ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
--- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- ---------------------
90-100% chance of victory:
113 Brown over 163 Yale 24.5 to 14.0
53 Navy over 181 Florida Atlantic 42.0 to 14.0
226 Norfolk State over 245 Savannah State 38.5 to 10.5
14 Ohio State over 99 Illinois 42.0 to 10.5
85 Sam Houston State over 228 Southeast Louisiana 45.5 to 10.5
80-90% chance of victory:
93 Ohio over 189 Eastern Michigan 38.5 to 17.5
217 Alabama A&M over 234 Southern 31.5 to 17.5
63 Air Force over 154 Army 38.5 to 21.0
65 Auburn over 198 New Mexico State 42.0 to 10.5
11 Boise State over 69 San Diego State 42.0 to 14.0
42 Central Florida over 76 Southern Methodist 31.5 to 21.0
13 Stanford over 147 Colorado 42.0 to 14.0
15 Clemson over 87 Duke 42.0 to 24.5
7 Florida over 23 Missouri 28.0 to 14.0
68 Fresno State over 162 Hawaii 45.5 to 24.5
12 Georgia over 64 Mississippi 42.0 to 17.5
46 Harvard over 193 Columbia 45.5 to 10.5
148 Northern Arizona over 239 Idaho State 45.5 to 17.5
5 Oklahoma over 44 Iowa State 31.5 to 17.5
79 Kent State over 202 Akron 42.0 to 14.0
161 Liberty over 233 Charleston Southern 45.5 to 17.5
56 Louisiana Tech over 203 Texas - San Antonio 56.0 to 21.0
45 Louisville over 92 Temple 35.0 to 17.5
121 Marshall over 210 Memphis 42.0 to 21.0
134 Bethune - Cookman over 229 Morgan State 38.5 to 17.5
71 New Hampshire over 122 William & Mary 35.0 to 21.0
187 McNeese State over 232 Nicholls State 31.5 to 14.0
40 North Carolina State over 98 Virginia 35.0 to 17.5
43 Northern Illinois over 178 Massachusetts 49.0 to 17.5
6 Notre Dame over 39 Pittsburgh 31.5 to 14.0
144 Portland State over 214 Northern Colorado 38.5 to 21.0
94 Richmond over 209 Rhode Island 42.0 to 17.5
60 South Florida over 84 Connecticut 28.0 to 17.5
166 Stephen F. Austin over 237 Lamar 49.0 to 17.5
101 Stony Brook over 242 Virginia Military 45.5 to 3.5
37 Tennessee over 142 Troy State 49.0 to 17.5
212 Arkansas - Pine Bluff over 240 Texas Southern 28.0 to 17.5
30 Utah over 108 Washington State 38.5 to 14.0
55 Utah State over 182 Texas State - San Marcos 42.0 to 14.0
104 Northern Iowa over 218 Western Illinois 31.5 to 14.0
131 Youngstown State over 204 South Dakota 42.0 to 24.5
70-80% chance of victory:
116 Western Kentucky over 151 Middle Tennessee State 31.5 to 21.0
88 Albany over 175 Wagner 31.5 to 14.0
32 Arkansas over 67 Tulsa 38.5 to 24.5
50 Baylor over 106 Kansas 42.0 to 28.0
188 Jacksonville over 225 Butler 28.0 to 21.0
244 Campbell over 246 Valparaiso 42.0 to 28.0
146 Central Arkansas over 216 Northwestern State 38.5 to 21.0
38 Cincinnati over 57 Syracuse 35.0 to 24.5
118 Colgate over 143 Lafayette 35.0 to 28.0
160 Coastal Carolina over 223 Gardner - Webb 35.0 to 21.0
62 Georgia Southern over 91 Appalachian State 38.5 to 24.5
86 Old Dominion over 207 Georgia State 45.5 to 24.5
205 Jackson State over 230 Grambling 31.5 to 21.0
78 Lehigh over 157 Holy Cross 31.5 to 21.0
105 San Jose State over 196 Idaho 38.5 to 24.5
52 Vanderbilt over 97 Kentucky 24.5 to 21.0
82 Maine over 95 James Madison 24.5 to 17.5
153 San Diego over 208 Marist 24.5 to 17.5
24 Michigan over 74 Minnesota 28.0 to 21.0
48 North Dakota State over 141 Missouri State 31.5 to 17.5
156 Monmouth over 186 Central Connecticut 35.0 to 24.5
222 Morehead State over 241 Davidson 42.0 to 24.5
102 Northeast Louisiana over 150 Louisiana - Lafayette 38.5 to 28.0
77 Arkansas State over 167 North Texas 35.0 to 21.0
183 Alabama State over 220 Prairie View 31.5 to 24.5
28 Penn State over 80 Purdue 31.5 to 21.0
137 Duquesne over 195 Robert Morris 28.0 to 21.0
83 Montana State over 159 Sacramento State 35.0 to 24.5
81 Wofford over 127 Samford 24.5 to 21.0
170 Eastern Kentucky over 215 Southeast Missouri State 28.0 to 21.0
128 Southern Mississippi over 176 Alabama - Birmingham 42.0 to 28.0
155 The Citadel over 173 Elon 31.5 to 24.5
119 Rice over 192 Tulane 38.5 to 28.0
110 Montana over 184 Weber State 35.0 to 24.5
114 Tennessee - Chattanooga over 211 Western Carolina 38.5 to 21.0
133 Wyoming over 158 Colorado State 31.5 to 24.5
60-70% chance of victory:
41 Miami - Florida over 29 Virginia Tech 24.5 to 24.5
51 California over 58 Washington 28.0 to 24.5
185 Bryant over 190 Sacred Heart 31.5 to 24.5
135 Cornell over 145 Dartmouth 28.0 to 24.5
89 Delaware over 100 Towson 31.5 to 24.5
75 Houston over 123 East Carolina 45.5 to 38.5
115 Eastern Washington over 124 California Poly 35.0 to 28.0
54 Iowa over 107 Indiana 31.5 to 24.5
9 Kansas State over 8 Oklahoma State 38.5 to 35.0
1 Alabama over 3 Louisiana State 24.5 to 21.0
25 Michigan State over 20 Nebraska 21.0 to 21.0
10 Texas A&M over 26 Mississippi State 35.0 to 28.0
174 Murray State over 180 Tennessee State 38.5 to 31.5
165 Nevada - Las Vegas over 169 New Mexico 31.5 to 28.0
138 Southern Utah over 194 North Dakota 31.5 to 28.0
140 Florida International over 197 South Alabama 31.5 to 24.5
2 Oregon over 16 Southern California 42.0 to 31.5
112 Southern Illinois over 125 South Dakota State 28.0 to 21.0
50-60% chance of victory:
164 Fordham over 191 Bucknell 28.0 to 28.0
130 Miami - Ohio over 152 Buffalo 24.5 to 24.5
21 Arizona over 47 California - Los Angeles 35.0 to 31.5
103 Western Michigan over 132 Central Michigan 31.5 to 31.5
171 Drake over 200 Dayton 24.5 to 24.5
224 Hampton over 231 Howard 24.5 to 21.0
120 Indiana State over 117 Illinois State 28.0 to 24.5
73 Maryland over 66 Georgia Tech 31.5 to 28.0
243 Mississippi Valley State over 236 Alcorn State 21.0 to 21.0
221 North Carolina A&T over 206 Florida A&M 21.0 to 21.0
219 Delaware State over 227 North Carolina Central 28.0 to 24.5
36 Oregon State over 33 Arizona State 31.5 to 28.0
136 Princeton over 126 Pennsylvania 24.5 to 24.5
149 Jacksonville State over 177 Tennessee - Martin 28.0 to 28.0
172 Eastern Illinois over 201 Tennessee Tech 35.0 to 31.5
35 Texas Tech over 22 Texas 38.5 to 35.0
90 Wake Forest over 72 Boston College 21.0 to 21.0
34 West Virginia over 19 Texas Christian 31.5 to 31.5
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