ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
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90-100% chance of victory:
2 Alabama over 217 Western Carolina 63.0 to 0.0
17 Boise State over 148 Colorado State 45.5 to 7.0
47 Harvard over 169 Yale 38.5 to 10.5
3 Louisiana State over 77 Mississippi 45.5 to 10.5
22 Nebraska over 76 Minnesota 35.0 to 14.0
13 Notre Dame over 91 Wake Forest 35.0 to 7.0
19 South Carolina over 93 Wofford 35.0 to 10.5
201 South Carolina State over 246 Savannah State 45.5 to 7.0
129 Southern Illinois over 215 Western Illinois 31.5 to 10.5
80-90% chance of victory:
34 Arizona State over 131 Washington State 45.5 to 21.0
206 Arkansas - Pine Bluff over 227 Prairie View 35.0 to 21.0
64 Auburn over 220 Alabama A&M 42.0 to 3.5
109 Brown over 184 Columbia 31.5 to 14.0
213 Marist over 243 Campbell 35.0 to 17.5
25 Cincinnati over 54 Rutgers 28.0 to 17.5
12 Clemson over 46 North Carolina State 38.5 to 21.0
130 Coastal Carolina over 229 Charleston Southern 45.5 to 14.0
41 Washington over 134 Colorado 38.5 to 21.0
170 San Diego over 244 Davidson 35.0 to 10.5
16 Florida over 161 Jacksonville State 49.0 to 7.0
8 Georgia over 67 Georgia Southern 45.5 to 17.5
177 Jackson State over 237 Alcorn State 42.0 to 14.0
4 Florida State over 90 Maryland 38.5 to 14.0
182 McNeese State over 233 Lamar 38.5 to 14.0
23 Michigan over 57 Iowa 31.5 to 17.5
28 Michigan State over 58 Northwestern 31.5 to 17.5
218 Morehead State over 245 Valparaiso 49.0 to 21.0
81 Navy over 181 Texas State - San Marcos 42.0 to 21.0
156 Bethune - Cookman over 212 Florida A&M 31.5 to 17.5
89 Northern Iowa over 158 Missouri State 31.5 to 17.5
31 Oregon State over 56 California 31.5 to 21.0
24 Penn State over 140 Indiana 42.0 to 14.0
83 Maine over 210 Rhode Island 35.0 to 14.0
118 South Dakota State over 190 South Dakota 31.5 to 14.0
5 Texas A&M over 69 Sam Houston State 49.0 to 21.0
124 Liberty over 234 Virginia Military 38.5 to 14.0
107 Western Michigan over 192 Eastern Michigan 42.0 to 21.0
70-80% chance of victory:
35 Northern Illinois over 74 Toledo 42.0 to 28.0
105 Air Force over 152 Hawaii 38.5 to 24.5
151 Alabama - Birmingham over 196 Memphis 35.0 to 24.5
112 Albany over 195 Central Connecticut 38.5 to 21.0
199 Tennessee Tech over 236 Austin Peay 42.0 to 28.0
27 Virginia Tech over 70 Boston College 24.5 to 17.5
143 Central Arkansas over 174 Eastern Illinois 35.0 to 24.5
86 Pennsylvania over 173 Cornell 31.5 to 21.0
132 Furman over 164 The Citadel 35.0 to 24.5
30 Georgia Tech over 94 Duke 49.0 to 28.0
191 Weber State over 241 Idaho State 49.0 to 28.0
61 Iowa State over 108 Kansas 24.5 to 21.0
119 Kentucky over 121 Samford 24.5 to 21.0
100 Louisiana - Lafayette over 155 Western Kentucky 38.5 to 24.5
43 Miami - Florida over 55 South Florida 31.5 to 24.5
21 Missouri over 51 Syracuse 38.5 to 21.0
183 Murray State over 222 Southeast Missouri State 42.0 to 28.0
113 Wyoming over 178 Nevada - Las Vegas 31.5 to 24.5
71 New Hampshire over 102 Towson 38.5 to 28.0
73 Nevada - Reno over 202 New Mexico 45.5 to 24.5
133 Northeast Louisiana over 162 North Texas 31.5 to 24.5
7 Oklahoma State over 39 Texas Tech 52.5 to 31.5
1 Oregon over 11 Stanford 49.0 to 28.0
111 Eastern Washington over 189 Portland State 42.0 to 31.5
29 Brigham Young over 84 San Jose State 31.5 to 21.0
123 Southern Mississippi over 139 Texas - El Paso 31.5 to 24.5
193 Stephen F. Austin over 225 Northwestern State 42.0 to 28.0
114 Tennessee - Chattanooga over 175 Elon 31.5 to 17.5
101 East Carolina over 204 Tulane 42.0 to 24.5
122 Youngstown State over 145 Indiana State 31.5 to 21.0
60-70% chance of victory:
95 Ball State over 104 Ohio 31.5 to 24.5
224 Southeast Louisiana over 238 Nicholls State 31.5 to 24.5
14 Kansas State over 36 Baylor 42.0 to 35.0
92 Bowling Green over 87 Kent State 24.5 to 21.0
10 Southern California over 26 California - Los Angeles 35.0 to 31.5
106 Colgate over 163 Fordham 38.5 to 31.5
232 Gardner - Webb over 240 Presbyterian 35.0 to 24.5
62 North Dakota State over 117 Illinois State 28.0 to 21.0
78 James Madison over 88 Old Dominion 35.0 to 28.0
103 Lehigh over 153 Lafayette 28.0 to 24.5
216 Hampton over 235 Morgan State 28.0 to 21.0
150 Princeton over 142 Dartmouth 24.5 to 21.0
75 Southern Methodist over 138 Rice 31.5 to 24.5
179 Robert Morris over 176 Monmouth 28.0 to 21.0
198 Saint Francis - Pennsylv over 207 Sacred Heart 31.5 to 28.0
147 Middle Tennessee State over 203 South Alabama 35.0 to 24.5
66 Arkansas State over 120 Troy State 38.5 to 31.5
42 Tulsa over 48 Central Florida 31.5 to 24.5
38 Utah over 44 Arizona 35.0 to 28.0
40 Vanderbilt over 50 Tennessee 35.0 to 31.5
136 Wagner over 146 Duquesne 28.0 to 21.0
6 Oklahoma over 33 West Virginia 38.5 to 31.5
9 Wisconsin over 15 Ohio State 35.0 to 28.0
50-60% chance of victory:
45 North Carolina over 63 Virginia 31.5 to 31.5
159 Florida Atlantic over 144 Florida International 28.0 to 24.5
97 Temple over 125 Army 28.0 to 24.5
186 Bucknell over 165 Bryant 21.0 to 21.0
187 California - Davis over 166 Sacramento State 28.0 to 24.5
149 Central Michigan over 141 Miami - Ohio 31.5 to 28.0
96 Delaware over 79 Villanova 24.5 to 24.5
167 Georgetown over 154 Holy Cross 24.5 to 24.5
221 Delaware State over 230 Howard 28.0 to 28.0
197 Idaho over 194 Texas - San Antonio 35.0 to 31.5
72 Purdue over 98 Illinois 24.5 to 24.5
180 Jacksonville over 168 Drake 28.0 to 24.5
65 Louisiana Tech over 60 Utah State 42.0 to 38.5
99 Houston over 128 Marshall 35.0 to 35.0
160 Massachusetts over 137 Buffalo 24.5 to 24.5
37 Mississippi State over 32 Arkansas 28.0 to 24.5
110 Montana over 82 Montana State 31.5 to 31.5
214 North Carolina A&T over 226 North Carolina Central 21.0 to 21.0
116 California Poly over 157 Northern Arizona 28.0 to 24.5
172 North Dakota over 205 Northern Colorado 31.5 to 28.0
185 Tennessee - Martin over 188 Tennessee State 31.5 to 28.0
242 Texas Southern over 239 Mississippi Valley State 21.0 to 21.0
115 William & Mary over 85 Richmond 21.0 to 21.0
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