.5
61 Central Florida over 85 Marshall 31.5 to 31.5
150 Stephen F. Austin over 198 McNeese State 35.0 to 31.5
69 Purdue over 99 Minnesota 28.0 to 24.5
32 Nebraska over 20 Michigan 28.0 to 28.0
224 Prairie View over 230 Southern 31.5 to 28.0
93 Old Dominion over 88 Delaware 35.0 to 31.5
25 Penn State over 15 Ohio State 24.5 to 24.5
135 Rice over 122 Southern Mississippi 31.5 to 31.5
137 South Dakota State over 132 Youngstown State 28.0 to 24.5
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