ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
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80-90% chance of victory:
84 Appalachian State over 126 Illinois State 38.5 to 24.5
76 Arkansas State over 145 Middle Tennessee State 38.5 to 21.0
105 Eastern Washington over 134 Wagner 31.5 to 21.0
110 Hawaii over 201 South Alabama 42.0 to 21.0
68 Georgia Southern over 132 Central Arkansas 38.5 to 21.0
4 Stanford over 44 California - Los Angeles 38.5 to 17.5
26 West Virginia over 121 Kansas 49.0 to 21.0
70-80% chance of victory:
58 Rutgers over 63 Louisville 24.5 to 17.5
35 Northern Illinois over 75 Kent State 31.5 to 21.0
107 Louisiana - Lafayette over 180 Florida Atlantic 38.5 to 28.0
1 Alabama over 5 Georgia 28.0 to 21.0
12 Florida State over 47 Georgia Tech 38.5 to 24.5
22 Kansas State over 19 Texas 31.5 to 24.5
16 Boise State over 66 Nevada - Reno 38.5 to 28.0
46 North Dakota State over 91 South Dakota State 31.5 to 17.5
82 Old Dominion over 141 Coastal Carolina 45.5 to 28.0
81 Sam Houston State over 112 California Poly 38.5 to 28.0
60-70% chance of victory:
33 Cincinnati over 59 Connecticut 21.0 to 17.5
183 San Diego over 213 Marist 21.0 to 17.5
92 Montana State over 102 Stony Brook 28.0 to 24.5
190 Texas State - San Marcos over 202 New Mexico State 35.0 to 24.5
14 Wisconsin over 20 Nebraska 28.0 to 24.5
93 Wofford over 97 New Hampshire 35.0 to 28.0
50-60% chance of victory:
7 Oklahoma State over 18 Baylor 49.0 to 42.0
36 Pittsburgh over 65 South Florida 24.5 to 21.0
8 Oklahoma over 13 Texas Christian 31.5 to 31.5
57 Tulsa over 45 Central Florida 31.5 to 28.0
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