2012 Week 11 (6-10 Nov) Forecast for College Football Division IA & IAA

                                                                   ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team         rank projected losing team     TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
 --- ----------------------          --- ----------------------    ---------------------

90-100% chance of victory:

  32 Brigham Young             over  198 Idaho                      45.5 to  7.0
 126 California Poly           over  240 Idaho State                56.0 to 14.0
  12 Clemson                   over   84 Maryland                   42.0 to 14.0
  70 Georgia Southern          over  230 Howard                     45.5 to  3.5
 186 Jacksonville              over  244 Campbell                   45.5 to 10.5
   3 Louisiana State           over   42 Mississippi State          31.5 to 10.5
 110 Maine                     over  211 Georgia State              38.5 to 14.0
 145 Bethune - Cookman         over  246 Savannah State             45.5 to  7.0
  17 Texas                     over   46 Iowa State                 31.5 to 14.0

80-90% chance of victory:

   1 Alabama                   over    6 Texas A&M                  35.0 to 21.0
  76 Appalachian State         over  132 Furman                     38.5 to 21.0
  60 Arizona                   over  160 Colorado                   45.5 to 21.0
  13 Notre Dame                over   79 Boston College             31.5 to 14.0
   2 Oregon                    over   52 California                 49.0 to 24.5
 187 Drake                     over  217 Butler                     28.0 to 17.5
 173 Eastern Illinois          over  221 Southeast Missouri State   38.5 to 21.0
 101 Eastern Washington        over  196 California - Davis         38.5 to 17.5
   7 Florida                   over  112 Louisiana - Lafayette      45.5 to  7.0
  18 Boise State               over  158 Hawaii                     42.0 to 14.0
  55 Iowa                      over   87 Purdue                     31.5 to 17.5
 153 Jacksonville State        over  238 Austin Peay                49.0 to 17.5
  24 Michigan                  over   51 Northwestern               35.0 to 21.0
 152 Monmouth                  over  212 Saint Francis - Pennsylv   38.5 to 21.0
 100 Montana State             over  181 Portland State             42.0 to 24.5
  97 San Jose State            over  204 New Mexico State           35.0 to 17.5
  59 North Dakota State        over  127 South Dakota State         31.5 to 14.0
  69 Sam Houston State         over  215 Northwestern State         42.0 to 17.5
  54 Rutgers                   over  117 Army                       31.5 to 17.5
 163 San Diego                 over  219 Morehead State             42.0 to 21.0
  15 South Carolina            over   36 Arkansas                   31.5 to 21.0
  78 Northern Iowa             over  188 South Dakota               31.5 to 14.0
 168 Stephen F. Austin         over  235 Southeast Louisiana        45.5 to 24.5
   8 Stanford                  over   29 Oregon State               31.5 to 17.5
  43 Central Florida           over  139 Texas - El Paso            35.0 to 17.5
  56 Louisiana Tech            over  190 Texas State - San Marcos   45.5 to 21.0
  41 Texas Tech                over  115 Kansas                     42.0 to 17.5
  95 Towson                    over  210 Rhode Island               42.0 to 14.0
 149 The Citadel               over  239 Virginia Military          38.5 to 10.5
  21 California - Los Angeles  over  130 Washington State           42.0 to 17.5
 129 Youngstown State          over  220 Western Illinois           31.5 to 17.5
 134 Western Kentucky          over  185 Florida Atlantic           31.5 to 17.5

70-80% chance of victory:

  64 Toledo                    over  109 Ball State                 42.0 to 28.0
  81 Ohio                      over  107 Bowling Green              28.0 to 17.5
  74 Arkansas State            over  124 Northeast Louisiana        38.5 to 24.5
   4 Florida State             over   38 Virginia Tech              28.0 to 17.5
  45 Pittsburgh                over   77 Connecticut                24.5 to 17.5
 241 Alcorn State              over  242 Texas Southern             31.5 to 24.5
  10 Georgia                   over   50 Auburn                     31.5 to 21.0
  94 Western Michigan          over  151 Buffalo                    31.5 to 24.5
 116 Samford                   over  174 Elon                       28.0 to 21.0
 214 Florida A&M               over  225 North Carolina Central     28.0 to 21.0
 170 Georgetown                over  178 Bucknell                   24.5 to 17.5
 201 Arkansas - Pine Bluff     over  233 Grambling                  31.5 to 17.5
  16 Wisconsin                 over  104 Indiana                    42.0 to 21.0
 182 Jackson State             over  213 Alabama A&M                31.5 to 21.0
  25 Nebraska                  over   23 Penn State                 24.5 to 21.0
 125 Wyoming                   over  200 New Mexico                 35.0 to 24.5
 227 Norfolk State             over  228 Morgan State               24.5 to 21.0
  28 North Carolina            over   48 Georgia Tech               35.0 to 28.0
 141 Northern Arizona          over  147 Southern Utah              24.5 to 21.0
 176 North Texas               over  203 South Alabama              31.5 to 24.5
   5 Oklahoma                  over   44 Baylor                     49.0 to 28.0
   9 Oklahoma State            over   34 West Virginia              45.5 to 31.5
  27 Harvard                   over  108 Pennsylvania               38.5 to 21.0
 159 Coastal Carolina          over  232 Presbyterian               42.0 to 21.0
  86 Richmond                  over  103 Delaware                   28.0 to 21.0
  58 San Diego State           over   91 Air Force                  35.0 to 24.5
 193 Alabama State             over  229 Southern                   28.0 to 21.0
  19 Southern California       over   35 Arizona State              42.0 to 28.0
  90 Southern Methodist        over  121 Southern Mississippi       31.5 to 24.5
  39 Cincinnati                over   93 Temple                     35.0 to 24.5
 118 Wagner                    over  144 Holy Cross                 28.0 to 17.5
 179 Weber State               over  207 Northern Colorado          31.5 to 21.0
  88 Wofford                   over  114 Tennessee - Chattanooga    31.5 to 21.0

60-70% chance of victory:

 161 Cornell                   over  208 Columbia                   35.0 to 28.0
 223 Delaware State            over  222 Hampton                    21.0 to 21.0
 150 Eastern Kentucky          over  154 Murray State               35.0 to 28.0
 143 Central Michigan          over  191 Eastern Michigan           35.0 to 28.0
 234 Lamar                     over  237 Nicholls State             31.5 to 24.5
  82 Lehigh                    over  106 Colgate                    42.0 to 35.0
  99 Stony Brook               over  164 Liberty                    31.5 to 24.5
 177 Dayton                    over  209 Marist                     21.0 to 17.5
  83 Kent State                over  131 Miami - Ohio               28.0 to 21.0
  37 Vanderbilt                over   71 Mississippi                24.5 to 21.0
 224 Prairie View              over  236 Mississippi Valley State   28.0 to 21.0
 189 South Carolina State      over  218 North Carolina A&T         21.0 to 17.5
  75 North Carolina State      over   72 Wake Forest                28.0 to 24.5
  89 Old Dominion              over  119 William & Mary             35.0 to 28.0
  40 Louisville                over   65 Syracuse                   28.0 to 24.5
  67 Navy                      over  135 Troy State                 38.5 to 31.5
  30 Miami - Florida           over   57 Virginia                   24.5 to 21.0
  26 Utah                      over   49 Washington                 28.0 to 21.0
 167 Yale                      over  162 Princeton                  24.5 to 21.0

50-60% chance of victory:

 202 Akron                     over  192 Massachusetts              31.5 to 31.5
 120 Marshall                  over  156 Alabama - Birmingham       35.0 to 31.5
 184 Central Connecticut       over  166 Bryant                     31.5 to 31.5
 226 Gardner - Webb            over  231 Charleston Southern        31.5 to 28.0
 140 Nevada - Las Vegas        over  165 Colorado State             28.0 to 28.0
 105 Brown                     over  123 Dartmouth                  21.0 to 17.5
 155 Duquesne                  over  133 Albany                     24.5 to 21.0
 175 Fordham                   over  157 Lafayette                  31.5 to 31.5
  61 Tulsa                     over   80 Houston                    38.5 to 38.5
  96 Illinois                  over   85 Minnesota                  24.5 to 24.5
 199 Memphis                   over  197 Tulane                     35.0 to 31.5
  66 Nevada - Reno             over   63 Fresno State               38.5 to 35.0
 183 Robert Morris             over  206 Sacred Heart               21.0 to 21.0
  22 Missouri                  over   47 Tennessee                  31.5 to 28.0
 172 Tennessee - Martin        over  205 Tennessee Tech             35.0 to 31.5
  20 Texas Christian           over   11 Kansas State               31.5 to 31.5
 171 McNeese State             over  194 Texas - San Antonio        28.0 to 28.0
 243 Davidson                  over  245 Valparaiso                 31.5 to 28.0
  68 James Madison             over   92 Villanova                  24.5 to 24.5

NOTE: the above scores are rounded to the nearest 3.5 points. Exact predicted scores are not released until after game time

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